Mark W. Watson
Names
first: |
Mark |
middle: |
W. |
last: |
Watson |
Identifer
Contact
Affiliations
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Princeton University
/ Department of Economics
Research profile
author of:
- Indicators for Dating Business Cycles: Cross-History Selection and Comparisons
American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2010)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, aea:aecrev:v:100:y:2010:i:2:p:16-19) - Inflation Persistence, the NAIRU, and the Great Recession
American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2014)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, aea:aecrev:v:104:y:2014:i:5:p:31-36) - Presidents and the US Economy: An Econometric Exploration
American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2016)
by Alan S. Blinder & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, aea:aecrev:v:106:y:2016:i:4:p:1015-45) - Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations
American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1991)
by King, Robert G. & Plosser, Charles I. & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, aea:aecrev:v:81:y:1991:i:4:p:819-40) - Business-Cycle Durations and Postwar Stabilization of the U.S. Economy
American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1994)
by Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, aea:aecrev:v:84:y:1994:i:1:p:24-46) - ABCs (and Ds) of Understanding VARs
American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2007)
by Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez & Thomas J. Sargent & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, aea:aecrev:v:97:y:2007:i:3:p:1021-1026) - Relative Goods' Prices, Pure Inflation, and the Phillips Correlation
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association (2010)
by Ricardo Reis & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, aea:aejmac:v:2:y:2010:i:3:p:128-57) - Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association (2003)
by James H. Stock & Mark W.Watson
(ReDIF-article, aea:jeclit:v:41:y:2003:i:3:p:788-829) - The NAIRU, Unemployment and Monetary Policy
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association (1997)
by Douglas Staiger & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, aea:jecper:v:11:y:1997:i:1:p:33-49) - Vector Autoregressions
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association (2001)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, aea:jecper:v:15:y:2001:i:4:p:101-115) - Variable Trends in Economic Time Series
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association (1988)
by Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, aea:jecper:v:2:y:1988:i:3:p:147-74) - Twenty Years of Time Series Econometrics in Ten Pictures
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association (2017)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, aea:jecper:v:31:y:2017:i:2:p:59-86) - Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors
Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association (2002)
by Stock J.H. & Watson M.W.
(ReDIF-article, bes:jnlasa:v:97:y:2002:m:december:p:1167-1179) - Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (1996)
by Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, bes:jnlbes:v:14:y:1996:i:1:p:11-30) - Is Seasonal Adjustment a Linear or Nonlinear Data-Filtering Process? Comment
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (1996)
by Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, bes:jnlbes:v:14:y:1996:i:3:p:394-96) - Special Section on Consumer Price Research: Introduction
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (1999)
by Jorgenson, Dale W & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, bes:jnlbes:v:17:y:1999:i:2:p:137-40) - Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (2002)
by Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, bes:jnlbes:v:20:y:2002:i:2:p:147-62) - Consistent Estimation of the Number of Dynamic Factors in a Large N and T Panel
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (2007)
by Amengual, Dante & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, bes:jnlbes:v:25:y:2007:p:91-96) - Vector Autoregressions and Reality: Comment
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (1987)
by Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, bes:jnlbes:v:5:y:1987:i:4:p:451-53) - A Reexamination of Friedman's Consumption Puzzle: Comment
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (1988)
by Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, bes:jnlbes:v:6:y:1988:i:4:p:408-09) - Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (1997)
by Ben S. Bernanke & Mark Gertler & Mark Watson
(ReDIF-article, bin:bpeajo:v:28:y:1997:i:1997-1:p:91-157) - Disentangling the Channels of the 2007-09 Recession
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (2012)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, bin:bpeajo:v:43:y:2012:i:2012-01:p:81-156) - The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (2017)
by John G. Fernald & Robert E. Hall & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, bin:bpeajo:v:48:y:2017:i:2017-01:p:1-81) - Inflation and Unit Labor Cost
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics (2012)
by Robert G. King & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, bos:wpaper:wp2012-005) - A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2005)
by Stock, James & Watson, Mark & Marcellino, Massimiliano
(ReDIF-paper, cpr:ceprdp:4976) - Relative Goods? Prices and Pure Inflation
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2007)
by Watson, Mark
(ReDIF-paper, cpr:ceprdp:6593) - Essays in Econometrics Real Author-Name:Granger,Clive W. J
Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press (2001)
by
(ReDIF-book, cup:cbooks:9780521772976) - Essays in Econometrics Real Author-Name:Granger,Clive W. J
Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press (2001)
by
(ReDIF-book, cup:cbooks:9780521774963) - Essays in Econometrics Real Author-Name:Granger,Clive W. J
Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press (2001)
by
(ReDIF-book, cup:cbooks:9780521792073) - Essays in Econometrics Real Author-Name:Granger,Clive W. J
Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press (2001)
by
(ReDIF-book, cup:cbooks:9780521796491) - Unknown item RePEc:cup:cbooks:9780521796972 (book)
- Testing for Cointegration When Some of the Cointegrating Vectors are Prespecified
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press (1995)
by Horvath, Michael T.K. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, cup:etheor:v:11:y:1995:i:05:p:984-1014_00) - Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (1988)
by Matthew D. Shapiro & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, cwl:cwldpp:870) - Bank Rate Policy under the Interwar Gold Standard: A Dynamic Probit Model
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (1985)
by Eichengreen, Barry & Watson, Mark W & Grossman, Richard S
(ReDIF-article, ecj:econjl:v:95:y:1985:i:379:p:725-45) - Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots
Econometrica, Econometric Society (1990)
by Sims, Christopher A & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, ecm:emetrp:v:58:y:1990:i:1:p:113-44) - A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems
Econometrica, Econometric Society (1993)
by Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, ecm:emetrp:v:61:y:1993:i:4:p:783-820) - Heteroskedasticity-Robust Standard Errors for Fixed Effects Panel Data Regression
Econometrica, Econometric Society (2008)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, ecm:emetrp:v:76:y:2008:i:1:p:155-174) - Testing Models of Low-Frequency Variability
Econometrica, Econometric Society (2008)
by Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, ecm:emetrp:v:76:y:2008:i:5:p:979-1016) - Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society (2000)
by Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, ecm:wc2000:1421) - The post-war U.S. phillips curve: a revisionist econometric history
Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier (1994)
by King, Robert G. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:crcspp:v:41:y:1994:i::p:157-219) - Rejoinder to Evans and McCallum
Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier (1994)
by King, Robert G. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:crcspp:v:41:y:1994:i::p:243-250) - The convergence of multivariate unit root distributions to their asymptotic limits : The case of money-income causality
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (1988)
by Ljungqvist, Lars & Park, Myungsoo & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:dyncon:v:12:y:1988:i:2-3:p:489-502) - Time series and spectral methods in econometrics
Handbook of Econometrics, Elsevier (1984)
by Granger, C.W.J. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-chapter, eee:ecochp:2-17) - Vector autoregressions and cointegration
Handbook of Econometrics, Elsevier (1986)
by Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-chapter, eee:ecochp:4-47) - Forecasting with Many Predictors
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier (2006)
by Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-chapter, eee:ecofch:1-10) - Does GNP have a unit root?
Economics Letters, Elsevier (1986)
by Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:ecolet:v:22:y:1986:i:2-3:p:147-151) - A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2006)
by Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:econom:v:135:y:2006:i:1-2:p:499-526) - Low-frequency robust cointegration testing
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2013)
by Müller, Ulrich K. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:econom:v:174:y:2013:i:2:p:66-81) - Consistent factor estimation in dynamic factor models with structural instability
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2013)
by Bates, Brandon J. & Plagborg-Møller, Mikkel & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:econom:v:177:y:2013:i:2:p:289-304) - Estimating turning points using large data sets
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2014)
by Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:econom:v:178:y:2014:i:p2:p:368-381) - Alternative algorithms for the estimation of dynamic factor, mimic and varying coefficient regression models
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (1983)
by Watson, Mark W. & Engle, Robert F.
(ReDIF-article, eee:econom:v:23:y:1983:i:3:p:385-400) - A dymimic model of housing price determination
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (1985)
by Engle, Robert F. & Lilien, David M. & Watson, Mark
(ReDIF-article, eee:econom:v:28:y:1985:i:3:p:307-326) - Interpreting the evidence on money-income causality
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (1989)
by Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:econom:v:40:y:1989:i:1:p:161-181) - Recursive solution methods for dynamic linear rational expectations models
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (1989)
by Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:econom:v:41:y:1989:i:1:p:65-89) - Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information
European Economic Review, Elsevier (2003)
by Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:eecrev:v:47:y:2003:i:1:p:1-18) - Business cycle fluctuations in us macroeconomic time series
Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (1999)
by Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-chapter, eee:macchp:1-01) - Dynamic Factor Models, Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressions, and Structural Vector Autoregressions in Macroeconomics
Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2016)
by Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W.
(ReDIF-chapter, eee:macchp:v2-415) - Testing the interpretation of indices in a macroeconomic index model
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1984)
by Watson, Mark W. & Kraft, Dennis F.
(ReDIF-article, eee:moneco:v:13:y:1984:i:2:p:165-181) - Univariate detrending methods with stochastic trends
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1986)
by Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:moneco:v:18:y:1986:i:1:p:49-75) - Forecasting inflation
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1999)
by Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-article, eee:moneco:v:44:y:1999:i:2:p:293-335) - Phillips curve inflation forecasts
Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston (2008)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedbcp:y:2008:n:53:x:2) - The Disappointing Recovery in U.S. Output after 2009
FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2018)
by John G. Fernald & Robert E. Hall & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedfel:00155) - How Have Changing Sectoral Trends Affected GDP Growth?
FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2019)
by Andrew T. Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedfel:00198) - Recent changes in trend and cycle, remarks
Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2000)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedfpr:y:2000:x:12) - Forecasting output and inflation: the role of asset prices
Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2001)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedfpr:y:2001:i:mar) - On the sources of the Great Moderation - discussion
Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2007)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedfpr:y:2007:i:nov:x:2) - The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009
Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2017)
by John G. Fernald & Robert E. Hall & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedfwp:2017-14) - Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends
Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2022)
by Andrew T. Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedfwp:2019-16) - Has inflation become harder to forecast?
Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2005)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedgpr:y:2005:x:17) - Using econometric models to predict recessions
Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1991)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedhep:y:1991:i:nov:p:14-25:n:v.15no.6) - Temporal instability of the unemployment-inflation relationship
Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1995)
by Robert G. King & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedhep:y:1995:i:may:p:2-12:n:v.19no.3) - A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1991)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:91-3) - Stochastic trends and economic fluctuations
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1991)
by Robert G. King & Charles I. Plosser & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:91-4) - Measures of fit for calibrated models
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1991)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:91-9) - Testing long run neutrality
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1992)
by Robert G. King & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:92-18) - Business cycle durations and postwar stabilization of the U.S. economy
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1992)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:92-6) - A procedure for predicting recessions with leading indicators: econometric issues and recent performance
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1992)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:92-7) - Vector autoregressions and cointegration
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1993)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:93-14) - Testing for cointegration when some of the cointegrating vectors are known
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1993)
by Michael T. K. Horvath & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:93-15) - Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic times series relations
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1994)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:94-13) - The post-war U.S. Phillips curve: a revisionist econometric history
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1994)
by Robert G. King & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:94-14) - The post-war U.S. Phillips curve: a revisionist econometric history: response to Evans and McCallum
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1994)
by Robert G. King & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:94-17) - Estimating deterministic trends in the presence of serially correlated errors
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1994)
by Eugene Canjels & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:94-19) - Money, prices, interest rates and the business cycle
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1995)
by Robert G. King & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedhma:95-10) - Has the business cycle changed?
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2003)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedkpr:y:2003:p:9-56) - Modeling inflation after the crisis
Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2010)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedkpr:y:2010:p:173-220) - Market anticipations of monetary policy actions - commentary
Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2002)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedlrv:y:2002:i:jul:p:95-98:n:v.84no.4) - Commentary on \\"what's real about the business cycle?\\"
Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2005)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedlrv:y:2005:i:jul:p:453-458:n:v.87no.4) - Assessing changes in the monetary transmission mechanism: a VAR approach : commentary
Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2002)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fednep:y:2002:i:may:p:113-116:n:v.8no.1) - What Does Sectoral Inflation Tell Us About the Aggregate Trend in Inflation?
Richmond Fed Economic Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (2023)
by Paul Ho & Mark Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedreb:97311) - Testing long-run neutrality
Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (1997)
by Robert G. King & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedreq:y:1997:i:sum:p:69-101) - Explaining the increased variability in long-term interest rates
Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (1999)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedreq:y:1999:i:fall:p:71-96) - How accurate are real-time estimates of output trends and gaps?
Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (2007)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, fip:fedreq:y:2007:i:spr:p:143-161:n:v.93no.2) - Sectoral vs. aggregate shocks : a structural factor analysis of industrial production
Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (2008)
by Andrew T. Foerster & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedrwp:08-07) - Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends
Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (2019)
by Andrew Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, fip:fedrwp:19-11) - The Road to Cyberinfrastructure at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Technical Briefings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2018)
by
(ReDIF-paper, fip:k00002:87663) - New Indexes Of Coincident And Leading Economic Indicators
Papers, Harvard - J.F. Kennedy School of Government (1989)
by Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W.
(ReDIF-paper, fth:harvgo:178d) - Heteroskedasticity-Robust Standard Errors for Fixed Effects Panel Data Regression
Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics (2008)
by Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark
(ReDIF-paper, hrv:faseco:28461843) - The Evolution of National and Regional Factors in U.S. Housing Construction
Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics (2008)
by Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark
(ReDIF-paper, hrv:faseco:28468706) - Dynamic Factor Models
Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics (2011)
by Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark
(ReDIF-paper, hrv:faseco:28469541) - Consistent Factor Estimation in Dynamic Factor Models with Structural Instability
Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics (2013)
by Bates, Brandon J. & Plagborg-Møller, Mikkel & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-paper, hrv:faseco:28469786) - The Solution of Singular Linear Difference Systems under Rational Expectations
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (1998)
by King, Robert G & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, ier:iecrev:v:39:y:1998:i:4:p:1015-26) - Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Euro Area: Country Specific versus Area-Wide Information
Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University ()
by Massimiliano Marcellino & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, igi:igierp:201) - A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series
Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University (2005)
by Massimiliano Marcellino & James Stock & Mark Watson
(ReDIF-paper, igi:igierp:285) - Journal of Applied Econometrics Annual Lecture Series
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2007)
by Mark Watson
(ReDIF-article, jae:japmet:v:22:y:2007:i:3:p:701-701) - MTS: A Review
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (1989)
by Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, jae:japmet:v:4:y:1989:i:2:p:205-06) - Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-country data set
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2004)
by Mark W. Watson & James H. Stock
(ReDIF-article, jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:6:p:405-430) - System Reduction and Solution Algorithms for Singular Linear Difference Systems under Rational Expectations
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics (2002)
by King, Robert G & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, kap:compec:v:20:y:2002:i:1-2:p:57-86) - Comment on "On the Fit of a Neoclassical Monetary Model in Inflation: Israel 1972-1990."
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (1997)
by Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:753-55) - Oil Shocks and Aggregate Macroeconomic Behavior: The Role of Monetary Policy: Reply
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2004)
by Bernanke, Ben S & Gertler, Mark & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:36:y:2004:i:2:p:287-91) - Erratum to "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2007)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:1849-1849) - Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2007)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:39:y:2007:i:s1:p:3-33) - Inflation and Unit Labor Cost
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2012)
by Robert G. King & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:44:y:2012:i::p:111-149) - Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting
NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1993)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-book, nbr:nberbk:stoc93-1) - Are Business Cycles All Alike?
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1986)
by Olivier J. Blanchard & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:10021) - Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988)
by Matthew D. Shapiro & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:10953) - New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:10968) - Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why?
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:11075) - Comment on "Shocks and Crashes"
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:12934) - Comment on "Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy"
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2015)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:13593) - Comment on "On the Empirical (Ir)relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint"
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2019)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:14243) - Comment on "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification" 2
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2022)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:14659) - Introduction to "Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting"
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1993)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:7188) - A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1993)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:7190) - How Precise Are Estimates of the Natural Rate of Unemployment?
NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1997)
by Douglas O. Staiger & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:8885) - A Simple MLE of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems
NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1989)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberte:0083) - Measures of Fit for Calibrated Models
NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1991)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberte:0102) - Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations
NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1994)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberte:0164) - Estimating Deterministic Trends in the Presence of Serially Correlated Errors
NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1994)
by Eugene Canjels & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberte:0165) - Testing for Cointegration When Some of the Contributing Vectors are Known
NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1994)
by Michael T. K. Horvath & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberte:0171) - Asymptotically Median Unbiased Estimation of Coefficient Variance in a Time Varying Parameter Model
NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1996)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberte:0201) - Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors
NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2001)
by Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberte:0269) - Heteroskedasticity-Robust Standard Errors for Fixed Effects Panel Data Regression
NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberte:0323) - Bubbles, Rational Expectations and Financial Markets
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1982)
by Olivier J. Blanchard & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:0945) - Seasonal Adjustment with Measurement Error Present
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1983)
by Jerry A. Hausman & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:1133) - Implications of Dynamic Factor Models for VAR Analysis
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:11467) - Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:12324) - Testing Models of Low-Frequency Variability
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006)
by Ulrich Mueller & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:12671) - Relative Goods' Prices, Pure Inflation, and the Phillips Correlation
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2007)
by Ricardo Reis & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:13615) - Are Business Cycles All Alike?
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1984)
by Olivier J. Blanchard & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:1392) - Phillips Curve Inflation Forecasts
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:14322) - Sectoral vs. Aggregate Shocks: A Structural Factor Analysis of Industrial Production
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008)
by Andrew T. Foerster & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:14389) - Low-Frequency Robust Cointegration Testing
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009)
by Ulrich Müller & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:15292) - Financial Conditions Indexes: A Fresh Look after the Financial Crisis
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010)
by Jan Hatzius & Peter Hooper & Frederic S. Mishkin & Kermit L. Schoenholtz & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:16150) - Modeling Inflation After the Crisis
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:16488) - Estimating Turning Points Using Large Data Sets
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:16532) - Disentangling the Channels of the 2007-2009 Recession
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2012)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:18094) - Measuring Uncertainty about Long-Run Prediction
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013)
by Ulrich Mueller & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:18870) - Presidents and the U.S. Economy: An Econometric Exploration
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2014)
by Alan S. Blinder & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:20324) - Core Inflation and Trend Inflation
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2015)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:21282) - Low-Frequency Econometrics
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2015)
by Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:21564) - Interpreting Evidence on Money-Income Causality
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:2228) - Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1987)
by Robert G. King & Charles I. Plosser & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:2229) - Long-Run Covariability
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017)
by Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:23186) - The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017)
by John G. Fernald & Robert E. Hall & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:23543) - Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects in Macroeconomics Using External Instruments
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2018)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:24216) - Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2019)
by Andrew Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel Sarte & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:25867) - Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988)
by Matthew D. Shapiro & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:2589) - Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2019)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:25987) - An Econometric Model of International Long-run Growth Dynamics
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2019)
by Ulrich K. Müller & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:26593) - A Probability Model of The Coincident Economic Indicators
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1988)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:2772) - Business Cycle Properties of Selected U.S. Economic Time Series, 1959-1988
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1990)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:3376) - Business Cycle Durations and Postwar Stabilization of the U.S. Economy
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1992)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:4005) - A Procedure for Predicting Recessions With Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1992)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:4014) - Testing Long Run Neutrality
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1992)
by Robert King & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:4156) - How Precise are Estimates of the Natural Rate of Unemployment?
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1996)
by Douglas Staiger & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:5477) - Business Cycle Fluctuations in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1998)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:6528) - A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Univariate Models for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1998)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:6607) - Diffusion Indexes
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1998)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:6702) - Forecasting Inflation
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1999)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:7023) - Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2001)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:8180) - Prices, Wages and the U.S. NAIRU in the 1990s
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2001)
by Douglas Staiger & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:8320) - Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why?
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2002)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:9127) - Understanding Changes in International Business Cycle Dynamics
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:9859) - Recollections of Clive Granger
The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics (2010)
by Mark Watson
(ReDIF-article, oup:jfinec:v:8:y:2010:i:2:p:171-171) - Measuring Uncertainty about Long-Run Predictions
Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press (2016)
by Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, oup:restud:v:83:y:2016:i:4:p:1711-1740.) - Volatility and Time Series Econometrics: Essays in Honor of Robert Engle
OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press (2010)
by
(ReDIF-book, oxp:obooks:9780199549498) - Presidents and the U.S. Economy: An Econometric Exploration
Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies. (2014)
by Alan S. Blinder & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, pri:cepsud:241) - Consistent factor estimation in dynamic factor models with structural instability
Working Paper, Harvard University OpenScholar ()
by Brandon J. Bates & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-paper, qsh:wpaper:84631) - Measuring changes in the value of the numeraire
2007 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2007)
by Mark W. Watson & Ricardo Reis
(ReDIF-paper, red:sed007:324) - Aggregate Shocks and the Variability of Industrial Production
2008 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2008)
by Pierre-Daniel Sarte & Mark Watson & Andrew Foerster
(ReDIF-paper, red:sed008:224) - The Slow Recovery in Output after 2009
2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2017)
by Robert Hall & Mark Watson & James Stock & John Fernald
(ReDIF-paper, red:sed017:610) - Measuring Uncertainty About Long-Run Forecasts
Annual Meeting Plenary, Society for Economic Dynamics (2013)
by Mark Watson
(ReDIF-paper, red:sedpln:2013-3) - A dynamic factor model framework for forecast combination
Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association (1999)
by Yeung Lewis Chan & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, spr:specre:v:1:y:1999:i:2:p:91-121) - Generalized Shrinkage Methods for Forecasting Using Many Predictors
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2012)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, taf:jnlbes:v:30:y:2012:i:4:p:481-493) - Understanding Changes In International Business Cycle Dynamics
Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press (2005)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, tpr:jeurec:v:3:y:2005:i:5:p:968-1006) - Testing for Regression Coefficient Stability with a Stationary AR(1) Alternative
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (1985)
by Watson, Mark W & Engle, Robert F
(ReDIF-article, tpr:restat:v:67:y:1985:i:2:p:341-46) - Money, Prices, Interest Rates and the Business Cycle
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (1996)
by King, Robert G & Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, tpr:restat:v:78:y:1996:i:1:p:35-53) - Estimating Deterministic Trends In The Presence Of Serially Correlated Errors
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (1997)
by Eugene Canjels & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, tpr:restat:v:79:y:1997:i:2:p:184-200) - Core Inflation and Trend Inflation
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2016)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, tpr:restat:v:98:y:2016:i:4:p:770-784) - Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting
National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press (1993)
by
(ReDIF-book, ucp:bknber:9780226774886) - Sectoral versus Aggregate Shocks: A Structural Factor Analysis of Industrial Production
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (2011)
by Andrew T. Foerster & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/659311) - Measures of Fit for Calibrated Models
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1993)
by Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, ucp:jpolec:v:101:y:1993:i:6:p:1011-41) - Imperfect Information and Wage Inertia in the Business Cycle: A Comment
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1983)
by Watson, Mark W
(ReDIF-article, ucp:jpolec:v:91:y:1983:i:5:p:876-79) - Comment
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press (2016)
by Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, ucp:macann:doi:10.1086/685950) - Low cost light traps for coral reef fishery research and sustainable ornamental fisheries
Naga, The WorldFish Center (2002)
by Watson, M. & Power, R. & Simpson, S. & Munro, J.L.
(ReDIF-article, wfi:wfnaga:35793) - Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects in Macroeconomics Using External Instruments
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2018)
by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, wly:econjl:v:128:y:2018:i:610:p:917-948) - Nearly Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Under the Null Hypothesis
Econometrica, Econometric Society (2015)
by Graham Elliott & Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, wly:emetrp:v:83:y:2015:i::p:771-811) - Long†Run Covariability
Econometrica, Econometric Society (2018)
by Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson
(ReDIF-article, wly:emetrp:v:86:y:2018:i:3:p:775-804) - Measuring changes in the value of the numeraire
Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (2007)
by Reis, Ricardo & Watson, Mark W.
(ReDIF-paper, zbw:ifwkwp:1364)