John Fernald

Names

Contact

Affiliations

• Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco → Economic Research (weight: 50%)
  • website
  • location: San Francisco, California (United States)
• INSEAD → Economic and Political Sciences Area (weight: 50%)
  • website
  • location: Fontainebleau, France

Research profile

author of:

• Are apparent productive spillovers a figment of specification error?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Constant returns and small markups in U.S. manufacturing
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Aggregate productivity and the productivity of aggregates
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Returns to scale in U.S. production: estimates and implications
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Roads to prosperity? assessing the link between public capital and productivity
  by John G. Fernald
• Aggregate productivity and aggregate technology
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Was China the first domino? assessing links between China and the rest of emerging Asia.
  by Hali J. Edison & John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani
• Puzzles in the Chinese stock market
  by John G. Fernald & John H. Rogers
• Are technology improvements contractionary?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Miles S. Kimball
• Why has China survived the Asian crisis so well? What risks remain?
  by Oliver D. Babson & John G. Fernald
• Why is productivity procyclical? Why do we care?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Puzzles in the Chinese stock market
  by John G. Fernald & John H. Rogers
• Productivity growth in the 1990s: technology, utilization, or adjustment
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Matthew D. Shapiro
• Are Apparent Productive Spillovers a Figment of Specification Error.
  by Basu, S. & Fernald, J. G.
• Aggregate Productivity and the Productivity of Aggregates
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Why Is Productivity Procyclical? Why Do We Care?
  by Susanto Basu & John Fernald
• Productivity Growth in the 1990s: Technology, Utilization, or Adjustment?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Matthew D. Shapiro
• Roads to Prosperity? Assessing the Link between Public Capital and Productivity
  by John G. Fernald
• Puzzles In The Chinese Stock Market
  by John Fernald & John H. Rogers
• Returns to Scale in U.S. Production: Estimates and Implications.
  by Basu, Susanto & Fernald, John G.
• Measuring productivity growth in Asia: do market imperfections matter?
  by John G. Fernald & Brent Neiman
• China and emerging Asia: comrades or competitors?
  by Alan G. Ahearne & John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani & John W. Schindler
• New Evidence on Durable Goods Biased Technological Change
  by Jonas Fisher & John Fernald
• Was China the first domino? Assessing links between China and other Asian economies
  by Fernald, John & Edison, Hali & Loungani, Prakash
• Are Technology Improvements Contractionary?
  by Susanto Basu & John Fernald & Miles Kimball
• Trend Breaks, Long Run Restrictions, and the Contractionary Effects of Technology Shocks
  by John Fernald
• Are Apparent Productive Spillovers a Figment of Specification Error?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• China and emerging Asia: comrades or competitors?
  by Alan G. Ahearne & John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani & John W. Schindler
• Constant Returns and Small Markups in U.S. Manufacturing.
  by Basu, S. : Fernald, J. G.
• Aggregate productivity and aggregate technology
  by Basu, Susanto & Fernald, John G.
• The case of the missing productivity growth: or, does information technology explain why productivity accelerated in the United States but not the United Kingdom?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Nicholas Oulton & Sylaja Srinivasan
• Why is productivity procyclical? Why do we care?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• The Case of the Missing Productivity Growth: Or, Does Information Technology Explain why Productivity Accelerated in the US but not the UK?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Nicholas Oulton & Sylaja Srinivasan
• Are apparent productive spillovers a figment of specification error?
  by Basu, Susanto & Fernald, John G.
• The acceleration in U.S. total productivity after 1995: the role of information technology
  by John G. Fernald & Shanthi Ramnath
• Productivity growth in the 1990s: technology, utilization, or adjustment?
  by Basu, Susanto & Fernald, John G. & Shapiro, Matthew D.
• Are technology improvements contractionary?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Miles S. Kimball
• A general-equilibrium asset-pricing approach to the measurement of nominal and real bank output
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & J. Christina Wang
• Why hasn't the jump in oil prices led to a recession?
  by John G. Fernald & Bharat Trehan
• New Evidence on Durable Goods Biased Technological Change
  by Susanto Basu & John Fernald
• Trend breaks, long-run restrictions, and the contractionary effects of technology improvements
  by John G. Fernald
• Shifting data: a challenge for monetary policymakers
  by John G. Fernald & Stephanie Wang
• The fall and rise of the global economy
  by John G. Fernald & Victoria G. Greenfield
• Trend Breaks, Long-Run Restrictions and the Contractionary Effects of Technology Improvements
  by Fernald, John
• Information technology and the U.S. productivity acceleration
  by John G. Fernald & Shanthi Ramnath
• Comrades or competitors? on trade relationships between China and emerging Asia
  by John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani
• Measuring the miracle: market imperfections and Asia's growth experience
  by John G. Fernald & Brent Neiman
• Are Technology Improvements Contractionary?
  by Susanto Basu & John Fernald & Miles Kimball
• The Case of the Missing Productivity Growth: Or, Does Information technology explain why productivity accelerated in the United States but not the United Kingdom?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Nicholas Oulton & Sylaja Srinivasan
• Measuring the Miracle: Market Imperfections and Asia's Growth Experience
  by John Fernald & Brent Neiman
• Is a recession imminent?
  by John G. Fernald & Bharat Trehan
• Information and communications technology as a general-purpose technology: evidence from U.S industry data
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Financial innovations and the real economy: conference summary
  by Mark Doms & John G. Fernald & Jose A. Lopez
• Will fast productivity growth persist?
  by John G. Fernald & David Thipphavong & Bharat Trehan
• Flying geese or sitting ducks: China’s impact on the trading fortunes of other Asian economies
  by Alan G. Ahearne & John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani & John W. Schindler
• Trend breaks, long-run restrictions, and contractionary technology improvements
  by Fernald, John G.
• Are Technology Improvements Contractionary?
  by Miles S. Kimball & John G. Fernald & Susanto Basu
• Information and communications technology as a general purpose technology: evidence from U.S. industry data
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• A General-Equilibrium Asset-Pricing Approach to the Measurement of Nominal and Real Bank Output
  by J. Christina Wang & Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Countering contagion: Does China's experience offer a blueprint?
  by Alan G. Ahearne & John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani
• The Case of the Missing Productivity Growth, or Does Information Technology Explain Why Productivity Accelerated in the United States But Not in the United Kingdom?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Nicholas Oulton & Sylaja Srinivasan
  edited by
• What do we know and not know about potential output?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• Why Is Productivity Procyclical? Why Do We Care?
  by Susanto Basu & John Fernald
  edited by
• Growth accounting, potential output, and the current recession
  by John G. Fernald & Kyle Matoba
• What do we know (and not know) about potential output?
  by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
• A General-Equilibrium Asset-Pricing Approach to the Measurement of Nominal and Real Bank Output
  by J. Christina Wang & Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald
  edited by
• Growth Accounting with Misallocation: Or, Doing Less with More in Singapore
  by John Fernald & Brent Neiman
• Growth accounting with misallocation: Or, doing less with more in Singapore
  by John G. Fernald & Brent Neiman
• What is the value of bank output?
  by Titan Alon & John G. Fernald & Robert Inklaar & J. Christina Wang
• Growth Accounting with Misallocation: Or, Doing Less with More in Singapore
  by John Fernald & Brent Neiman
• Productivity and potential output before, during, and after the Great Recession
  by John G. Fernald
• What Happens when Technology Improves?
  by John Gregg Fernald
• A quarterly, utilization-adjusted series on total factor productivity
  by John G. Fernald
• Labor markets in the global financial crisis
  by Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio
• The Future of U.S. Economic Growth
  by John G. Fernald & Charles I. Jones
• The Future of U.S. Economic Growth
  by John G. Fernald & Charles I. Jones
• Monetary Policy Effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR Model
  by John G. Fernald & Mark M. Spiegel & Eric T. Swanson
• Productivity and Potential Output before, during, and after the Great Recession
  by John G. Fernald
  edited by
• Interpreting deviations from Okun’s Law
  by Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio
• Labor Markets in the Global Financial Crisis: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
  by Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio
• Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recession
  by John G. Fernald
• Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recession
  by John Fernald
• Monetary Policy Effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR Model
  by John Fernald & Mark M. Spiegel & Eric T. Swanson
• Has China’s economy become more “standard”?
  by John G. Fernald & Eric Hsu & Mark M. Spiegel
• The recent rise and fall of rapid productivity growth
  by John G. Fernald & Bing Wang
• On the reliability of Chinese output figures
  by John G. Fernald & Israel Malkin & Mark M. Spiegel
• Labour Markets in the Global Financial Crisis: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
  by Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio
• Okun’s Macroscope: Changes in the Cyclical Behavior of Productivity and the Comovement between Output and Unemployment
  by Oscar Jorda & John Fernald & Fernanda Nechio & Mary Daly
• Shocks and Adjustments
  by Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio
• Monetary policy effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR model
  by Fernald, John G. & Spiegel, Mark M. & Swanson, Eric T.
• Technology Shocks in a Two-Sector DSGE Model
  by Zheng Liu & John Fernald & Susanto Basu
• The Future of US Economic Growth
  by John G. Fernald & Charles I. Jones
• Comment on "Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy"
  by John Fernald
  edited by
• Productivity and Potential Output before, during, and after the Great Recession
  by John G. Fernald
• Is China fudging its figures? Evidence from trading partner data
  by John G. Fernald & Eric Hsu & Mark M. Spiegel
• The Outlook for US Labor-Quality Growth
  by Canyon Bosler & Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Bart Hobijn
  edited by
• World TFP
  by Bart Hobijn & John Fernald
• Does the United States have a productivity slowdown or a measurement problem?
  by David M. Byrne & John G. Fernald & Marshall B. Reinsdorf
• Why has the cyclicality of productivity changed?: what does it mean?
  by John G. Fernald & J. Christina Wang
• Does the United States have a Productivity Slowdown or a Measurement Problem
  by David M. Byrne & John G. Fernald & Marshall B. Reinsdorf
• The Pre-Great Recession Slowdown in Productivity.
  by G. Cette & J. Fernald & B. Mojon
• Why has the cyclicality of productivity changed? What does it mean?
  by John G. Fernald & J. Christina Wang
• The pre-Great Recession slowdown in productivity
  by Gilbert Cette & John G. Fernald & Benoit Mojon
• The Outlook for U.S. Labor-Quality Growth
  by Canyon Bosler & Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Bart Hobijn
• The Outlook for U.S. Labor-Quality Growth
  by Canyon Bosler & Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Bart Hobijn
• Reassessing Longer-Run U.S. Growth: How Low?
  by John G. Fernald
• What Is the New Normal for U.S. Growth?
  by John G. Fernald
• Does Growing Mismeasurement Explain Disappointing Growth?
  by David M. Byrne & John G. Fernald & Marshall B. Reinsdorf
• The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009
  by John G. Fernald & Robert E. Hall & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
• Has the Dollar Become More Sensitive to Interest Rates?
  by John G. Fernald & Thomas M. Mertens & Patrick Shultz
• The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009
  by John G. Fernald & Robert E. Hall & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
• Is China fudging its figures? Evidence from trading partner data
  by Fernald, John & Hsu, Eric & Spiegel, Mark M.
• Why Has the Cyclicality of Productivity Changed? What Does It Mean?
  by J. Wang & John Fernald
• Comment
  by John Fernald
• Why Has the Cyclicality of Productivity Changed? What Does It Mean?
  by John G. Fernald & J. Christina Wang
• Does the United States Have a Productivity Slowdown or a Measurement Problem?
  by David M. Byrne & John G. Fernald & Marshall B. Reinsdorf
• The pre-Great Recession slowdown in productivity
  by Cette, Gilbert & Fernald, John & Mojon, Benoît
• Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recession
  by John Fernald
• Is there an easy cure for low growth?
  by John Fernald
• The Slow Recovery in Output after 2009
  by Robert Hall & Mark Watson & James Stock & John Fernald
• The Disappointing Recovery in U.S. Output after 2009
  by John G. Fernald & Robert E. Hall & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
• The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009
  by John G. Fernald & Robert E. Hall & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
• Paradox resolved? A review of the Rise and Fall of American Growth, by Robert J. Gordon
  by John G. Fernald
• The pre-Great Recession slowdown in productivity
  by Gilbert Cette & John Fernald & Benoît Mojon
• Is Slow Still the New Normal for GDP Growth?
  by John G. Fernald & Huiyu Li
• Is China Fudging Its GDP Figures? Evidence from Trading Partner Data
  by John G. Fernald & Eric Hsu & Mark M. Spiegel
• How Severe Is China’s Slowdown? Evidence from China CAT
  by John G. Fernald & Neil Gerstein & Mark M. Spiegel
• World Productivity: 1996-2014
  by Mehrdad Esfahani & Bart Hobijn & John Fernald
• Returns to Scale in U.S. Production, Redux
  by Mumtaz Ahmad & John Fernald & Hashmat Khan
• Information and Communications Technology as a General‐Purpose Technology: Evidence from US Industry Data
  by Susanto Basu & John Fernald
• Cyclical Downturn or Slowing Trend? A Review Article on Productivity Puzzles across Europe
  by John Fernald
• Is Slow Productivity and Output Growth in Advanced Economies the New Normal?
  by John Fernald
• World Productivity: 1996 - 2014
  by Mehrdad Esfahani & John G. Fernald & Bart Hobijn
• Does Disappointing European Productivity Growth Reflect a Slowing Trend? Weighing the Evidence and Assessing the Future
  by John G. Fernald & Robert Inklaar
• Future Output Loss from COVID-Induced School Closures
  by John G. Fernald & Huiyu Li & Mitchell Ochse
• The Impact of COVID on Potential Output
  by John G. Fernald & Huiyu Li
• Labor Productivity in a Pandemic
  by John G. Fernald & Huiyu Li & Mitchell Ochse