James Mitchell
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Mitchell |
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Affiliations
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Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
/ Economic Research
Research profile
author of:
- Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees (RePEc:arx:papers:2209.11970)
by Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell - Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models (RePEc:arx:papers:2305.19921)
by Ilias Chronopoulos & Katerina Chrysikou & George Kapetanios & James Mitchell & Aristeidis Raftapostolos - Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function (RePEc:arx:papers:2311.12671)
by Tony Chernis & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell - Monthly GDP Growth Estimates for the U.S. States (RePEc:arx:papers:2501.04607)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aristeidis Raftapostolos - Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty (RePEc:bbk:bbkefp:0909)
by Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey - Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves (RePEc:bbk:bbkefp:0910)
by Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly - R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability (RePEc:bbk:bbkefp:1804)
by Stephen Wright & James Mitchell & Donald Robertson - Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function (RePEc:bca:bocawp:23-61)
by Tony Chernis & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell - Incidence‐based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK: coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life‐tables (RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:171:y:2008:i:1:p:203-222)
by Ehsan Khoman & James Mitchell & Martin Weale - Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise? (RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:174:y:2011:i:2:p:327-348)
by Silvia Lui & James Mitchell & Martin Weale - UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector auto‐regressive model with entropic tilting (RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:183:y:2020:i:1:p:91-119)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell - Forecasting Manufacturing Output Growth Using Firm‐Level Survey Data (RePEc:bla:manchs:v:73:y:2005:i:4:p:479-499)
by James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale - Evaluating, Comparing and Combining Density Forecasts Using the KLIC with an Application to the Bank of England and NIESR ‘Fan’ Charts of Inflation (RePEc:bla:obuest:v:67:y:2005:i:s1:p:995-1033)
by James Mitchell & Stephen G. Hall - Density Nowcasts and Model Combination: Nowcasting Euro-Area GDP Growth over the 2008–09 Recession (RePEc:bla:obuest:v:76:y:2014:i:2:p:233-256)
by Gian Luigi Mazzi & James Mitchell & Gaetana Montana - Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty (RePEc:bla:obuest:v:85:y:2023:i:3:p:457-481)
by Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell - Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities (RePEc:bno:worpap:2008_01)
by Anne-Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey - Macro modelling with many models (RePEc:bno:worpap:2009_15)
by Ida Wolden Bache & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey - Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities (RePEc:bno:worpap:2009_23)
by Ida Wolden Bache & Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey - Generalised density forecast combinations (RePEc:boe:boeewp:0492)
by Fawcett, Nicholas & Kapetanios, George & Mitchell, James & Price, Simon - Monthly and Quarterly GDP Estimates for Interwar Britain (RePEc:cam:camdae:0949)
by Mitchell, J. & Solomou, S. & Weale, M. - Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain (RePEc:cam:camdae:1155)
by Mitchell, J. & Solomou, S. & Weale, M. - Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain (RePEc:ces:ceswps:_3602)
by James Mitchell & Solomos Solomou & Martin Weale - Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP (RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:16417)
by Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James - Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty (RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7742)
by Garratt, Anthony & Vahey, Shaun & Mitchell, James - Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? (RePEc:cup:nierev:v:182:y:2002:i::p:58-71_7)
by Massmann, Michael & Mitchell, James - Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques (RePEc:cup:nierev:v:183:y:2003:i::p:90-106_10)
by Massmann, Michael & Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin - The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation (RePEc:cup:nierev:v:193:y:2005:i::p:60-69_7)
by Mitchell, James - Prudence and UK Trend Growth (RePEc:cup:nierev:v:197:y:2006:i::p:58-64_6)
by Kirby, Simon & Mitchell, James - Where are we now? The UK Recession and Nowcasting GDP Growth Using Statistical Models (RePEc:cup:nierev:v:209:y:2009:i::p:60-69_10)
by Mitchell, James - Architects as Nowcasters of Housing Construction (RePEc:cup:nierev:v:210:y:2009:i::p:111-122_17)
by Holmes, Mark J. & Mitchell, James & Silverstone, Brian - Confidence and Leading Indicators: Introduction (RePEc:cup:nierev:v:210:y:2009:i::p:61-62_11)
by Mitchell, James - Reconciled Estimates And Nowcasts Of Regional Output In The Uk (RePEc:cup:nierev:v:253:y:2020:i::p:r44-r59_8)
by Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey - Nowcasting ‘True’ Monthly U.S. Gdp During The Pandemic (RePEc:cup:nierev:v:256:y:2021:i::p:44-70_4)
by Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey - Quantification of Qualitative Firm-Level Survey Data (RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:112:y:2002:i:478:p:c117-c135)
by James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale - An Indicator of Monthly GDP and an Early Estimate of Quarterly GDP Growth (RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:115:y:2005:i:501:p:f108-f129)
by James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale & Stephen Wright & Eduardo L. Salazar - The drivers of international migration to the UK: A panel‐based Bayesian model averaging approach (RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:121:y:2011:i:557:p:1398-1444)
by James Mitchell & Nigel Pain & Rebecca Riley - Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities (RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:35:y:2011:i:10:p:1659-1670)
by Wolden Bache, Ida & Sofie Jore, Anne & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P. - Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves (RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:22:y:2011:i:1:p:77-87)
by Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P. & Wakerly, Elizabeth C. - The use of non-normal distributions in quantifying qualitative survey data on expectations (RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:76:y:2002:i:1:p:101-107)
by Mitchell, James - Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: Evidence from qualitative survey data (RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:94:y:2007:i:2:p:245-252)
by Mitchell, James & Mouratidis, Kostas & Weale, Martin - A nonlinear panel data model of cross-sectional dependence (RePEc:eee:econom:v:179:y:2014:i:2:p:134-157)
by Kapetanios, George & Mitchell, James & Shin, Yongcheol - Generalised density forecast combinations (RePEc:eee:econom:v:188:y:2015:i:1:p:150-165)
by Kapetanios, G. & Mitchell, J. & Price, S. & Fawcett, N. - Monthly GDP estimates for inter-war Britain (RePEc:eee:exehis:v:49:y:2012:i:4:p:543-556)
by Mitchell, James & Solomou, Solomos & Weale, Martin - Combining density forecasts (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:1:p:1-13)
by Hall, Stephen G. & Mitchell, James - The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1128-1146)
by Lui, Silvia & Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin - Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:2:p:268-279)
by Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P. - Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts? (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:37:y:2021:i:3:p:1247-1260)
by Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James - Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:626-640)
by Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey - Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves (RePEc:een:camaaa:2010-34)
by Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly - Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty (RePEc:een:camaaa:2011-16)
by Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey - Generalised Density Forecast Combinations (RePEc:een:camaaa:2014-24)
by N. Fawcett & G. Kapetanios & J. Mitchell & S. Price - Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic (RePEc:een:camaaa:2021-14)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon - Unknown item RePEc:eme:aeco11:s0731-90532021000043a004 (chapter)
- Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth Using Bayesian Quantile Regression (RePEc:eme:aecozz:s0731-90532021000043a004)
by James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Gian Luigi Mazzi - A New Measure of Consumers’ (In)Attention to Inflation (RePEc:fip:fedcec:94940)
by Hana Braitsch & James Mitchell - Regional Economic Sentiment: Constructing Quantitative Estimates from the Beige Book and Testing Their Ability to Forecast Recessions (RePEc:fip:fedcec:98247)
by Ilias Filippou & Christian Garciga & James Mitchell & My T. Nguyen - Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:92109)
by James Mitchell & Martin Weale - Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:93544)
by Ana B. Galvão & James Mitchell - Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:93615)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon - Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:93793)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon - Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:94160)
by James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu - Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:95470)
by Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell - Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:96086)
by Gary Koop & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu - Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:96408)
by Ilias Chronopoulos & Katerina Chrysikou & George Kapetanios & James Mitchell & Aristeidis Raftapostolos - The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales? (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:96636)
by Ilias Filippou & James Mitchell & My T. Nguyen - Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:97343)
by Tony Chernis & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell - The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:97395)
by James Mitchell & Saeed Zaman - The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:97534)
by Edward S. Knotek & James Mitchell & Mathieu Pedemonte & Taylor Shiroff - Unknown item RePEc:fip:fedcwq:98080 (paper)
- Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation (RePEc:fip:fedcwq:99062)
by Hana Braitsch & James Mitchell & Taylor Shiroff - The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers’ Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance (RePEc:idb:brikps:13758)
by Knotek, Edward S & Mitchell, James & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Shiroff, Taylor - Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities (RePEc:jae:japmet:v:25:y:2010:i:4:p:621-634)
by Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey - Nowcasting and predicting data revisions using panel survey data (RePEc:jof:jforec:v:29:y:2010:i:3:p:313-330)
by Troy D. Matheson & James Mitchell & Brian Silverstone - Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data (RePEc:lec:leecon:11/53)
by James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale - A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence (RePEc:lec:leecon:12/01)
by James Mitchell & George Kapetanios & Yongcheol Shin - Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging? (RePEc:mmf:mmfc03:67)
by James Mitchell & Michael Massmann - UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model (RePEc:nsr:escoed:escoe-dp-2018-07)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell - Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017 (RePEc:nsr:escoed:escoe-dp-2018-14)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon - Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth (RePEc:nsr:escoed:escoe-dp-2019-08)
by Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell - Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP (RePEc:nsr:escoed:escoe-dp-2019-20)
by Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell & Johnny Runge - Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US (RePEc:nsr:escoed:escoe-dp-2020-16)
by James Mitchell & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Aubrey Poon - Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP (RePEc:nsr:escoed:escoe-dp-2021-06)
by Ana Galvao & James Mitchell - Using hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates (RePEc:nsr:escoed:escoe-dp-2022-04)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon - Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:181)
by Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell - Optimal combination of density forecasts (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:248)
by Dr. James Mitchell - Poverty and Debt (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:263)
by Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell - Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: evidence from qualitative survey data (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:266)
by Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell - Qualitative Expectational Data as Predictors of Income and Consumption Growth: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:286)
by Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell - The Rationality and Reliability of Expectations Reported by British Households: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:287)
by Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell - Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise? (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:323)
by Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell - Macro Modelling with Many Models (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:337)
by Dr. James Mitchell - Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:342)
by Dr. James Mitchell - The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:343)
by Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell - Monthly and quarterly GDP estimates for interwar Britain (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:348:2)
by Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell - A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-sectional Dependence (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:370)
by Dr. James Mitchell - Mortality in the British Panel Household Survey: a Test of a Standard Treatment for Non-Response (RePEc:nsr:niesrd:384)
by Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell - Nowcasting and predicting data revisions in real time using qualitative panel survey data (RePEc:nzb:nzbdps:2007/02)
by Troy Matheson & James Mitchell & Brian Silverstone - Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities (RePEc:nzb:nzbdps:2008/18)
by Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun Vahey - Measuring output gap uncertainty (RePEc:nzb:nzbdps:2009/15)
by Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey - Reconsidering the Evidence: Are Euro Area Business Cycles Converging? (RePEc:oec:stdkaa:5lgv2584100r)
by Michael Massmann & James Mitchell - Recent Developments in Density Forecasting (RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-24440-5_5)
by Stephen G. Hall & James Mitchell - A Nonlinear Panel Model of Cross-sectional Dependence (RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:673)
by George Kapetanios & James Mitchell & Yongcheol Shin - Unknown item RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:wp673 (paper)
- Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? (RePEc:sae:niesru:v:182:y:2002:i:1:p:58-71)
by Michael Massmann & James Mitchell - Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques (RePEc:sae:niesru:v:183:y:2003:i:1:p:90-106)
by Michael Massmann & James Mitchell & Martin Weale - The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation (RePEc:sae:niesru:v:193:y:2005:i:1:p:60-69)
by James Mitchell - Prudence and UK Trend Growth (RePEc:sae:niesru:v:197:y:2006:i:1:p:58-64)
by Simon Kirby & James Mitchell - Introduction: Recent Developments in Economic Forecasting (RePEc:sae:niesru:v:203:y:2008:i:1:p:57-58)
by James Mitchell - Where Are We Now? The Uk Recession And Nowcasting Gdp Growth Using Statistical Models (RePEc:sae:niesru:v:209:y:2009:i:1:p:60-69)
by James Mitchell - Architects As Nowcasters Of Housing Construction (RePEc:sae:niesru:v:210:y:2009:i:1:p:111-122)
by Mark J. Holmes & James Mitchell & Brian Silverstone - Confidence And Leading Indicators: Introduction (RePEc:sae:niesru:v:210:y:2009:i:1:p:61-62)
by James Mitchell - Should we be surprised by the unreliability of real-time output gap estimates? Density estimates for the Euro area (RePEc:sce:scecf5:52)
by James Mitchell - UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector autoregressive model (RePEc:str:wpaper:1805)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell - Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees (RePEc:str:wpaper:2308)
by Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell - Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting (RePEc:str:wpaper:2311)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu - R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability (RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:37:y:2019:i:4:p:681-695)
by James Mitchell & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright - Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the United States (RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:41:y:2023:i:2:p:563-577)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon - The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics (RePEc:tin:wpaper:20180069)
by Knut Are Aastveit & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman van Dijk - Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics (RePEc:vrs:offsta:v:37:y:2021:i:2:p:289-316:n:10)
by Mazzi Gian Luigi & Mitchell James & Carausu Florabela - Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics (RePEc:vrs:offsta:v:37:y:2021:i:2:p:289-316:n:6)
by Mazzi Gian Luigi & Mitchell James & Carausu Florabela - Insights into Business Confidence from Firm-Level Panel Data (RePEc:wai:econwp:05/09)
by Brian Silverstone & James Mitchell - Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness (RePEc:wly:japmet:v:26:y:2011:i:6:p:1023-1040)
by James Mitchell & Kenneth F. Wallis - Efficient Aggregation Of Panel Qualitative Survey Data (RePEc:wly:japmet:v:28:y:2013:i:4:p:580-603)
by James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale - Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970 (RePEc:wly:japmet:v:35:y:2020:i:2:p:176-197)
by Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon - Censored density forecasts: Production and evaluation (RePEc:wly:japmet:v:38:y:2023:i:5:p:714-734)
by James Mitchell & Martin Weale - Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics (RePEc:wly:japmet:v:39:y:2024:i:5:p:790-812)
by James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu - Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multiwave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP (RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:56:y:2024:i:1:p:81-114)
by Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell - Unknown item RePEc:wrk:wrkemf:01 (paper)
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- The rationality and reliability of expectations reported by British households: micro evidence from the British household panel survey (RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:6140)
by Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin R. - Reconsidering the evidence: Are Eurozone business cycles converging (RePEc:zbw:zeiwps:b052003)
by Massmann, Michael & Mitchell, James