Michael T. Owyang
Names
first: |
Michael |
middle: |
T. |
last: |
Owyang |
Contact
Affiliations
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
→ Research Division
- website
- location: St. Louis, Missouri (United States)
Research profile
author of:
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The long and the short of the federal funds target cuts
by Michael T. Owyang
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Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy
by Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall
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For love or money: why married men make more
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Survey says...
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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A flexible finite-horizon alternative to long-run restrictions with an application to technology shock
by Riccardo DiCecio & Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Jennifer E. Roush
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The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions
by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure
by Leora Friedberg & Michael Owyang
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Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage
by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
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Nonlinear Hedonics and the Search for School District Quality
by Michael T. Owyang & Abbigail J. Chiodo & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo
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Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang
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The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Athena T. Theodorou
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Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure
by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang
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The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Athena T. Theodorou
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What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries?
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Athena T. Theodorou
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Business cycle phases in U.S. states
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
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Monetary policy: the whole country gets the same treatment, but results vary
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Subject to revision
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Massimo Guidolin & Michael T. Owyang & Makoto Shimoji
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Financial aid and college choice
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Symmetric inflation risk
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption?
by Thomas A. Garrett & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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Regime switching and monetary policy measurement
by Owyang, Michael T. & Ramey, Garey
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Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption?
by Thomas A. Garrett & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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Marriage, motherhood and money: how do women's life decisions influence their wages?
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology SHocks in G7-Countries
by Athena T. Theodorou & Neville R. Francis & Michael T. Owyang
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Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Your current job probably won't be your last
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Regime switching and monetary policy measurement
by Michael T. Owyang & Garey Ramey
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Not your father's pension plan: the rise of 401K and other defined contribution plans
by Leora Freidberg & Michael T. Owyang
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Can a summer hike cause a surprise fall for mortgage rates?
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Putting off retirement: the rise of the 401(k)
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Massimo Guidolin & Michael T. Owyang & Makoto Shimoji
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Persistence, excess volatility, and volatility clusters in inflation
by Michael T. Owyang
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Hard 'core' inflation
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Editor's introduction
by Michael T. Owyang
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Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage
by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
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The baby-boom boom
by Michael T. Owyang
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A Flexible Finite-Horizon Identification of Technology Shocks
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Jennifer E. Roush
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So much for that merit raise: the link between wages and appearance
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
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Keep your résumé current
by Kristie M. Engemann & Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang
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A case study of a currency crisis: the Russian default of 1998
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR
by Michael T. Owyang
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Low unemployment: old dogs or new tricks?
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Howard J. Wall
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Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy
by Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall
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What's in a name? reconciling conflicting evidence on ethnic names
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions
by Hernandez-Murillo, Ruben & Owyang, Michael T.
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The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
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Look who's working now
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Social changes lead married women into labor force
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Howard J. Wall & Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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Barreling down the road to recession?
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall & Christopher H. Wheeler
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What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries?
by Francis, Neville R. & Owyang, Michael T. & Theodorou, Athena T.
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Working hard or hardly working? the evolution of leisure in the United States
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries?
by Neville R. Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Athena T. Theodorou
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Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach
by Michelle T. Armesto & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger
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Monetary Policy in a Markov-Switching Vector Error-Correction Model: Implications for the Cost of Disinflation and the Price Puzzle
by Francis, Neville & Owyang, Michael T.
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A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
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Look who's still working now
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing
by Ivana Komunjer & Michael T. Owyang
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States and the business cycle
by Michael T. Owyang & David E. Rapach & Howard J. Wall
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Splitsville: the economics of unilateral divorce
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Changing trends in the labor force: a survey
by Riccardo DiCecio & Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Christopher H. Wheeler
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What are the chances?
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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A primer on the empirical identification of government spending shocks
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Sarah Zubairy
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Extra credit: the rise of short-term liabilities
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve's Eighth District
by Kristie M. Engemann & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach
by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy M. & Wall, Howard J. & Wheeler, Christopher H.
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A winning combination? economic theory meets sports
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation
by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J.
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Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach
by MICHELLE T. ARMESTO & RUB…N. HERN¡NDEZ-MURILLO & MICHAEL T. OWYANG & JEREMY PIGER
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States and the business cycle
by Owyang, Michael T. & Rapach, David E. & Wall, Howard J.
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Identifying Local Differences in Retirement Patterns
by Leora Friedberg & Michael Owyang & Anthony Webb
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Is housing the business cycle? evidence from U.S. cities
by Andra C. Ghent & Michael T. Owyang
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The propagation of regional recessions
by James D. Hamilton & Michael T. Owyang
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Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy
by Michael Owyang & Howard Wall
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Who benefits from increased government spending? a state-level analysis
by Michael T. Owyang & Sarah Zubairy
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The local effects of monetary policy
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan
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Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage
by Friedberg Leora & Owyang Michael T. & Sinclair Tara M.
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Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence
by Kristie M. Engemann & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
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Not your father's oil shock
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Is housing the business cycle? Evidence from US cities
by Ghent, Andra C. & Owyang, Michael T.
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Nonlinear effects of school quality on house prices
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain
by Riccardo DiCecio & Michael T. Owyang
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Business cycle measures
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Unconventional oil production: stuck in a rock and a hard place
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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Discordant city employment cycles
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
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A time-varying threshold STAR model of unemployment and the natural rate
by Michael J. Dueker & Michael T. Owyang & Martin Sola
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Forecasting with mixed frequencies
by Michelle T. Armesto & Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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When do recessions begin and end?
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang
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WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE BUSINESS CYCLE? A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF JOBLESS RECOVERIES
by Engemann, Kristie M. & Owyang, Michael T.
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The Propagation of Regional Recessions
by James D. Hamilton & Michael T. Owyang
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The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks
by Neville Francis & Eric Ghysels & Michael T. Owyang
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Patterns of interstate migration in the United States from the survey of income and program participation
by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Lesli S. Ott & Michael T. Owyang & Denise Whalen
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Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District
by Kristie M. Engemann & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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Discordant city employment cycles
by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J.
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Where is an oil shock?
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall
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Where is an oil shock?
by Engemann, Kristie & Owyang, Michael T. & Wall, Howard J.
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Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods
by Andra C. Ghent & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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Race and Subprime Loan Pricing
by Ruben Hernandez & Michael Owyang & Andra Ghent
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Worth your weight? re-examining the link between obesity and wages
by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
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Discordant City Employment Cycles
by Michael Owyang & Jeremy Piger & Howard Wall
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Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
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Forecasting national recessions using state level data
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Howard J. Wall
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Regime Switching and Monetary Policy Measurement
by Owyang, Michael T. & Ramey, Garey
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Multivariate Forecast Evaluation And Rationality Testing
by Komunjer, Ivana & OWYANG, MICHAEL
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Did affordable housing legislation contribute to the subprime securities boom?
by Andra C. Ghent & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
by Engemann, Kristie M. & Kliesen, Kevin L. & Owyang, Michael T.
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An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Özge Savascin
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Forecasting national recessions using state-level data
by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J.
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Where there’s a smoking ban, there’s still fire
by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
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Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different?
by Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan
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Disentangling diverse measures: a survey of financial stress indexes
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
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Un estudio de caso de una crisis monetaria: el incumplimiento ruso de 1998
by Abbigail J. Chiodo & Michael T. Owyang
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Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing
by Ivana Komunjer & Michael T. Owyang
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The Local Effects of Monetary Policy
by Francis Neville & Owyang Michael T. & Sekhposyan Tatevik
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Measuring the effect of school choice on economic outcomes
by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
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The Propagation of Regional Recessions
by James D. Hamilton & Michael T. Owyang
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Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data
by Michael T. Owyang & Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy
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Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data
by Michael T. Owyang & Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy
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Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data
by Michael T. Owyang & Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy
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Discordant city employment cycles
by Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J.
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Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts
by Julieta Caunedo & Riccardo DiCecio & Ivana Komunjer & Michael T. Owyang
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Who benefits from increased government spending? A state-level analysis
by Owyang, Michael T. & Zubairy, Sarah
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Okun's law in recession and recovery
by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
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Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data
by Valerie Ramey & Sarah Zubairy & Michael Owyang
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Clustered Housing Cycles
by Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Margarita Rubio
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Clustered housing cycles
by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Margarita Rubio
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Output and unemployment: how do they relate today?
by Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan & E. Katarina Vermann
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Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions
by Neville Francis & Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang
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Employment Revision Asymmetries
by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
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How Has Empirical Monetary Policy Analysis Changed After the Financial Crisis?
by Neville Francis & Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang
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Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy
by Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang
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Rockets and Feathers: Why Don't Gasoline Prices Always Move in Sync with Oil Prices?
by Michael T. Owyang & E. Katarina Vermann
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Patterns of Interstate Migration in the United States from the Survey of Income and Program Participation
by RubÃn Hernández-Murillo & Lesli S. Ott & Michael T. Owyang & Denise Whalen
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WHERE IS AN OIL SHOCK?
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall
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A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Jennifer E. Roush & Riccardo DiCecio
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Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods
by Ghent, Andra C. & Hernández-Murillo, Rubén & Owyang, Michael T.
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A Measure of Price Pressures
by Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
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Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days?
by Diana A. Cooke & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang
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Does the United States Lead Foreign Business Cycles?
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Daniel Soques
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A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law
by Amy Y. Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
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Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR
by Michael W. McCracken & Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan
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Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement
by Laura E. Jackson & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang
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A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law
by Amy Y. Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
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Clustered Housing Cycles
by Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Margarita Rubio
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Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure
by Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
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Measuring Trends in Income Inequality
by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
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Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market
by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
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Nonlinearities, Smoothing and Countercyclical Monetary Policy
by Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang & Daniel Soques
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Did Affordable Housing Legislation Contribute to the Subprime Securities Boom?
by Andra C. Ghent & Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang
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Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data
by MICHAEL T. OWYANG & JEREMY PIGER & HOWARD J. WALL
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China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors?
by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
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How Do Local Labor Markets Affect Retirement?
by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang & Wei Sun & Anthony Webb
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Debt and Stabilization Policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR
by Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang & Sarah Zubairy
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A state-level analysis of Okun's law
by Guisinger, Amy Y. & Hernandez-Murillo, Ruben & Owyang, Michael T. & Sinclair, Tara M.
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Clustered housing cycles
by Hernández-Murillo, Rubén & Owyang, Michael T. & Rubio, Margarita
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Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement
by Laura E. Jackson & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang
edited by
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The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks
by Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
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International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters
by Laura Coroneo & Laura E. Jackson & Michael T. Owyang
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Comparing Measures of Potential Output
by Amy Y. Guisinger & Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
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Measuring Potential Output
by Amy Y. Guisinger & Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
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Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP
by Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
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Business Cycles Across Space and Time
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Daniel Soques
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Contagious Switching
by Michael T. Owyang & Jeremy M. Piger & Daniel Soques
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Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector
by Amy Y. Guisinger & Michael T. Owyang & Hannah Shell
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Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions
by NEVILLE FRANCIS & LAURA E. JACKSON & MICHAEL T. OWYANG
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Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy
by ANA BEATRIZ GALVÃO & MICHAEL T. OWYANG
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An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles
by Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang & Ozge Savascin
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Debt and stabilization policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR
by Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T. & Zubairy, Sarah
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Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy
by Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T. & Soques, Daniel
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Discussion of “An approach for identifying and predicting economic recessions in real‐time using time‐frequency functional models”by Holan, Yang, Matteson, and Wikle
by Eric Ghysels & Michael T. Owyang
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A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law
by Amy Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael Owyang & Tara Sinclair
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Binary Conditional Forecasts
by Michael W. McCracken & Joseph McGillicuddy & Michael T. Owyang
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Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics
by Laura E. Jackson & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang
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A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes
by Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
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Individual and Aggregate Constrained Efficient Intertemporal Wedges in Dynamic Mirrleesian Economies
by Yunmin Chen & YiLi Chien & Michael T. Owyang
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Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data
by Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang
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How has empirical monetary policy analysis in the U.S. changed after the financial crisis?
by Francis, Neville R. & Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T.
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International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters
by Coroneo, Laura & Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T.
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Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach
by MICHELLE T. ARMESTO & RUBÉN HERNÁNDEZ‐MURILLO & MICHAEL T. OWYANG & JEREMY PIGER
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The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks
by Jackson Laura E. & Kliesen Kevin L. & Owyang Michael T.
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Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts
by JULIETA CAUNEDO & RICCARDO DICECIO & IVANA KOMUNJER & MICHAEL T. OWYANG
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FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications
by Kathryn Bokun & Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang
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Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements
by Amy Y. Guisinger & Michael T. Owyang & Daniel Soques