Paolo Surico
Names
first: |
Paolo |
last: |
Surico |
Identifer
Contact
Affiliations
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London Business School (LBS)
/ Department of Economics (weight: 80%)
-
Bank of England (weight: 15%)
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Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) (weight: 5%)
Research profile
author of:
- Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals (repec:aea:aecrev:v:101:y:2011:i:1:p:109-28)
by Thomas J. Sargent & Paolo Surico - Mortgage Pricing and Monetary Policy (repec:aea:aecrev:v:115:y:2025:i:3:p:823-63)
by Matteo Benetton & Alessandro Gavazza & Paolo Surico - The Long-Run Effects of Government Spending (repec:aea:aecrev:v:115:y:2025:i:7:p:2376-2413)
by Juan Antolin-Diaz & Paolo Surico - Insiders versus Outsiders in Monetary Policymaking (repec:aea:aecrev:v:98:y:2008:i:2:p:218-23)
by Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico - VAR Analysis and the Great Moderation (repec:aea:aecrev:v:99:y:2009:i:4:p:1636-52)
by Luca Benati & Paolo Surico - Consumption, Income Changes, and Heterogeneity: Evidence from Two Fiscal Stimulus Programs (repec:aea:aejmac:v:6:y:2014:i:4:p:84-106)
by Kanishka Misra & Paolo Surico - Do Tax Increases Tame Inflation? (repec:aea:apandp:v:113:y:2023:p:377-81)
by James Cloyne & Joseba Martinez & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Monetary Policy, External Finance and Investment (repec:aoz:wpaper:92)
by James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Maren Froemel & Paolo Surico - Monetary policy when households have debt: new evidence on the transmission mechanism (repec:bde:wpaper:1813)
by James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico - Measuring the Time Inconsistency of US Monetary Policy (repec:bla:econom:v:75:y:2008:i:297:p:22-38)
by Paolo Surico - Unknown
- The Agglomeration Dilemma: “Should I Stay or Should I Go?” (repec:bla:growch:v:34:y:2003:i:3:p:261-275)
by Paolo Surico - Geographic Concentration and Increasing Returns (repec:bla:jecsur:v:17:y:2003:i:5:p:693-708)
by Paolo Surico - Evolving International Inflation Dynamics: World And Country-Specific Factors (repec:bla:jeurec:v:10:y:2012:i:4:p:716-734)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - The Monetary Policy of the European Central Bank (repec:bla:scandj:v:109:y:2007:i:1:p:115-135)
by Paolo Surico - Model Uncertainty, Optimal Monetary Policy and the Preferences of the Fed (repec:bla:scotjp:v:51:y:2004:i:1:p:105-126)
by Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico - Dynamics of the term structure of UK interest rates (repec:boe:boeewp:0363)
by Francesco Bianchi & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Household debt and the dynamic effects of income tax changes (repec:boe:boeewp:0491)
by James Cloyne & Paolo Surico - Monetary policy when households have debt: new evidence on the transmission mechanism (repec:boe:boeewp:0589)
by James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico - The consumption response to positive and negative income changes (repec:boe:boeewp:0645)
by Philip Bunn & Jeanne Le Roux & Kate Reinold & Paolo Surico - Employment and the collateral channel of monetary policy (repec:boe:boeewp:0827)
by Saleem Bahaj & Angus Foulis & Gabor Pinter & Paolo Surico - Mortgage pricing and monetary policy (repec:boe:boeewp:0936)
by Matteo Benetton & Alessandro Gavazza & Paolo Surico - The price puzzle: fact or artefact? (repec:boe:boeewp:288)
by Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico - Fundamental inflation uncertainty (repec:boe:boeewp:309)
by Charlotta Groth & Jarkko Jääskelä & Paolo Surico - Monetary policy shifts and inflation dynamics (repec:boe:boeewp:338)
by Paolo Surico - Evolving international inflation dynamics: evidence from a time-varying dynamic factor model (repec:boe:boeewp:341)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Unknown
- Consumer Spending and Fiscal Consolidation: Evidence from a Housing Tax Experiment (repec:cam:camdae:1648)
by Surico, P. & Trezzi, R. - Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation? (repec:cbi:wpaper:10/rt/07)
by D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo - (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability (repec:cbi:wpaper:5/rt/06)
by D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo - Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: The Case of Asymmetric Preferences (new title: The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences) (repec:ces:ceswps:_1280)
by Paolo Surico - Employment and the Collateral Channel of Monetary Policy (repec:cfm:wpaper:1832)
by Saleem Bahaj & Angus Foulis & Gabor Pinter & Paolo Surico - The Incidence of Transaction Taxes: Evidence from a Stamp Duty Holiday (repec:cpr:ceprdp:10063)
by Besley, Tim & Surico, Paolo & Meads, Neil - The Transmission Mechanism in Good and Bad Times (repec:cpr:ceprdp:10083)
by Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo - Monetary Policy when Households have Debt: New Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism (repec:cpr:ceprdp:11023)
by Surico, Paolo & Cloyne, James & Ferreira, Clodomiro - Consumer spending and fiscal consolidation: evidence from a housing tax experiment (repec:cpr:ceprdp:11735)
by Surico, Paolo & Trezzi, Riccardo - The Consumption Response to Positive and Negative Income Changes (repec:cpr:ceprdp:11829)
by Surico, Paolo & Bunn, Philip & Reinold, Kate & LeRoux, Jeanne - Regional Transfer Multipliers (repec:cpr:ceprdp:13304)
by Surico, Paolo & Corbi, Raphael & Papaioannou, Elias - Capital and Income Inequality: An Aggregate-Demand Complementarity (repec:cpr:ceprdp:14118)
by Bilbiie, Florin & Känzig, Diego & Surico, Paolo - Consumption in the time of Covid-19: Evidence from UK transaction data (repec:cpr:ceprdp:14733)
by Surico, Paolo & Känzig, Diego & Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem - The Distributional Impact of the Pandemic (repec:cpr:ceprdp:15101)
by Surico, Paolo & Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem & Känzig, Diego - Mortgage Market Disruptions (repec:cpr:ceprdp:15381)
by Surico, Paolo & Bracke, Philippe & Croxson, Karen & Fakhri, Daoud & Valletti, Tommaso - Less is More: Consumer Spending and the Size of Economic Stimulus Payments (repec:cpr:ceprdp:15918)
by Surico, Paolo & Andreolli, Michele - Mortgage Pricing and Monetary Policy (repec:cpr:ceprdp:16456)
by Gavazza, Alessandro & Benetton, Matteo & Surico, Paolo - The Long-Run Effects of Government Spending (repec:cpr:ceprdp:17433)
by Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Surico, Paolo - The Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes in a World of Ideas (repec:cpr:ceprdp:17455)
by Cloyne, James & Martinez, Joseba & Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo - (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability (repec:cpr:ceprdp:6594)
by Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo - Evolving International Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from a Time-varying Dynamic Factor Model (repec:cpr:ceprdp:6767)
by Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo - Household External Finance and Consumption (repec:cpr:ceprdp:6934)
by Besley, Tim & Surico, Paolo & Meads, Neil - Risk Heterogeneity and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Mortgage Market (repec:cpr:ceprdp:7633)
by Besley, Tim & Surico, Paolo & Meads, Neil - Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: the Role of Macroeconomic Volatility (repec:cpr:ceprdp:8014)
by Ricci, Luca Antonio & Benigno, Pierpaolo & Surico, Paolo - Estimating the Aggregate Consumption Euler Equation with State-Dependent Parameters (repec:cpr:ceprdp:8233)
by Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo - A Century of Inflation Forecasts (repec:cpr:ceprdp:8292)
by Surico, Paolo & , - Heterogeneous Responses and Aggregate Impact of the 2001 Income Tax Rebates (repec:cpr:ceprdp:8306)
by Surico, Paolo & Misra, Kanishka - Consumption, Income Changes and Heterogeneity: Evidence from Two Fiscal Stimulus Programmes (repec:cpr:ceprdp:9530)
by Surico, Paolo & Misra, Kanishka - Household Debt and the Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes (repec:cpr:ceprdp:9649)
by Surico, Paolo & Cloyne, James - Policy Uncertainty and Aggregate Fluctuations (repec:cpr:ceprdp:9694)
by Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo - The Cost Channel Of Monetary Policy And Indeterminacy (repec:cup:macdyn:v:12:y:2008:i:05:p:724-735_07)
by Surico, Paolo - How does the ECB target inflation? (repec:ecb:ecbwps:2003229)
by Surico, Paolo - Measuring the time-inconsistency of US monetary policy (repec:ecb:ecbwps:2003291)
by Surico, Paolo - (Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability (repec:ecb:ecbwps:2006605)
by Surico, Paolo & Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello - Evolving U.S. monetary policy and the decline of inflation predictability (repec:ecb:ecbwps:2007824)
by Surico, Paolo & Benati, Luca - VAR analysis and the Great Moderation (repec:ecb:ecbwps:2008866)
by Benati, Luca & Surico, Paolo - Bank lending and monetary transmission in the euro area (repec:ecb:ecbwps:20131568)
by De Santis, Roberto A. & Surico, Paolo - US Monetary Policy Rules: the Case for Asymmetric Preferences (repec:ecj:ac2003:199)
by Surico, Paolo - Monetary Policy, Inflation Expectations and The Price Puzzle (repec:ecj:econjl:v:120:y:2010:i:549:p:1262-1283)
by Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico - Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: the Case of Asymmetric Preferences (repec:ecm:latm04:8)
by Paolo Surico - The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences (repec:eee:dyncon:v:31:y:2007:i:1:p:305-324)
by Surico, Paolo - Price-level uncertainty and instability in the United Kingdom (repec:eee:dyncon:v:52:y:2015:i:c:p:1-16)
by Cogley, Timothy & Sargent, Thomas J. & Surico, Paolo - The distributional impact of the pandemic (repec:eee:eecrev:v:134:y:2021:i:c:s0014292121000337)
by Hacıoğlu-Hoke, Sinem & Känzig, Diego R. & Surico, Paolo - International fiscal spillovers (repec:eee:inecon:v:99:y:2016:i:c:p:31-45)
by Faccini, Renato & Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo - Capital and income inequality: An aggregate-demand complementarity (repec:eee:moneco:v:126:y:2022:i:c:p:154-169)
by Bilbiie, Florin O. & Känzig, Diego R. & Surico, Paolo - Employment and the residential collateral channel of monetary policy (repec:eee:moneco:v:131:y:2022:i:c:p:26-44)
by Bahaj, Saleem & Foulis, Angus & Pinter, Gabor & Surico, Paolo - Who gains from corporate tax cuts? (repec:eee:moneco:v:149:y:2025:i:c:s0304393224001752)
by Cloyne, James & Kurt, Ezgi & Surico, Paolo - The great moderation of the term structure of UK interest rates (repec:eee:moneco:v:56:y:2009:i:6:p:856-871)
by Bianchi, Francesco & Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo - The consumption response to positive and negative income shocks (repec:eee:moneco:v:96:y:2018:i:c:p:1-15)
by Bunn, Philip & Le Roux, Jeanne & Reinold, Kate & Surico, Paolo - The incidence of transaction taxes: Evidence from a stamp duty holiday (repec:eee:pubeco:v:119:y:2014:i:c:p:61-70)
by Besley, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo - Employment and the collateral channel of monetary policy (repec:ehl:lserod:100934)
by Bahaj, Saleem Abubakr & Foulis, Angus & Pinter, Gabor & Surico, Paolo - Mortgage pricing and monetary policy (repec:ehl:lserod:126188)
by Benetton, Matteo & Gavazza, Alessandro & Surico, Paolo - Insiders versus outsiders in monetary policymaking (repec:ehl:lserod:33743)
by Besley, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo - The incidence of transaction taxes: evidence from a stamp duty holiday (repec:ehl:lserod:59637)
by Besley, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo - Consumer Spending and Fiscal Consolidation: Evidence from a Housing Tax Experiment (repec:fip:fedgfe:2015-57)
by Paolo Surico & Riccardo Trezzi - International influences on domestic prices and activities: a FAVAR approach to open economy (repec:fip:fedgpr:y:2008:x:4)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models (repec:fip:fedrwp:06-05)
by Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico - The Distributional Impact of the Pandemic (repec:hal:wilwps:halshs-03028702)
by Hacioglu Sinem & Diego R Känzig & Paolo Surico - The Distributional Impact of the Pandemic (repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-03028702)
by Hacioglu Sinem & Diego R Känzig & Paolo Surico - Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: the Role of Macroeconomic Volatility (repec:imf:imfwpa:2010/259)
by Paolo Surico & Mr. Luca A Ricci & Pierpaolo Benigno - Unemployment and productivity in long-run: the role of macroeconomic volatility (repec:itt:wpaper:wp2011-5)
by Pierpaolo Benigno & Luca Antonio Ricci & Paolo Surico - Time-varying yield curve dynamics and monetary policy (repec:jae:japmet:v:24:y:2009:i:6:p:895-913)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models (repec:jae:japmet:v:25:y:2010:i:1:p:177-194)
by Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico - Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation? (repec:mcb:jmoncb:v:41:y:2009:i:2-3:p:479-489)
by Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico - The Transmission of International Shocks: A Factor-Augmented VAR Approach (repec:mcb:jmoncb:v:41:y:2009:i:s1:p:71-100)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Measuring the time-inconsistency of US monetary policy (repec:mmf:mmfc03:96)
by Paolo Surico - Vector Autoregression Analysis and the Great Moderation (repec:mpc:wpaper:0018)
by Luca Benati & Paolo Surico - Insiders versus Outsiders in Monetary Policy-Making (repec:mpc:wpaper:0020)
by Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico - Time-Varying Yield Curve Dynamics and Monetary Policy (repec:mpc:wpaper:0023)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Household External Finance and Consumption (repec:mpc:wpaper:0025)
by Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico - Monetary policies and low-frequency manifestations of the quantity theory (repec:mpc:wpaper:0026)
by Thomas Sargent & Paolo Surico - International comovements, business cycle and inflation: a historical perspective (repec:mpc:wpaper:0028)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico - Risk heterogeneity and credit supply: evidence from the mortgage market (repec:mpc:wpaper:0029)
by Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico - Unknown
- Risk Heterogeneity and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Mortgage Market (repec:nbr:nberch:12744)
by Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico - Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: The Role of Macroeconomic Volatility (repec:nbr:nberwo:16374)
by Pierpaolo Benigno & Luca Antonio Ricci & Paolo Surico - Regional Transfers (repec:nbr:nberwo:20751)
by Raphael Corbi & Elias Papaioannou & Paolo Surico - Monetary Policy, Corporate Finance and Investment (repec:nbr:nberwo:25366)
by James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Maren Froemel & Paolo Surico - Short-Term Tax Cuts, Long-Term Stimulus (repec:nbr:nberwo:30246)
by James Cloyne & Joseba Martinez & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Who Gains from Corporate Tax Cuts? (RePEc:nbr:nberwo:31278)
by James Cloyne & Ezgi Kurt & Paolo Surico - Bank lending and monetary transmission in the euro area
[Bank capital, bank lending and monetary policy in the euro area] (repec:oup:ecpoli:v:28:y:2013:i:75:p:423-457.)
by Roberto A. De Santis & Paolo Surico - Consumer Spending and Property Taxes (repec:oup:jeurec:v:17:y:2019:i:2:p:606-649.)
by Paolo Surico & Riccardo Trezzi - Monetary Policy, Corporate Finance, and Investment (repec:oup:jeurec:v:21:y:2023:i:6:p:2586-2634.)
by James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Maren Froemel & Paolo Surico - Asymmetric Reaction Functions for the Euro Area (repec:oup:oxford:v:19:y:2003:i:1:p:44-57)
by Paolo Surico - Household Debt and the Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes (repec:oup:restud:v:84:y:2017:i:1:p:45-81.)
by James S. Cloyne & Paolo Surico - Regional Transfer Multipliers (repec:oup:restud:v:86:y:2019:i:5:p:1901-1934.)
by Raphael Corbi & Elias Papaioannou & Paolo Surico - Monetary Policy when Households have Debt: New Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism (repec:oup:restud:v:87:y:2020:i:1:p:102-129.)
by James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico - The Price Puzzle: Fact or Artifact? (repec:pad:wpaper:0016)
by Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico - Monetary Policy, Inflation Expectations and the Price Puzzle (repec:pad:wpaper:0101)
by Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico - Monetary Policy Shifts and Inflation Dynamics (repec:pal:palchp:978-0-230-80147-9_3)
by Paolo Surico - Risk heterogeneity and credit supply: evidence from the mortgage market (repec:pra:mprapa:20905)
by Bealey, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo - Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation? (repec:pra:mprapa:6283)
by D'Agostino, A & Surico, P - The Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes in a World of Ideas (repec:qmw:qmwecw:970)
by James Cloyne & Joseba Martinez & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Taxes, Innovation and Productivity (repec:qmw:qmwecw:979)
by James Cloyne & Joseba Martinez & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Unknown
- Code and data files for "International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: A Historical Perspective" (repec:red:ccodes:09-235)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico - International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: a Historical Perspective (repec:red:issued:09-235)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico - A Historical Perspective on International Co-movements: 1821-2007 (repec:red:sed009:523)
by Saverio Simonelli & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: the Case of Asymmetric Preferences (repec:sce:scecf4:108)
by Paolo Surico - The Fed and the Stock Market (repec:sce:scecf5:293)
by Paolo Surico & Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Sala - Monetary Policy Shifts, Indeterminacy and Inflation Dynamics (repec:sce:scecf5:313)
by Paolo Surico - The Empirical Relevance of the Lucas Critique (repec:sce:scecfa:187)
by Paolo Surico & Thomas Lubik - International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: a Historical Perspective (repec:sef:csefwp:233)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico - Regional Transfer Multipliers (repec:spa:wpaper:2018wpecon12)
by Raphael Corbi & Elias Papaioannou, Paolo Surico - Unemployment and productivity in the long run: The role of macroeconomic volatility (repec:ter:wpaper:0085)
by Benigno Pierpaolo & Surico Paolo & Ricci Luca Antonio - Evolving U.S. Monetary Policy and The Decline of Inflation Predictability (repec:tpr:jeurec:v:6:y:2008:i:2-3:p:634-646)
by Luca Benati & Paolo Surico - A Century of Inflation Forecasts (repec:tpr:restat:v:94:y:2012:i:4:p:1097-1106)
by Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico - Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: The Role of Macroeconomic Volatility (repec:tpr:restat:v:97:y:2015:i:2:p:698-709)
by Pierpaolo Benigno & Luca Antonio Ricci & Paolo Surico - Risk Heterogeneity and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Mortgage Market (repec:ucp:macann:doi:10.1086/669185)
by Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico - The Transmission Mechanism In Good And Bad Times (repec:wly:iecrev:v:56:y:2015:i:4:p:1237-1260)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models (repec:wly:japmet:v:25:y:2010:i:1:p:177-194)
by Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico - Policy uncertainty and aggregate fluctuations (repec:wly:japmet:v:33:y:2018:i:3:p:319-331)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation? (repec:wly:jmoncb:v:41:y:2009:i:2-3:p:479-489)
by Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico - The Transmission of International Shocks: A Factor‐Augmented VAR Approach (repec:wly:jmoncb:v:41:y:2009:i:s1:p:71-100)
by Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico - Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: the Case of Asymmetric Preferences (repec:wpa:wuwpma:0210002)
by Paolo Surico - Uncovering Policy Makers' Loss Function (repec:wpa:wuwpma:0210003)
by Paolo Surico - How does the ECB target inflation? (repec:wpa:wuwpma:0305005)
by Paolo Surico - Measuring the Time-Inconsistency of US Monetary Policy (repec:wpa:wuwpma:0401006)
by Paolo Surico - Monetary Policy Shifts, Indeterminacy and Inflation Dynamics (repec:wpa:wuwpma:0504014)
by Paolo Surico - The Price Puzzle: Fact or Artefact? (repec:wpa:wuwpma:0505015)
by Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico - The Fed and the Stock Market (repec:wpa:wuwpma:0507001)
by Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Sala & Paolo Surico - The Price Puzzle and Indeterminacy (repec:wpa:wuwpma:0507021)
by Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico - (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability (repec:wpa:wuwpma:0510024)
by Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico - Monetary policy, inflation expectations and the price puzzle (repec:zbw:bofrdp:rdp2009_030)
by Castelnuovo, Efrem & Surico, Paolo