Michael Peter Clements
Names
first: 
Michael 
middle: 
Peter 
last: 
Clements 
Identifer
Contact
Affiliations

University of Reading
/ Henley Business School
/ ICMA Centre for Financial Markets
Research profile
author of:
 MultiStep Estimation For Forecasting
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1996)
by Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268696)  Evaluating the rationality of fixedevent forecasts
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1996)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268705)  The Performance of Alternative Forecasting Methods for SETAR Models
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1996)
by Clements, Michael P. & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268737)  Forecasting Seasonal Uk Consumption Components
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1997)
by Clements, Michael & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268761)  Seasonality, Cointegration, And The Forecasting Of Energy Demand
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1997)
by Clements, Michael P. & Madlener, Reinhard
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268766)  Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1997)
by Clements, Michael P. & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268769)  A Comparison Of The Forecast Performance Of MarkovSwitching And Threshold Autoregressive Models Of Us Gnp
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1997)
by Clements, Michael P. & Krolzig, HansMartin
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268771)  NonLinearities In Exchange Rates
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1998)
by Clements, Michael P. & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268786)  Evaluating The Forecast Densities Of Linear And NonLinear Models: Applications To Output Growth And Unemployment
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1998)
by Clements, Michael P. & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268791)  Forecasting With DifferenceStationary And TrendStationary Models
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1998)
by Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:268798)  Business Cycle Asymmetries: Characterisation and Testing based on MarkovSwitching Autoregressions
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (1998)
by Clements, Michael & Krolzig, HansMartin
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:269248)  Internal consistency of survey respondentsíforecasts: Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2006)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:269742)  Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data: Forecasting US output growth and inflation
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2006)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:269743)  Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2006)
by Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:269744)  Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2006)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:269747)  Rounding of probability forecasts: The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2008)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:269880)  Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2008)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:269881)  Subjective and Ex Post Forecast Uncertainty: US Inflation and Output Growth
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2012)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:270629)  US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2012)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:270653)  Probability Distributions or Point Predictions? Survey Forecasts of US Output Growth and Inflation
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2012)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:270748)  Do Professional Forecasters Pay Attention to Data Releases?
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2011)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:270768)  Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2010)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:270770)  Realtime Forecasting of Inflation and Output Growth in the Presence of Data Revisions
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2010)
by Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvao, Ana
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:270771)  First Announcements and Real Economic Activity
Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick  Department of Economics (2008)
by Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvao, Ana
(ReDIFpaper, ags:uwarer:271314)  Forecasting: theory and practice
Papers, arXiv.org (2020)
by Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet
(ReDIFpaper, arx:papers:2012.03854)  Business Cycle Asymmetries: Characterization and Testing Based on MarkovSwitching Autoregressions
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (2003)
by Clements, Michael P & Krolzig, HansMartin
(ReDIFarticle, bes:jnlbes:v:21:y:2003:i:1:p:196211)  Macroeconomic Forecasting With MixedFrequency Data
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (2008)
by Clements, Michael P & GalvÃ£o, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFarticle, bes:jnlbes:v:26:y:2008:p:546554)  Forecasting Quarterly Aggregate Crime Series
Manchester School, University of Manchester (2005)
by Michael P. Clements & Robert Witt
(ReDIFarticle, bla:manchs:v:73:y:2005:i:6:p:709727)  Multistep Estimation for Forecasting
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (1996)
by Clements, Michael P & Hendry, David F
(ReDIFarticle, bla:obuest:v:58:y:1996:i:4:p:65784)  Guest Editors’ Introduction: Information in Economic Forecasting
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2005)
by Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry
(ReDIFarticle, bla:obuest:v:67:y:2005:i:s1:p:713753)  Evaluating a Model by Forecast Performance
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2005)
by Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry
(ReDIFarticle, bla:obuest:v:67:y:2005:i:s1:p:931956)  Seasonality, Cointegration, and Forecasting UK Residential Energy Demand
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society (1999)
by Michael P. Clements & Reinhard Madlener
(ReDIFarticle, bla:scotjp:v:46:y:1999:i:2:p:185206)  Asymmetric output‐gap effects in Phillips Curve and mark‐up pricing models: Evidence for the US and the UK
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society (2003)
by Michael P. Clements & Marianne Sensier
(ReDIFarticle, bla:scotjp:v:50:y:2003:i:4:p:359374)  Economic Forecasting in a Changing World
Capitalism and Society, De Gruyter (2008)
by Clements Michael P. & Hendry David F.
(ReDIFarticle, bpj:capsoc:v:3:y:2008:i:2:n:1)  Forecasting U.S. Output Growth with NonLinear Models in the Presence of Data Uncertainty
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter (2012)
by Clements Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, bpj:sndecm:v:16:y:2012:i:1:n:2)  Unknown item RePEc:cup:cbooks:9780521632423 (book)
 Unknown item RePEc:cup:cbooks:9780521634809 (book)
 Testing The Expectations Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates In Threshold Models
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2003)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz C.
(ReDIFarticle, cup:macdyn:v:7:y:2003:i:04:p:567585_02)  Unknown item RePEc:cup:nierev:v:177:y:2001:i::p:100112_9 (article)
 Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2001)
by Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F.
(ReDIFpaper, ecb:ecbwps:200182)  Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research
Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002, Royal Economic Society (2002)
by Hendry, David F & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, ecj:ac2002:99)  Rationality and the Role of Judgement in Macroeconomic Forecasting
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (1995)
by Clements, Michael P
(ReDIFarticle, ecj:econjl:v:105:y:1995:i:429:p:41020)  Macroeconomic Forecasting and Modelling
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (1995)
by Clements, Michael P & Hendry, David F
(ReDIFarticle, ecj:econjl:v:105:y:1995:i:431:p:100113)  Evaluating the Bank of England Density Forecasts of Inflation
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2004)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, ecj:econjl:v:114:y:2004:i:498:p:844866)  A comparison of the forecast performance of Markovswitching and threshold autoregressive models of US GNP
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society (1998)
by Michael P. Clements & HansMartin Krolzig
(ReDIFarticle, ect:emjrnl:v:1:y:1998:i:conferenceissue:p:c47c75)  Forecasting with differencestationary and trendstationary models
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society (2001)
by Michael P. Clements & David F.Hendry
(ReDIFarticle, ect:emjrnl:v:4:y:2001:i:1:p:s1s19)  Modelling methodology and forecast failure
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society (2002)
by Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry
(ReDIFarticle, ect:emjrnl:v:5:y:2002:i:2:p:319344)  Pooling of forecasts
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society (2004)
by David F. Hendry & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, ect:emjrnl:v:7:y:2004:i:1:p:131)  Realtime factor model forecasting and the effects of instability
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier (2016)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:csdana:v:100:y:2016:i:c:p:661675)  Bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregressive time series
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier (2007)
by Clements, Michael P. & Kim, Jae H.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:csdana:v:51:y:2007:i:7:p:35803594)  Measuring the effects of expectations shocks
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2021)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFarticle, eee:dyncon:v:124:y:2021:i:c:s0165188921000105)  Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research
Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2003)
by Hendry, David F. & Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:ecmode:v:20:y:2003:i:2:p:301329)  Forecasting with Breaks
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier (2006)
by Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F.
(ReDIFchapter, eee:ecofch:112)  Forecasting by factors, by variables, by both or neither?
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2013)
by Castle, Jennifer L. & Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:econom:v:177:y:2013:i:2:p:305319)  Empirical analysis of macroeconomic time series : VAR and structural models
European Economic Review, Elsevier (1991)
by Clements, Michael P. & Mizon, Grayham E.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:eecrev:v:35:y:1991:i:4:p:887917)  Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts
European Economic Review, Elsevier (2010)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:eecrev:v:54:y:2010:i:4:p:536549)  First announcements and real economic activity
European Economic Review, Elsevier (2010)
by Clements, Michael P. & Beatriz Galvão, Ana
(ReDIFarticle, eee:eecrev:v:54:y:2010:i:6:p:803817)  Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier (2008)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:empfin:v:15:y:2008:i:4:p:729750)  Independent directors, information costs and foreign ownership in Chinese companies
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier (2018)
by Meng, Yijun & Clements, Michael P. & Padgett, Carol
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfin:v:53:y:2018:i:c:p:139157)  An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (1997)
by Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:3:p:341355)  The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (1997)
by Clements, Michael P. & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:4:p:463475)  Forecasting economic processes
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (1998)
by Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:1:p:111131)  Bootstrapping prediction intervals for autoregressive models
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2001)
by Clements, Michael P. & Taylor, Nick
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:2:p:247267)  Evaluating multivariate forecast densities: a comparison of two approaches
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2002)
by Clements, Michael P. & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:18:y:2002:i:3:p:397407)  Some possible directions for future research
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2003)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:19:y:2003:i:1:p:13)  Forecasting economic and financial timeseries with nonlinear models
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2004)
by Clements, Michael P. & Franses, Philip Hans & Swanson, Norman R.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:2:p:169183)  A comparison of tests of nonlinear cointegration with application to the predictability of US interest rates using the term structure
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2004)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:2:p:219236)  Consensus and uncertainty: Using forecast probabilities of output declines
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2008)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:24:y:2008:i:1:p:7686)  Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2009)
by Clements, Michael P. & Milas, Costas & van Dijk, Dick
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:25:y:2009:i:2:p:215217)  Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2009)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:25:y:2009:i:4:p:680683)  Combining probability forecasts
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2011)
by Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:208223)  Combining probability forecasts
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2011)
by Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:2:p:208223)  Do professional forecasters pay attention to data releases?
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2012)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:28:y:2012:i:2:p:297308)  Forecasting with vector autoregressive models of data vintages: US output growth and inflation
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2013)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:29:y:2013:i:4:p:698714)  Probability distributions or point predictions? Survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2014)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:1:p:99117)  Robust approaches to forecasting
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2015)
by Castle, Jennifer L. & Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:1:p:99112)  Forecasting with Bayesian multivariate vintagebased VARs
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2015)
by Carriero, Andrea & Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:3:p:757768)  Longrun restrictions and survey forecasts of output, consumption and investment
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2016)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:32:y:2016:i:3:p:614628)  Model and survey estimates of the term structure of US macroeconomic uncertainty
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2017)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:3:p:591604)  Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative?
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2018)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:34:y:2018:i:2:p:181198)  Do forecasters target first or later releases of national accounts data?
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2019)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:4:p:12401249)  Forecasting and forecast narratives: The Bank of England Inflation Reports
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2020)
by Clements, Michael P. & Reade, J. James
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:4:p:14881500)  Do survey joiners and leavers differ from regular participants? The US SPF GDP growth and inflation forecasts
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2021)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:37:y:2021:i:2:p:634646)  Rounding behaviour of professional macroforecasters
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2021)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:37:y:2021:i:4:p:16141631)  Forecasting: theory and practice
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2022)
by Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:38:y:2022:i:3:p:705871)  Forecasting GDP growth rates in the United States and Brazil using Google Trends
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2023)
by Bantis, Evripidis & Clements, Michael P. & Urquhart, Andrew
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:39:y:2023:i:4:p:19091924)  How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2024)
by Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:160183)  Do professional forecasters believe in the Phillips curve?
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2024)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:3:p:12381254)  Survey expectations and adjustments for multiple testing
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier (2024)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:jeborg:v:224:y:2024:i:c:p:338354)  Evaluating forecasts from SETAR models of exchange rates
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2001)
by Clements, Michael P. & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFarticle, eee:jimfin:v:20:y:2001:i:1:p:133148)  Comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2002)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFarticle, eee:jmacro:v:24:y:2002:i:4:p:469482)  Unknown item RePEc:eme:cea111:s05738555(05)760028 (chapter)
 Combining Predictors and Combining Information in Modelling: Forecasting US Recession Probabilities and Output Growth
Contributions to Economic Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2006)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvao
(ReDIFchapter, eme:ceazzz:s05738555(05)760028)  Unknown item RePEc:eme:feg111:s15748715(07)002011 (chapter)
 Chapter 1 Forecasting Annual UK Inflation Using an Econometric Model over 1875–1991
Frontiers of Economics and Globalization, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2008)
by Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry
(ReDIFchapter, eme:fegzzz:s15748715(07)002011)  On SETAR non linearity and forecasting
Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute (1999)
by Clements, M.P. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Smith, J.
(ReDIFpaper, ems:eureir:1567)  Surveys of Professionals
Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2022)
by Michael Clements & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
(ReDIFpaper, fip:fedcwq:94166)  An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters
Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2024)
by Michael Clements & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
(ReDIFpaper, fip:fedcwq:98806)  Are Some Forecasters’ Probability Assessments of Macro Variables Better Than Those of Others?
Econometrics, MDPI (2020)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, gam:jecnmx:v:8:y:2020:i:2:p:16:d:354665)  How Local is the Local Inflation Factor? Evidence from Emerging European Countries
Working Papers, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics (2021)
by Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, hhs:cbsnow:2021_008)  Can regimeswitching models reproduce the business cycle features of US aggregate consumption, investment and output?
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2004)
by Michael P. Clements & HansMartin Krolzig
(ReDIFarticle, ijf:ijfiec:v:9:y:2004:i:1:p:114)  Forecasting in Cointegration Systems
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (1995)
by Clements, Michael P & Hendry, David F
(ReDIFarticle, jae:japmet:v:10:y:1995:i:2:p:12746)  Intercept Corrections and Structural Change
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (1996)
by Clements, Michael P & Hendry, David F
(ReDIFarticle, jae:japmet:v:11:y:1996:i:5:p:47594)  A Monte Carlo Study of the Forecasting Performance of Empirical SETAR Models
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (1999)
by Clements, Michael P & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFarticle, jae:japmet:v:14:y:1999:i:2:p:12341)  Evaluating interval forecasts of highfrequency financial data
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2003)
by Michael P. Clements & Nick Taylor
(ReDIFarticle, jae:japmet:v:18:y:2003:i:4:p:445456)  An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2007)
by Fred Joutz & Michael P. Clements & Herman O. Stekler
(ReDIFarticle, jae:japmet:v:22:y:2007:i:1:p:121136)  Forecasting US output growth using leading indicators: an appraisal using MIDAS models
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2009)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvao
(ReDIFarticle, jae:japmet:v:24:y:2009:i:7:p:11871206)  Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2010)
by Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey
(ReDIFarticle, jae:japmet:v:25:y:2010:i:6:p:10281062)  Robust Evaluation of FixedEvent Forecast Rationality
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2001)
by Clements, Michael P & Taylor, Nick
(ReDIFarticle, jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:4:p:28595)  On SETAR nonlinearity and forecasting
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2003)
by Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses & Michael P. Clements & Jeremy Smith
(ReDIFarticle, jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:5:p:359375)  An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Rounding on the SPF Probabilities of Decline and Output Growth Histograms
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2011)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, mcb:jmoncb:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:207220)  Forecasting NonStationary Economic Time Series
MIT Press Books, The MIT Press (2001)
by Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry
(ReDIFbook, mtp:titles:0262531895)  Pooling of Forecasts
Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford (2001)
by David Hendry & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, nuf:econwp:0209)  Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research
Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford (2001)
by David Hendry & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, nuf:econwp:0211)  Modeling Price and Variance Jump Clustering Using the Marked Hawkes Process
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press (2024)
by Jian Chen & Michael P Clements & Andrew Urquhart
(ReDIFarticle, oup:jfinec:v:22:y:2024:i:3:p:743772.)  The World Economy: Analysis and Prospects
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (1986)
by Rossi, Vanessa & Clements, Michael
(ReDIFarticle, oup:oxford:v:2:y:1986:i:1:p:xxxivli)  The UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (1986)
by Walker, John & Clements, Michael
(ReDIFarticle, oup:oxford:v:2:y:1986:i:2:p:xxvxliii)  The UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (1986)
by Walker, John & Clements, Michael
(ReDIFarticle, oup:oxford:v:2:y:1986:i:3:p:xxviixxxix)  The UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (1986)
by Walker, John & Clements, Michael
(ReDIFarticle, oup:oxford:v:2:y:1986:i:4:p:xxxxxii)  The World and UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (1987)
by Walker, John & Rossi, Vanessa & Clements, Michael
(ReDIFarticle, oup:oxford:v:3:y:1987:i:1:p:xxxxxiii)  The UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited (1987)
by Clements, Michael & Walker, John & Rossi, Vanessa
(ReDIFarticle, oup:oxford:v:3:y:1987:i:2:p:xxiixxxii)  Forecasting from Misspecified Models in the Presence of Unanticipated Location Shifts
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2010)
by David Hendry & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:484)  Forecasting with DifferenceStationary and TrendStationary Models
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2000)
by David Hendry & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:5)  Modelling Business Cycle Features Using Switching Regime Models
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2001)
by HansMartin Krolzig & Michael P. Clements & Department of Economics & University of Warwick
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:58)  Forecasting by factors, by variables, or both?
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2012)
by Jennifer Castle & David Hendry
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:600)  Robust Approaches to Forecasting
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2014)
by Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:697)  An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2016)
by Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:779)  Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2001)
by David Hendry & Michael P. Clements & Department of Economics & University of Warwick
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:78)  Testing Structural Hypotheses by Encompassing : Us Wages and Prices is the MarkUp Pricing Hypothesis Dead?
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (1991)
by Clements, M.P.
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:99114)  On the Limitations of Comparing Mean Square Forecast Errors
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (1992)
by Clements, M.P. & Hendry, D.
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:99138)  Forecasting in Cointegrated Systems
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (1992)
by Clements, M.P. & Hendry, D.F.
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:99139)  Modelling Business Cycle Features Using Switching Regime Models
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2001)
by Clements, M.C. & Krolzig, H.M.
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:9958)  The Estimation And Testing Of Cointegrating Vectors: A Survey Of Recent Approaches And An Application To The U.K. NonDurable Consumption Function
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (1989)
by Clements, M.P.
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:9979)  The Mathematical Structure Of Models That Exhibit Cointegration: A Survey Of Recent Approaches
Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (1990)
by Clements, M.P.
(ReDIFpaper, oxf:wpaper:9985)  The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting
OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press (2011)
by
(ReDIFbook, oxp:obooks:9780195398649)  Forecast Combination and Encompassing
Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan (2009)
by Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey
(ReDIFchapter, pal:palchp:9780230244405_4)  Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data: Forecasting US Output Growth
Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance (2007)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão
(ReDIFpaper, qmw:qmwecw:616)  Improving Realtime Estimates of Output Gaps and Inflation Trends with Multiplevintage Models
Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance (2011)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão
(ReDIFpaper, qmw:qmwecw:678)  Unknown item RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:wp616 (paper)
 Unknown item RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:wp678 (paper)
 Do Professional Forecasters' Phillips Curves Incorporate the Beliefs of Others?
Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Reading (2023)
by Michael P. Clements & Shixuan Wang
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:emxxdp:emdp202305)  Assessing MacroForecaster Herding: Modelling versus Testing
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2018)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icma201801)  LongRun Restrictions and Survey Forecasts of Output, Consumption and Investment
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2014)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201402)  Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty: US Inflation and Output Growth
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2014)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz GalvÃ£o
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201404)  RealTime Factor Model Forecasting and the Effects of Instability
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2014)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201405)  Anticipating Early Data Revisions to US GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2014)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201406)  Do US Macroeconomic Forecasters Exaggerate Their Differences?
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2014)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201410)  Assessing the Evidence of Macro Forecaster Herding: Forecasts of Inflation and Output Growth
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2014)
by Michael P Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201412)  Assessing Macro Uncertainty In RealTime When Data Are Subject To Revision
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2015)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201502)  Forecasters' Disagreement about How the Economy Operates, and the Role of Longrun Relationships
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2015)
by Michael Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201509)  Are Macroeconomic Density Forecasts Informative?
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2016)
by Michael Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201602)  Are MacroForecasters Essentially The Same? An Analysis of Disagreement, Accuracy and Efficiency
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2016)
by Michael Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201608)  Sir Clive W.J. Granger's Contributions to Forecasting
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2016)
by Michael Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201609)  Data Revisions and Realtime Probabilistic Forecasting of Macroeconomic Variables
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2017)
by Michael P Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvao
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201701)  Do forecasters target first or later releases of national accounts data?
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2017)
by Michael Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp201703)  Do Survey Joiners and Leavers Differ from Regular Participants? The US SPF GDP Growth and Inflation Forecasts
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2020)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp202001)  Individual Forecaster Perceptions of the Persistence of Shocks to GDP
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading (2020)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFpaper, rdg:icmadp:icmadp202002)  Forecasting economic and financial timeseries with nonlinear models
Departmental Working Papers, Rutgers University, Department of Economics (2003)
by Michael P. Clements & Philip Hans Franses & Norman R. Swanson
(ReDIFpaper, rut:rutres:200309)  An Historical Perspective on Forecast Errors
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research (2001)
by Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry
(ReDIFarticle, sae:niesru:v:177:y:2001:i:1:p:100112)  Can Econometrics Improve Economic Forecasting?
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES) (1994)
by David F. Hendry & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, ses:arsjes:1994iii2)  Can oil shocks explain asymmetries in the US Business Cycle?
Empirical Economics, Springer (2002)
by HansMartin Krolzig & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, spr:empeco:v:27:y:2002:i:2:p:185204)  Conditional mean functions of nonlinear models of US output
Empirical Economics, Springer (2002)
by Ana B. C. Galvão & Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, spr:empeco:v:27:y:2002:i:4:p:569586)  Evaluating the survey of professional forecasters probability distributions of expected inflation based on derived event probability forecasts
Empirical Economics, Springer (2006)
by Michael Clements
(ReDIFarticle, spr:empeco:v:31:y:2006:i:1:p:4964)  An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET) (2016)
by Jennifer L. Castle & Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry
(ReDIFarticle, spr:jbuscr:v:12:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s4154901600052)  On winning forecasting competitions in economics
Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association (1999)
by Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry
(ReDIFarticle, spr:specre:v:1:y:1999:i:2:p:123160)  Improving RealTime Estimates of Output and Inflation Gaps With MultipleVintage Models
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2012)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão
(ReDIFarticle, taf:jnlbes:v:30:y:2012:i:4:p:554562)  Forecast Uncertainty Ex Ante and Ex Post : U.S. Inflation and Output Growth
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2014)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, taf:jnlbes:v:32:y:2014:i:2:p:206216)  Predicting Early Data Revisions to U.S. GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2017)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão
(ReDIFarticle, taf:jnlbes:v:35:y:2017:i:3:p:389406)  Assessing Macro Uncertainty in RealTime When Data Are Subject To Revision
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2017)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, taf:jnlbes:v:35:y:2017:i:3:p:420433)  The choice of performance measures, target setting and vesting levels in UK firms' Chief Executive Officer equity‐based compensation
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2023)
by Affan Hameed & Carol Padgett & Michael P. Clements & Subhan Ullah
(ReDIFarticle, wly:ijfiec:v:28:y:2023:i:4:p:42464270)  Forecasting US output growth using leading indicators: an appraisal using MIDAS models
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2009)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão
(ReDIFarticle, wly:japmet:v:24:y:2009:i:7:p:11871206)  Real‐Time Forecasting Of Inflation And Output Growth With Autoregressive Models In The Presence Of Data Revisions
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2013)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão
(ReDIFarticle, wly:japmet:v:28:y:2013:i:3:p:458477)  Individual forecaster perceptions of the persistence of shocks to GDP
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2022)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, wly:japmet:v:37:y:2022:i:3:p:640656)  Density forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models under macroeconomic data uncertainty
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2023)
by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão
(ReDIFarticle, wly:japmet:v:38:y:2023:i:2:p:164185)  US Inflation Expectations and Heterogeneous Loss Functions, 1968–2010
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2014)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, wly:jforec:v:33:y:2014:i:1:p:114)  Do US Macroeconomic Forecasters Exaggerate their Differences?
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2015)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, wly:jforec:v:34:y:2015:i:8:p:649660)  An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Rounding on the SPF Probabilities of Decline and Output Growth Histograms
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2011)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, wly:jmoncb:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:207220)  Are Professional Macroeconomic Forecasters Able To Do Better Than Forecasting Trends?
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2015)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, wly:jmoncb:v:47:y:2015:i:23:p:349382)  Do Macroforecasters Herd?
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2018)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, wly:jmoncb:v:50:y:2018:i:23:p:265292)  Forecaster Efficiency, Accuracy, and Disagreement: Evidence Using Individual‐Level Survey Data
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2022)
by Michael P. Clements
(ReDIFarticle, wly:jmoncb:v:54:y:2022:i:23:p:537568)  MultiStep Estimation for Forecasting
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1996)
by Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:447)  Evaluating the Rationality of FixedEvent Forecasts
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1996)
by Clements, M.C.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:457)  A Monte Carlo Study of the Forecasting Performance of Empirical Setar Models
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1996)
by Clements, Michael P & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:464)  Performance of Alternative Forecasting Methods for Setar Models
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1996)
by Clements, Michael P & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:467)  Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1997)
by Clements, Michael & Smith, Jeremy
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:479)  Seasonality, Cointegration, and the Forecasting of Energy Demand
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1997)
by Clements, M.P. & Madlener, R.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:484)  Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1997)
by Clements, M.P. & Smith, J.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:487)  A Comparison of the Forecasting Performance of MarkovSwitching and Threshold Autoregressive Models of US GNP
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1997)
by Clements, M.P. & Krolzig, H.M.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:489)  NonLinearities in Exchange Rates
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1998)
by Clements, M.P. & Smith, J.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:504)  Evaluating The Forecast of Densities of Linear and NonLinear Models: Applications to Output Growth and Unemployment
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1998)
by Clements, M.P. & Smith J.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:509)  Forecasting with DifferenceStationary and TrendStationary Models
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1998)
by Clements, M.P. & Hendry, D.P.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:516)  Business Cycle Asymmetries: Characterisationand Testing Based on MarkovSwitching Autoregression
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1999)
by Clements, M.P. & Krolzig, HM.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:522)  Internal consistency of survey respondents.forecasts : Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2006)
by Clements, Michael P
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:772)  Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data : Forecasting US output growth and inflation
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2006)
by Clements, Michael P & Galvão, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:773)  Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2006)
by Clements, Michael P & Harvey, David I
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:774)  Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2006)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:777)  Rounding of probability forecasts : The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2008)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:869)  Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents'forecasts
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2008)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:870)  First Announcements and Real Economic Activity
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2009)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:885)  Realtime Forecasting of Inflation and Output Growth in the Presence of Data Revisions
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2010)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:953)  Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2010)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:954)  Do Professional Forecasters Pay Attention to Data Releases?
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2011)
by Clements, Michael P
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:956)  Probability Distributions or Point Predictions? Survey Forecasts of US Output Growth and Inflation
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2012)
by Clements, Michael P
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:976)  US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2012)
by Clements, Michael P.
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:986)  Subjective and Ex Post Forecast Uncertainty : US Inflation and Output Growth
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2012)
by Clements, Michael P
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:warwec:995)  Measuring the Effects of Expectations Shocks
EMF Research Papers, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group (2019)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:wrkemf:31)  Density Forecasting with BVAR Models under Macroeconomic Data Uncertainty
EMF Research Papers, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group (2020)
by Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz
(ReDIFpaper, wrk:wrkemf:36)