Robert Rich

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Identifer

Contact

Affiliations

• Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland / Economic Research
  • EDIRC entry
  • location:

Research profile

author of:

• Structural Estimates of the U.S. Sacrifice Ratio
  Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (2001)
  by Cecchetti, Stephen G & Rich, Robert W
  (ReDIF-article, bes:jnlbes:v:19:y:2001:i:4:p:416-27)
• Distinguishing trends from cycles in productivity
  BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements (2003)
  by James A Kahn & Robert Rich
  (ReDIF-chapter, bis:bisbpc:19-20)
• The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG
  BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements (2014)
  by Marlene Amstad & Simon Potter & Robert Rich
  (ReDIF-paper, bis:biswps:453)
• Rural Poverty and Aggregate Agricultural Performance in Post-independence India
  Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (1994)
  by Bell, Clive & Rich, Robert
  (ReDIF-article, bla:obuest:v:56:y:1994:i:2:p:111-33)
• Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation
  CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2022)
  by Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael
  (ReDIF-paper, cpr:ceprdp:17356)
• Generalized instrumental variables estimation of autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models
  Economics Letters, Elsevier (1991)
  by Rich, Robert W. & Raymond, Jennie & Butler, J. S.
  (ReDIF-article, eee:ecolet:v:35:y:1991:i:2:p:179-185)
• Testing for measurement errors in expectations from survey data : An instrumental variables approach
  Economics Letters, Elsevier (1993)
  by Rich, Robert W. & Raymond, Jennie E. & Butler, J. S.
  (ReDIF-article, eee:ecolet:v:43:y:1993:i:1:p:5-10)
• Testing for the exogeneity of real income in models of the poverty process evidence from post-independence India
  Economics Letters, Elsevier (1994)
  by Bell, Clive & Rich, Robert W.
  (ReDIF-article, eee:ecolet:v:46:y:1994:i:4:p:295-302)
• Inflation and the asymmetric effects of money on output fluctuations
  Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (1995)
  by Rhee, Wooheon & Rich, Robert W.
  (ReDIF-article, eee:jmacro:v:17:y:1995:i:4:p:683-702)
• Indirect consumer inflation expectations: Theory and evidence
  Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2024)
  by Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S. & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael
  (ReDIF-article, eee:moneco:v:145:y:2024:i:s:s0304393224000217)
• Tracking the new economy: Using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity
  Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2007)
  by Kahn, James A. & Rich, Robert W.
  (ReDIF-article, eee:moneco:v:54:y:2007:i:6:p:1670-1701)
• Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data
  FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2023)
  by Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Keshav Dogra & Sebastian Heise & Edward S. Knotek & Brent Meyer & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedawp:96346)
• Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2019 Conference Summary
  Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2019)
  by Andres Blanco & Mina Kim & Edward S. Knotek & Matthias Paustian & Robert W. Rich & Jane Ryngaert & Raphael Schoenle & Joris Tielens & Michael Weber & Mirko Wiederholt & Tony Zhang
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedcec:86676)
• Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics | 2019 CEBRA Annual Meeting Session Summary
  Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2020)
  by Timo Haber & Edward S. Knotek & Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Julio L. Ortiz & Damjan Pfajfar & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedcec:88230)
• How Aggregation Matters for Measured Wage Growth
  Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2020)
  by Michael Morris & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedcec:88344)
• Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 Conference Summary
  Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2021)
  by Philippe Andrade & Marco Del Negro & Colin J. Hottman & Christian Hoynck & Edward S. Knotek & Matthias Meier & Robert W. Rich & Elisa Rubbo & Raphael Schoenle & Daniel Villar Vallenas & Michael Weber
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedcec:89984)
• Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 CEBRA Annual Meeting Session Summary
  Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2021)
  by Edward S. Knotek & Michael Lamla & Emanuel Moench & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedcec:89985)
• Flexible Average Inflation Targeting and Inflation Expectations: A Look at the Reaction by Professional Forecasters
  Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2021)
  by Kristoph Naggert & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedcec:90677)
• Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations
  Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2022)
  by Ina Hajdini & Edward S. Knotek & John Leer & Mathieu Pedemonte & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedcec:93780)
• Adjusting Median and Trimmed-Mean Inflation Rates for Bias Based on Skewness
  Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2022)
  by Robert W. Rich & Randal J. Verbrugge & Saeed Zaman
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedcec:93874)
• The Anchoring of US Inflation Expectations Since 2012
  Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2023)
  by Kristoph Naggert & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedcec:96449)
• A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area
  Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2018)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwp:1813)
• All Forecasters Are Not the Same: Time-Varying Predictive Ability across Forecast Environments
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2021)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwq:90000)
• Surveys of Professionals
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2022)
  by Michael Clements & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwq:94166)
• Greater Than the Sum of the Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2022)
  by Alexander Dietrich & Edward S. Knotek & Kristian Ove R. Myrseth & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwq:94364)
• Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2022)
  by Ina Hajdini & Edward S. Knotek & John Leer & Mathieu Pedemonte & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwq:94384)
• Heterogeneity and the Effects of Aggregation on Wage Growth
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2022)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwq:94538)
• Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2022)
  by Ina Hajdini & Edward S. Knotek & John Leer & Mathieu Pedemonte & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwq:95164)
• Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2023)
  by Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Keshav Dogra & Sebastian Heise & Edward S. Knotek & Brent Meyer & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwq:96283)
• Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2023)
  by Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Keshav Dogra & Sebastian Heise & Edward S. Knotek & Brent Meyer & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwq:96284)
• An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2024)
  by Michael Clements & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedcwq:98806)
• A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2018)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:feddwp:1811)
• Heterogeneity and the Effects of Aggregation on Wage Growth
  Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2022)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:feddwp:94542)
• Tracking the new economy: using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity
  Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2003)
  by James A. Kahn & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedfpr:y:2003:i:nov:x:1)
• Two new indexes offer a broad view of economic activity in the New York - New Jersey region
  Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (1999)
  by James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednci:y:1999:i:oct:n:v.5no.14)
• Understanding the recent behavior of U.S. inflation
  Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2000)
  by Robert W. Rich & Donald Rissmiller
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednci:y:2000:i:jul:n:v.6no.8)
• Tracking productivity in real time
  Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2006)
  by James A. Kahn & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednci:y:2006:i:nov:n:v.12no.8)
• Is the worst over? Economic indexes and the course of the recession in New York and New Jersey
  Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2009)
  by Jason Bram & James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen & Joseph Song
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednci:y:2009:i:sep:n:v.15no.5)
• Improving survey measures of household inflation expectations
  Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2010)
  by Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednci:y:2010:i:aug/sep:n:v.16no.7)
• How does slack influence inflation?
  Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2011)
  by Anna Cororaton & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednci:y:2011:i:june:n:v.17no.3)
• The parts are more than the whole: separating goods and services to predict core inflation
  Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2013)
  by M. Henry Linder & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednci:y:2013:i:aug:n:v.19no.7)
• The New York Fed Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)
  Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2017)
  by Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednep:00042)
• Is there an inflation puzzle?
  Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (1997)
  by Cara S. Lown & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednep:y:1997:i:dec:p:51-77:n:v.3no.4)
• Leading economic indexes for New York State and New Jersey
  Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2001)
  by James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednep:y:2001:i:mar:p:73-94:n:v.7no.1)
• The historical and recent behavior of goods and services inflation
  Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2004)
  by Alexis Antoniades & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednep:y:2004:i:dec:p:19-31:n:v.10no.3)
• A comparison of measures of core inflation
  Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2007)
  by Robert W. Rich & Charles Steindel
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fednep:y:2007:i:dec:p:19-38:n:v.13no.3)
• Compensation Growth and Slack in the Current Economic Environment
  Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2012)
  by M. Henry Linder & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednls:86838)
• Drilling Down into Core Inflation: Goods versus Services
  Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2013)
  by M. Henry Linder & Richard Peach & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednls:86875)
• Consumer Confidence: A Useful Indicator of . . . the Labor Market?
  Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2013)
  by Joshua Abel & Jason Bram & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednls:86892)
• How Do Firms Adjust Prices in a High Inflation Environment?
  Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2023)
  by Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Keshav Dogra & Sebastian Heise & Edward S. Knotek & Brent Meyer & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednls:96286)
• Is there an inflation puzzle?
  Research Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (1997)
  by Cara S. Lown & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednrp:9723)
• Uncertainty and labor contract durations
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2000)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:106)
• Structural change in U.S. wage determination
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2001)
  by Robert W. Rich & Donald Rissmiller
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:117)
• Tracking the new economy: using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2003)
  by James A. Kahn & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:159)
• Modeling uncertainty: predictive accuracy as a proxy for predictive confidence
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2003)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:161)
• The linkage between regional economic indexes and tax bases: evidence from New York
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2004)
  by Jason Bram & Andrew F. Haughwout & James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:188)
• A review of core inflation and an evaluation of its measures
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2005)
  by Robert W. Rich & Charles Steindel
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:236)
• The relationship between expected inflation, disagreement, and uncertainty: evidence from matched point and density forecasts
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2006)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:253)
• Early contract renegotiation: An analysis of U.S. labor contracts from 1970 to 1995
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2011)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:521)
• The measurement and behavior of uncertainty: evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2012)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Song & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:588)
• The FRBNY staff underlying inflation gauge: UIG
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2014)
  by Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:672)
• Structural estimates of the U.S. sacrifice ratio
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (1999)
  by Stephen G. Cecchetti & Robert W. Rich
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:71)
• The behavior of uncertainty and disagreement and their roles in economic prediction: a panel analysis
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2017)
  by Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:808)
• Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data
  Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2023)
  by Wandi Bruine de Bruin & Keshav Dogra & Sebastian Heise & Edward S. Knotek & Brent Meyer & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednsr:96321)
• The Relationship between Forecast Dispersion and Forecast Uncertainty: Evidence from a Survey Data-ARCH Model
  Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (1992)
  by Rich, R W & Raymond, J E & Butler, J S
  (ReDIF-article, jae:japmet:v:7:y:1992:i:2:p:131-48)
• Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov State-Switching Approach
  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (1997)
  by Raymond, Jennie E & Rich, Robert W
  (ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:193-213)
• Erratum [Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov State-Switching Approach]
  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (1997)
  by Raymond, Jennie E & Rich, Robert W
  (ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:555)
• Disagreement as a Measure of Uncertainty: A Comment on Bomberger
  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (1998)
  by Rich, Robert W & Butler, J S
  (ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:411-19)
• Greater Than the Sum of Its Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2023)
  by Alexander Dietrich & Edward S. Knotek II & Kristian O. Myrseth & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:31822)
• Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2000)
  by Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:7731)
• Testing the Rationality of Inflation Forecasts from Survey Data: Another Look at the SRC Expected Price Change Data
  The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (1989)
  by Rich, Robert W
  (ReDIF-article, tpr:restat:v:71:y:1989:i:4:p:682-86)
• Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations
  The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2004)
  by Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-article, tpr:restat:v:86:y:2004:i:1:p:270-287)
• Using Regional Economic Indexes to Forecast Tax Bases: Evidence from New York
  The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2005)
  by Robert Rich & Jason Bram & Andrew Haughwout & James Orr & Rae Rosen & Rebecca Sela
  (ReDIF-article, tpr:restat:v:87:y:2005:i:4:p:627-634)
• The Relationships among Expected Inflation, Disagreement, and Uncertainty: Evidence from Matched Point and Density Forecasts
  The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2010)
  by Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-article, tpr:restat:v:92:y:2010:i:1:p:200-207)
• Early Contract Renegotiation: An Analysis of US Labor Contracts, 1970-1995
  Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press (2013)
  by Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-article, ucp:jlabec:doi:10.1086/669965)
• The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
  Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2016)
  by Joshua Abel & Robert Rich & Joseph Song & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-article, wly:japmet:v:31:y:2016:i:3:p:533-550)
• A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area
  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2021)
  by Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy
  (ReDIF-article, wly:jmoncb:v:53:y:2021:i:1:p:233-253)