Troy Davig

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Research profile

author of:

• Generalizing the Taylor Principle: Reply
  American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2010)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-article, aea:aecrev:v:100:y:2010:i:1:p:618-24)
• Generalizing the Taylor Principle
  American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2007)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-article, aea:aecrev:v:97:y:2007:i:3:p:607-635)
• Change-Points in U.S. Business Cycle Durations
  Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter (2007)
  by Davig Troy
  (ReDIF-article, bpj:sndecm:v:11:y:2007:i:2:n:6)
• Is Optimal Monetary Policy Always Optimal?
  CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2015)
  by Troy Davig & Refet S. Gürkaynak
  (ReDIF-paper, ces:ceswps:_5473)
• Is Optimal Monetary Policy Always Optimal?
  CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2015)
  by Gürkaynak, Refet
  (ReDIF-paper, cpr:ceprdp:10767)
• Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus
  CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009)
  by Leeper, Eric M.
  (ReDIF-paper, cpr:ceprdp:7509)
• Adaptive Learning In Regime-Switching Models
  Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2013)
  by Branch, William A. & Davig, Troy & McGough, Bruce
  (ReDIF-article, cup:macdyn:v:17:y:2013:i:05:p:998-1022_00)
• Monetary Policy, the Bond Market, and Changes in FOMC Communication Policy
  Working Papers, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary (2006)
  by Troy Davig & Jeffrey R. Gerlach
  (ReDIF-paper, cwm:wpaper:31)
• Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching
  Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings, Econometric Society (2004)
  by Hess Chung & Troy Davig & Eric Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, ecm:nasm04:274)
• Decomposing the declining volatility of long-term inflation expectations
  Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2011)
  by Clark, Todd E. & Davig, Troy
  (ReDIF-article, eee:dyncon:v:35:y:2011:i:7:p:981-999)
• Inflation and the fiscal limit
  European Economic Review, Elsevier (2011)
  by Davig, Troy & Leeper, Eric M. & Walker, Todd B.
  (ReDIF-article, eee:eecrev:v:55:y:2011:i:1:p:31-47)
• Monetary-fiscal policy interactions and fiscal stimulus
  European Economic Review, Elsevier (2011)
  by Davig, Troy & Leeper, Eric M.
  (ReDIF-article, eee:eecrev:v:55:y:2011:i:2:p:211-227)
• Regime-switching debt and taxation
  Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2004)
  by Davig, Troy
  (ReDIF-article, eee:moneco:v:51:y:2004:i:4:p:837-859)
• "Unfunded liabilities" and uncertain fiscal financing
  Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2010)
  by Davig, Troy & Leeper, Eric M. & Walker, Todd B.
  (ReDIF-article, eee:moneco:v:57:y:2010:i:5:p:600-619)
• Evaluating Monetary Policy with Inflation Bands and Horizons
  FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2023)
  by Troy Davig & Andrew Foerster
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedfel:95687)
• Uncertainty and Fiscal Cliffs
  Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2018)
  by Troy Davig & Andrew T. Foerster
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedfwp:2018-12)
• Communicating Monetary Policy Rules
  Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2021)
  by Troy Davig & Andrew Foerster
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedfwp:90935)
• The shadow labor supply and its implications for the unemployment rate
  Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2013)
  by Troy Davig & Jose Mustre-del-Rio
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedker:00008)
• Accounting for changes in the U.S. budget deficit
  Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2014)
  by Troy Davig & Michael Redmond
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedker:00021)
• Bank consolidation and merger activity following the crisis
  Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2015)
  by Troy Davig & Michal Kowalik & Charles S. Morris & Kristen Regehr
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedker:00023)
• Evaluating a Year of Oil Price Volatility
  Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2015)
  by Nida Çakır Melek & Troy Davig & Jun Nie & Andrew Lee Smith & Didem Tuzemen
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedker:00031)
• Middle-income tax rates: trends and prospects
  Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2006)
  by Troy Davig & C. Alan Garner
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedker:y:2006:i:qiv:p:5-30:n:v.91no.4)
• Detecting recessions in the Great Moderation: a real-time analysis
  Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2008)
  by Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedker:y:2008:i:qiv:p:5-33:n:v.93no.4)
• What is the effect of financial stress on economic activity
  Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2010)
  by Troy Davig & Craig S. Hakkio
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedker:y:2010:i:qii:p:35-62:n:v.95no.2)
• The shadow labor supply and its implications for the unemployment rate
  Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2013)
  by Troy Davig & Jose Mustre-del-Rio
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedkmb:00001)
• Consumer debt dynamics : an update
  Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2014)
  by John Carter Braxton & Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedkmb:00007)
• The wage cycle and shadow labor supply
  Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2014)
  by Troy Davig & Jose Mustre-del-Rio
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedkmb:00012)
• Accounting for changes in the U.S. budget deficit
  Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2014)
  by Troy Davig & Michael Redmond
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedkmb:00016)
• Evaluating a year of oil price volatility
  Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2015)
  by Nida Çakır Melek & Troy Davig & Jun Nie & Andrew Lee Smith & Didem Tuzemen
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedkmb:00032)
• Tracking Consumer Credit Trends
  Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2016)
  by Troy Davig & William Xu
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedkmb:00043)
• Forecasting the Stance of Monetary Policy under Balance Sheet Adjustments
  Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2017)
  by Troy Davig & Andrew Lee Smith
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedkmb:00053)
• The changing policy landscape: an introduction to the 2012 “Economic Policy Symposium”
  Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2012)
  by Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-article, fip:fedkpr:y:2012:p:xxiii-xxxi)
• Monetary and fiscal policy switching
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2005)
  by Hess T. Chung & Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp05-12)
• Generalizing the Taylor principle
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2005)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp05-13)
• Endogenous monetary policy regime change
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2006)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp06-11)
• Phillips curve instability and optimal monetary policy
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2007)
  by Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp07-04)
• Expectational stability in regime-switching rational expectations models
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2007)
  by William A. Branch & Troy Davig & Bruce McGough
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp07-09)
• An empirical assessment of the relationships among inflation and short- and long-term expectations
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2008)
  by Todd E. Clark & Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp08-05)
• Monetary policy regime shifts and inflation persistence
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2008)
  by Troy Davig & Taeyoung Doh
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp08-16)
• Decomposing the declining volatility of long-term inflation expectations
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2009)
  by Todd E. Clark & Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp09-05)
• Reply to \"Generalizing the Taylor principle\": a comment
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2009)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp09-09)
• Monetary-fiscal policy interactions and fiscal stimulus
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2009)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp09-12)
• \"Unfunded liabilities\" and uncertain fiscal financing
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2010)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp10-09)
• Uncertainty and fiscal cliffs
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2014)
  by Troy Davig & Andrew T. Foerster
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp14-04)
• Is optimal monetary policy always optimal?
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2015)
  by Troy Davig & Refet S. Gürkaynak
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp15-05)
• Recession forecasting using Bayesian classification
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2016)
  by Troy Davig & Aaron Smalter Hall
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp16-06)
• Communicating Monetary Policy Rules
  Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2017)
  by Troy Davig & Andrew T. Foerster
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fedkrw:rwp17-04)
• Connecting “The Dots”: Disagreement in the Federal Open Market Committee
  Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2014)
  by Richard K. Crump & Troy Davig & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench
  (ReDIF-paper, fip:fednls:86978)
• State-Dependent Stock Market Reactions to Monetary Policy
  International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2006)
  by Troy Davig & Jeffrey R. Gerlach
  (ReDIF-article, ijc:ijcjou:y:2006:q:4:a:3)
• Is Optimal Monetary Policy Always Optimal?
  International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2015)
  by Troy Davig & Refet S. Gürkaynak
  (ReDIF-article, ijc:ijcjou:y:2015:q:4:a:11)
• Generalizing the Taylor Principle
  CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington (2006)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, inu:caeprp:2006001)
• Endogenous Monetary Policy Regime Change
  CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington (2006)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, inu:caeprp:2006002)
• Periodically expanding discounted debt: a threat to fiscal policy sustainability?
  Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2005)
  by Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-article, jae:japmet:v:20:y:2005:i:7:p:829-840)
• Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching
  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2007)
  by Hess Chung & Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:809-842)
• Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions under Implementable Monetary Policy Rules
  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2008)
  by WILLIAM A. BRANCH & TROY DAVIG & BRUCE McGOUGH
  (ReDIF-article, mcb:jmoncb:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:1095-1102)
• Fluctuating Macro Policies and the Fiscal Theory
  NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2007)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:11180)
• Endogenous Monetary Policy Regime Change
  NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-chapter, nbr:nberch:7039)
• Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper & Hess Chung
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:10362)
• Fluctuating Macro Policies and the Fiscal Theory
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:11212)
• Generalizing the Taylor Principle
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:11874)
• Endogenous Monetary Policy Regime Change
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:12405)
• Reply to "Generalizing the Taylor Principle: A Comment"
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:14919)
• Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:15133)
• "Unfunded Liabilities" and Uncertain Fiscal Financing
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:15782)
• Inflation and the Fiscal Limit
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:16495)
• Temporarily Unstable Government Debt and Inflation
  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, nbr:nberwo:16799)
• Temporarily Unstable Government Debt and Inflation
  IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund (2011)
  by Troy Davig & Eric M Leeper
  (ReDIF-article, pal:imfecr:v:59:y:2011:i:2:p:233-270)
• Monetary Policy Regime Shifts and Inflation Persistence
  2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2009)
  by Taeyoung Doh & Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-paper, red:sed009:182)
• Inflation and the Fiscal Limit
  2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2010)
  by Todd Walker & Eric Leeper & Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-paper, red:sed010:837)
• Uncertainty and Fiscal Cliffs
  2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2014)
  by Andrew Foerster & Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-paper, red:sed014:717)
• Uncertainty and Fiscal Cliffs
  2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2015)
  by Andrew Foerster & Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-paper, red:sed015:362)
• Communicating Monetary Policy Rules
  2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2017)
  by Andrew Foerster & Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-paper, red:sed017:1133)
• Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching
  Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics (2004)
  by Hess Chung & Troy Davig & Eric Leeper
  (ReDIF-paper, sce:scecf4:325)
• An Interpretation of Fluctuating Macro Policies
  Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics (2005)
  by Eric Leeper & Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-paper, sce:scecf5:249)
• Monetary Policy Regime Shifts and Inflation Persistence
  The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2014)
  by Troy Davig & Taeyoung Doh
  (ReDIF-article, tpr:restat:v:96:y:2014:i:5:p:862-875)
• Phillips Curve Instability and Optimal Monetary Policy
  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2016)
  by Troy Davig
  (ReDIF-article, wly:jmoncb:v:48:y:2016:i:1:p:233-246)
• Is optimal monetary policy always optimal?
  CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2015)
  by Davig, Troy & Gürkaynak, Refet S.
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:cfswop:510)