Simon Potter

Names

Contact

Affiliations

• Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics (IIE)
  • website
  • location: Washington, District of Columbia (United States)

Research profile

author of:

• Forecasting in Large Macroeconomic Panels using Bayesian Model Averaging
  by Gary Koop & Simon Potter
• Forecasting recessions using the yield curve
  by Marcelle Chauvet & Simon Potter
• Predicting a recession: evidence from the yield curve in the presence of structural breaks
  by Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon
• Prior Elicitation in Multiple Change-point Models
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Dynamic asymmetries in US unemployment
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Prior elicitation in multiple change-point models
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Coincident and leading indicators of the stock market
  by Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon
• Changes in Labor Force Participation in the United States
  by Chinhui Juhn & Simon Potter
• Recent changes in the U.S. business cycle
  by Marcelle Chauvet & Simon M. Potter
• Diagnostic testing for Nonlinearity Chaos, and General Dependence in Time Series Data.
  by Brock, W. A. & Potter, S. M.
• Forecasting and estimating multiple change-point models with an unknown number of change points
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Recent Changes in the US Business Cycle
  by Marcelle Chauvet & Simon Potter
• Equilibrium Asset Pricing Models and Predictability of Excess Returns
  by M. Hashem Pesaran & Simon M. Potter
• Re-examining the Consumption-Wealth Relationship: The Role of Model Uncertainty
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter & Rodney W. Strachan
• Nonlinear impulse response functions
  by Simon M. Potter
• Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics: An Introduction.
  by Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M.
• Nonlinear impulse response functions
  by Potter, Simon M.
• Economic restructuring in New York State
  by Erica L. Groshen & Simon M. Potter & Rebecca J. Sela
• Nonlinear risk
  by Marcelle Chauvet & Simon M. Potter
• Is there still an added-worker effect?
  by Chinhui Juhn & Simon M. Potter
• Nonlinear time series modelling: an introduction
  by Simon M. Potter
• Dynamic Asymmetries in U.S. Unemployment.
  by Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• Bayes factors and nonlinearity: Evidence from economic time series1
  by Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• Re-Examining the Consumption-Wealth Relationship: The Role of Model Uncertainty
  by GARY KOOP & SIMON M. POTTER & RODNEY W. STRACHAN
• Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models
  by Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M.
• Bayesian Analysis of Endogenous Delay Threshold Models
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Liquidity effects of the events of September 11, 2001
  by James J. McAndrews & Simon M. Potter
• Has structural change contributed to a jobless recovery?
  by Erica L. Groshen & Simon M. Potter
• Reexamining the consumption-wealth relationship: the role of model uncertainty
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter & Rodney W. Strachan
• Bayesian Analysis of Endogenous Delay Threshold Models.
  by Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle
  by Simon M. Potter & Edward E. Leamer
• Forecasting recessions using the yield curve
  by Marcelle Chauvet & Simon M. Potter
• Explaining the recent divergence in payroll and household employment growth
  by Chinhui Juhn & Simon M. Potter
• Markov switching in disaggregate unemployment rates
  by Chinhui Juhn & Simon Potter & Marcelle Chauvet
• Fluctuations in confidence and asymmetric business cycles
  by Simon M. Potter
• Forecasting in large macroeconomic panels using Bayesian Model Averaging
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Forecasting and Estimating Multiple Change-point Models with an Unknown Number of Change-points
  by Gary M. Koop & Simon M. Potter
• A Nonlinear Approach to US GNP.
  by Potter, Simon M.
• A Nonlinear Approach to U.S. GNP
  by Simon M. Potter
• Markov switching in disaggregate unemployment rates
  by Marcelle Chauvet & Chinhui Juhn & Simon M. Potter
• Are apparent findings of nonlinearity due to structural instability in economic time series?
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Are apparent findings of nonlinearity due to structural instability in economic time series?
  by GARY KOOP & SIMON M. POTTER
• A Floor and Ceiling Model of U.S. Output.
  by Pesaran, H. M. & Potter, S. M.
• Forecasting in dynamic factor models using Bayesian model averaging
  by Gary Koop & Simon Potter
• A floor and ceiling model of US output
  by Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M.
• The Vector Floor and Ceiling Model
  by Gary Koop & Simon Potter
• A flexible approach to parametric inference in nonlinear time series models
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Rethinking the measurement of household inflation expectations: preliminary findings
  by Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Michael F. Bryan & Simon M. Potter & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw
• PRIOR ELICITATION IN MULTIPLE CHANGE-POINT MODELS
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Monitoring Business Cycles with Structural Breaks
  by Marcelle, Chauvet & Simon, Potter
• Dynamic hierarchical factor models
  by Emanuel Moench & Serena Ng & Simon M. Potter
• Real time underlying inflation gauges for monetary policymakers
  by Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter
• A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle
  by Potter Simon M.
• Modeling the dynamics of inflation compensation
  by Jochmann, Markus & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis*
  by Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon Potter
• Technical Appendix to: Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis
  by Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• NONLINEAR RISK
  by Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon
• Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis
  by Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Understanding liquidity and credit risks in the financial crisis
  by Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• Time varying VARs with inequality restrictions
  by Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• Modeling the Dynamics of Inflation Compensation
  by Markus Jochmann & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Improving survey measures of household inflation expectations
  by Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw
• Business cycle monitoring with structural changes
  by Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon
• A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve
  by Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• A New Model of Trend Inflation
  by Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter
• A flexible approach to parametric inference in nonlinear and time varying time series models
  by Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon
• The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations
  by Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• A new model of trend inflation
  by Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon
• The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations*
  by Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon Potter
• Recent developments in monetary policy implementation
  by Simon M. Potter
• The FRBNY staff underlying inflation gauge: UIG
  by Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich
• Central bank macroeconomic forecasting during the global financial crisis: the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York experiences
  by Luci Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon M. Potter
• Implementation of open market operations in a time of transition
  by Simon M. Potter
• Interest rate control during normalization
  by Simon M. Potter
• Challenges posed by the evolution of the Treasury market
  by Simon M. Potter
• Money markets and monetary policy normalization
  by Simon M. Potter
• Trends in foreign exchange markets and the challenges ahead
  by Simon M. Potter
• Dinner address for the Bank of England-Federal Reserve Bank of New York Conference on Money Markets and Monetary Policy Implementation
  by Simon M. Potter
• The Federal Reserve’s counterparty framework: past, present, and future
  by Simon M. Potter
• Improving survey measures of inflation expectations
  by Simon M. Potter
• Central bank macroeconomic forecasting during the global financial crisis: the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York experiences
  by Onorante, Luca & Alessi, Lucia & Ghysels, Eric & Potter, Simon & Peach, Richard
• Improving the measurement of inflation expectations
  by Simon M. Potter
• Rejoinder
  by Lucia Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon Potter
• The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG
  by Marlene Amstad & Simon Potter & Robert Rich
• Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis
  by Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• The implementation of current asset purchases
  by Simon M. Potter
• A New Model of Trend Inflation
  by Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Measuring Inflation Expectations
  by Olivier Armantier & Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Simon Potter & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert van der Klaauw & Basit Zafar
• The implementation of current asset purchases
  by Simon M. Potter
• Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting During the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences
  by Lucia Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon Potter
• Remarks on the role of central bank interactions with financial markets
  by Simon M. Potter
• Dynamic Hierarchical Factor Model
  by Emanuel Moench & Serena Ng & Simon Potter
• A flexible approach to parametric inference in nonlinear and time varying time series models
  by Gary Koop & Simon Potter
• The dynamics of UK and US inflation expectations
  by Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations
  by Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• Estimation and Forecasting in Models with Multiple Breaks
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectation
  by Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations
  by Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M.
• Forecasting Output
  by Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon
  edited by
• A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve
  by Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• A New Model of Trend Inflation
  by Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• A New Model Of Trend Inflation
  by Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon
• Some observations and lessons from the crisis
  by Simon M. Potter
• Money markets after liftoff: assessment to date and the road ahead
  by Simon M. Potter
• Implementing monetary policy post-crisis: What have we learned? What do we need to know? remarks at a workshop organized by Columbia University SIPA and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, May 2016
  by Simon M. Potter
• The advantages of probabilistic survey questions: remarks at the IT Forum and RCEA Bayesian Workshop, keynote address, Rimini, Italy, May 2016
  by Simon M. Potter
• Discussion of “Evaluating Monetary Policy Operational Frameworks” by Ulrich Bindseil: remarks at the 2016 Economic Policy Symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming
  by Simon M. Potter
• The role of best practices in supporting market integrity and effectiveness: remarks at the 2016 Primary Dealers Meeting, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
  by Simon M. Potter
• Is there room for more monetary cooperation?: panel discussion remarks at the Global Financial Stability in a New Monetary Environment conference, Paris, France
  by Simon M. Potter
• A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, Nairu and the Phillips Curve
  by Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Prior Elicitation in Multiple Change-point Models
  by Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter
• Concluding remarks at the Monetary Policy Implementation in the Long Run Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
  by Simon M. Potter
• Money markets at a crossroads: policy implementation at a time of structural change: remarks at the Master of Applied Economics' Distinguished Speaker Series, University of California, Los Angeles
  by Simon M. Potter
• The Foreign Exchange Global Code: lessons learned and next steps: remarks at the 2017 FX Week Conference, New York City
  by Simon M. Potter
• Remarks to the Assembly of Governors of the Association of African Central Banks, South African Reserve Bank, Pretoria, South Africa
  by Simon M. Potter
• Gradual and predictable: reducing the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet: remarks at SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum, New York City
  by Simon M. Potter
• Implementing monetary policy with the balance sheet: keynote remarks for ECB Workshop: Money Markets, Monetary Policy Implementation, and Central Bank Balance Sheets, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
  by Simon M. Potter
• The Advantages of Probabilistic Survey Questions
  by Simon M. Potter & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert van den Klaauv
• Reducing the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet: the benefits of moving gradually and predictably: remarks to the National Association of Securities Professionals, New York City
  by Simon M. Potter
• The New York Fed Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)
  by Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich
• Keynote remarks for the Commemoration of the Centennial of the Federal Reserve’s U.S. Dollar Account Services to the Global Official Sector
  by Simon M. Potter
• The supply of money-like assets: remarks for American Economic Association panel session: The Balance Sheets of Central Banks and the Shortage of Safe Assets, Philadelphia
  by Simon M. Potter
• Confidence in the implementation of U.S. monetary policy normalization: remarks at the 23rd EMEAP (Executives’ Meeting of East Asia-Pacific Central Banks) Governors’ Meeting, Manila, Philippines
  by Simon M. Potter
• U.S. monetary policy normalization is proceeding smoothly: remarks at the China Finance 40 Forum - Euro 50 Group - CIGI Roundtable, Banque de France, Paris, France
  by Simon M. Potter
• Models only get you so far: remarks for the Federal Reserve Banks of Atlanta and New York's First Annual Joint Research Day on Quantitative Tools for Monitoring Macroeconomic and Financial Conditions, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
  by Simon M. Potter
• The Federal Reserve's experience purchasing and reinvesting agency MBS: remarks at the Bank of England, London
  by Simon M. Potter
• Securing macroeconomic and monetary stability with a Federal Reserve–backed digital currency
  by Julia Coronado & Simon Potter
• Reviving the potency of monetary policy with recession insurance bonds
  by Julia Coronado & Simon Potter
• Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves
  by Gara Afonso & Kyungmin Kim & Antoine Martin & Ed Nosal & Simon M. Potter & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
• Monetary Policy Implementation With an Ample Supply of Reserves
  by Gara Afonso & Kyungmin Kim & Antoine Martin & Ed Nosal & Simon M. Potter & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
• How the Fed Changes the Size of Its Balance Sheet
  by Deborah Leonard & Antoine Martin & Simon M. Potter
• Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves
  by Gara M. Afonso & Kyungmin Kim & Antoine Martin & Ed Nosal & Simon M. Potter & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
• Okun’s Law and Long Expansions
  by Jonathan McCarthy & Ging Cee Ng & Simon M. Potter
• Conclusion: How Low Will the Unemployment Rate Go?
  by Jonathan McCarthy & Simon M. Potter & Aysegul Sahin
• Prospects for the U.S. Labor Market
  by Jonathan McCarthy & Simon M. Potter
• How the Fed Changes the Size of Its Balance Sheet: The Case of Mortgage-Backed Securities
  by Deborah Leonard & Antoine Martin & Simon M. Potter & Brett Rose
• Monetary Policy Implementation with an Ample Supply of Reserves
  by Kyungmin Kim & Antoine Martin & Gara Minguez-Afonso & Ed Nosal & Simon M. Potter & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl