Michael T. Owyang

Names

Contact

Affiliations

• Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis → Research Division
  • website
  • location: St. Louis, Missouri (United States)

Research profile

author of:

• The long and the short of the federal funds target cuts
  by Michael T. Owyang
• Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy
  by Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall
• For love or money: why married men make more
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Survey says...
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• A flexible finite-horizon alternative to long-run restrictions with an application to technology shock
  by Riccardo DiCecio & Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Jennifer E. Roush
• The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions
  by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure
  by Leora Friedberg & Michael Owyang
• Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage
  by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
• Nonlinear Hedonics and the Search for School District Quality
  by Michael T. Owyang & Abbigail J. Chiodo & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo
• Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang
• The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Athena T. Theodorou
• Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure
  by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang
• The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Athena T. Theodorou
• What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries?
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Athena T. Theodorou
• Business cycle phases in U.S. states
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
• Monetary policy: the whole country gets the same treatment, but results vary
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Subject to revision
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Massimo Guidolin & Michael T. Owyang & Makoto Shimoji
• Financial aid and college choice
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Symmetric inflation risk
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption?
  by Thomas A. Garrett & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• Regime switching and monetary policy measurement
  by Owyang, Michael T. & Ramey, Garey
• Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption?
  by Thomas A. Garrett & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• Marriage, motherhood and money: how do women's life decisions influence their wages?
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology SHocks in G7-Countries
  by Athena T. Theodorou & Neville R. Francis & Michael T. Owyang
• Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Your current job probably won't be your last
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Regime switching and monetary policy measurement
  by Michael T. Owyang & Garey Ramey
• Not your father's pension plan: the rise of 401K and other defined contribution plans
  by Leora Freidberg & Michael T. Owyang
• Can a summer hike cause a surprise fall for mortgage rates?
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Putting off retirement: the rise of the 401(k)
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Massimo Guidolin & Michael T. Owyang & Makoto Shimoji
• Persistence, excess volatility, and volatility clusters in inflation
  by Michael T. Owyang
• Hard 'core' inflation
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Editor's introduction
  by Michael T. Owyang
• Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage
  by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
• The baby-boom boom
  by Michael T. Owyang
• A Flexible Finite-Horizon Identification of Technology Shocks
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Jennifer E. Roush
• So much for that merit raise: the link between wages and appearance
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
• Keep your résumé current
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang
• A case study of a currency crisis: the Russian default of 1998
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR
  by Michael T. Owyang
• Low unemployment: old dogs or new tricks?
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Howard J. Wall
• Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy
  by Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall
• What's in a name? reconciling conflicting evidence on ethnic names
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions
  by Hernandez-Murillo, Ruben & Owyang, Michael T.
• The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
• Look who's working now
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Social changes lead married women into labor force
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Howard J. Wall & Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
• Barreling down the road to recession?
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall & Christopher H. Wheeler
• What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries?
  by Francis, Neville R. & Owyang, Michael T. & Theodorou, Athena T.
• Working hard or hardly working? the evolution of leisure in the United States
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries?
  by Neville R. Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Athena T. Theodorou
• Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach
  by Michelle T. Armesto & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger
• Monetary Policy in a Markov-Switching Vector Error-Correction Model: Implications for the Cost of Disinflation and the Price Puzzle
  by Francis, Neville & Owyang, Michael T.
• A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
• Look who's still working now
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing
  by Ivana Komunjer & Michael T. Owyang
• States and the business cycle
  by Michael T. Owyang & David E. Rapach & Howard J. Wall
• Splitsville: the economics of unilateral divorce
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Changing trends in the labor force: a survey
  by Riccardo DiCecio & Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Christopher H. Wheeler
• What are the chances?
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• A primer on the empirical identification of government spending shocks
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Sarah Zubairy
• Extra credit: the rise of short-term liabilities
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve's Eighth District
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach
  by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy M. & Wall, Howard J. & Wheeler, Christopher H.
• A winning combination? economic theory meets sports
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation
  by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J.
• Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach
  by MICHELLE T. ARMESTO & RUB…N. HERN¡NDEZ-MURILLO & MICHAEL T. OWYANG & JEREMY PIGER
• States and the business cycle
  by Owyang, Michael T. & Rapach, David E. & Wall, Howard J.
• Identifying Local Differences in Retirement Patterns
  by Leora Friedberg & Michael Owyang & Anthony Webb
• Is housing the business cycle? evidence from U.S. cities
  by Andra C. Ghent & Michael T. Owyang
• The propagation of regional recessions
  by James D. Hamilton & Michael T. Owyang
• Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy
  by Michael Owyang & Howard Wall
• Who benefits from increased government spending? a state-level analysis
  by Michael T. Owyang & Sarah Zubairy
• The local effects of monetary policy
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan
• Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage
  by Friedberg Leora & Owyang Michael T. & Sinclair Tara M.
• Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
• Not your father's oil shock
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Is housing the business cycle? Evidence from US cities
  by Ghent, Andra C. & Owyang, Michael T.
• Nonlinear effects of school quality on house prices
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain
  by Riccardo DiCecio & Michael T. Owyang
• Business cycle measures
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Unconventional oil production: stuck in a rock and a hard place
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• Discordant city employment cycles
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
• A time-varying threshold STAR model of unemployment and the natural rate
  by Michael J. Dueker & Michael T. Owyang & Martin Sola
• Forecasting with mixed frequencies
  by Michelle T. Armesto & Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• When do recessions begin and end?
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
• WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE BUSINESS CYCLE? A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF JOBLESS RECOVERIES
  by Engemann, Kristie M. & Owyang, Michael T.
• The Propagation of Regional Recessions
  by James D. Hamilton & Michael T. Owyang
• The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks
  by Neville Francis & Eric Ghysels & Michael T. Owyang
• Patterns of interstate migration in the United States from the survey of income and program participation
  by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Lesli S. Ott & Michael T. Owyang & Denise Whalen
• Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• Discordant city employment cycles
  by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J.
• Where is an oil shock?
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall
• Where is an oil shock?
  by Engemann, Kristie & Owyang, Michael T. & Wall, Howard J.
• Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods
  by Andra C. Ghent & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• Race and Subprime Loan Pricing
  by Ruben Hernandez & Michael Owyang & Andra Ghent
• Worth your weight? re-examining the link between obesity and wages
  by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
• Discordant City Employment Cycles
  by Michael Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Howard Wall
• Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices
  by Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
• Forecasting national recessions using state level data
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
• Regime Switching and Monetary Policy Measurement
  by Owyang, Michael T. & Ramey, Garey
• Multivariate Forecast Evaluation And Rationality Testing
  by Komunjer, Ivana & OWYANG, MICHAEL
• Did affordable housing legislation contribute to the subprime securities boom?
  by Andra C. Ghent & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
  by Engemann, Kristie M. & Kliesen, Kevin L. & Owyang, Michael T.
• An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Özge Savascin
• Forecasting national recessions using state-level data
  by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J.
• Where there’s a smoking ban, there’s still fire
  by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
• Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different?
  by Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan
• Disentangling diverse measures: a survey of financial stress indexes
  by Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
• Un estudio de caso de una crisis monetaria: el incumplimiento ruso de 1998
  by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
• Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing
  by Ivana Komunjer & Michael T. Owyang
• The Local Effects of Monetary Policy
  by Francis Neville & Owyang Michael T. & Sekhposyan Tatevik
• Measuring the effect of school choice on economic outcomes
  by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
• The Propagation of Regional Recessions
  by James D. Hamilton & Michael T. Owyang
• Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data
  by Michael T. Owyang & Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy
• Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data
  by Michael T. Owyang & Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy
• Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data
  by Michael T. Owyang & Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy
• Discordant city employment cycles
  by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J.
• Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts
  by Julieta Caunedo & Riccardo DiCecio & Ivana Komunjer & Michael T. Owyang
• Who benefits from increased government spending? A state-level analysis
  by Owyang, Michael T. & Zubairy, Sarah
• Okun's law in recession and recovery
  by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
• Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data
  by Valerie Ramey & Sarah Zubairy & Michael Owyang
• Clustered Housing Cycles
  by Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Margarita Rubio
• Clustered housing cycles
  by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Margarita Rubio
• Output and unemployment: how do they relate today?
  by Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan & E. Katarina Vermann
• Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions
  by Neville Francis & Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang
• Employment Revision Asymmetries
  by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
• How Has Empirical Monetary Policy Analysis Changed After the Financial Crisis?
  by Neville Francis & Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang
• Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy
  by Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang
• Rockets and Feathers: Why Don't Gasoline Prices Always Move in Sync with Oil Prices?
  by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
• Patterns of Interstate Migration in the United States from the Survey of Income and Program Participation
  by RubÃn Hernández-Murillo & Lesli S. Ott & Michael T. Owyang & Denise Whalen
• WHERE IS AN OIL SHOCK?
  by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall
• A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Jennifer E. Roush & Riccardo DiCecio
• Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods
  by Ghent, Andra C. & Hernández-Murillo, Rubén & Owyang, Michael T.
• A Measure of Price Pressures
  by Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
• Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days?
  by Diana A. Cooke & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang
• Does the United States Lead Foreign Business Cycles?
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Daniel Soques
• A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law
  by Amy Y. Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
• Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR
  by Michael W. McCracken & Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan
• Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement
  by Laura E. Jackson & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang
• A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law
  by Amy Y. Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
• Clustered Housing Cycles
  by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Margarita Rubio
• Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure
  by Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
• Measuring Trends in Income Inequality
  by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
• Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market
  by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
• Nonlinearities, Smoothing and Countercyclical Monetary Policy
  by Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang & Daniel Soques
• Did Affordable Housing Legislation Contribute to the Subprime Securities Boom?
  by Andra C. Ghent & Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
• Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data
  by MICHAEL T. OWYANG & JEREMY PIGER & HOWARD J. WALL
• China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors?
  by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
• How Do Local Labor Markets Affect Retirement?
  by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang & Wei Sun & Anthony Webb
• Debt and Stabilization Policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR
  by Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang & Sarah Zubairy
• A state-level analysis of Okun's law
  by Guisinger, Amy Y. & Hernandez-Murillo, Ruben & Owyang, Michael T. & Sinclair, Tara M.
• Clustered housing cycles
  by Hernández-Murillo, Rubén & Owyang, Michael T. & Rubio, Margarita
• Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement
  by Laura E. Jackson & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang
  edited by
• The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks
  by Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
• International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters
  by Laura Coroneo & Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang
• Comparing Measures of Potential Output
  by Amy Y. Guisinger & Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
• Measuring Potential Output
  by Amy Y. Guisinger & Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
• Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP
  by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
• Business Cycles Across Space and Time
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Daniel Soques
• Contagious Switching
  by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Daniel Soques
• Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector
  by Amy Y. Guisinger & Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
• Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions
  by NEVILLE FRANCIS & LAURA E. JACKSON & MICHAEL T. OWYANG
• Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy
  by ANA BEATRIZ GALVÃO & MICHAEL T. OWYANG
• An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles
  by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Ozge Savascin
• Debt and stabilization policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR
  by Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T. & Zubairy, Sarah
• Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy
  by Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T. & Soques, Daniel
• Discussion of “An approach for identifying and predicting economic recessions in real‐time using time‐frequency functional models”by Holan, Yang, Matteson, and Wikle
  by Eric Ghysels & Michael T. Owyang
• A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law
  by Amy Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael Owyang & Tara Sinclair
• Binary Conditional Forecasts
  by Michael W. McCracken & Joseph McGillicuddy & Michael T. Owyang
• Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics
  by Laura E. Jackson & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang
• A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes
  by Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
• Individual and Aggregate Constrained Efficient Intertemporal Wedges in Dynamic Mirrleesian Economies
  by Yunmin Chen & YiLi Chien & Michael T. Owyang
• COVID-19: What Do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth?
  by Julie Bennett & Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
• Could More Progressive Taxes Increase Income Inequality?
  by Laura E. Jackson & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang
• Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data
  by Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang
• How has empirical monetary policy analysis in the U.S. changed after the financial crisis?
  by Francis, Neville R. & Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T.
• International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters
  by Coroneo, Laura & Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T.
• Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach
  by MICHELLE T. ARMESTO & RUBÉN HERNÁNDEZ‐MURILLO & MICHAEL T. OWYANG & JEREMY PIGER
• The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks
  by Jackson Laura E. & Kliesen Kevin L. & Owyang Michael T.
• Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts
  by JULIETA CAUNEDO & RICCARDO DICECIO & IVANA KOMUNJER & MICHAEL T. OWYANG
• FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications
  by Kathryn Bokun & Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang