J. Scott Armstrong
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author of:
- The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: Review of empirical research (RePEc:bla:stratm:v:3:y:1982:i:3:p:197-211)
by J. Scott Armstrong - The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: Reply (RePEc:bla:stratm:v:7:y:1986:i:2:p:183-185)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Forecasts of the 2012 US Presidential Election based on Candidates’ Perceived Competence in Handling the Most Important Issue (RePEc:cup:pscirm:v:2:y:2014:i:01:p:141-149_00)
by Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott - From the editors (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:1:y:1985:i:1:p:1-1)
by Makridakis, Spyros & Armstrong, J. Scott & Carbone, Robert & Fildes, Robert - J. Scott Armstrong, Forecasting by extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 years of research, Interfaces 14 (1984), pp. 52-66 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:1:y:1985:i:4:p:309-310)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - The fertile field of meta-analysis: Cumulative progress in agricultural forecasting (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:1:p:147-149)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Forecasting practices in US corporations: Survey results : Nada Sanders and Karl B. Manrodt, 1994, interfaces, 24, 92-100 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:3:p:471-472)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - An analysis of the accuracy ot "trial heat" polls during the 1992 presidential election : Richard R. Lau, 1994, Public opinion quarterly, 58, 2-20 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:3:p:473-474)
by Scott Armstrong, J. - Judgmental decomposition: when does it work? (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:4:p:495-506)
by MacGregor, Donald G. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Marketing letters : Barry L., Bayus, (1992), Have diffusion rates been accelerating over time? 3 215-226 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:4:p:647-647)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Omega 21: G.L. Riddington, (1993), Time varying coefficient models and their forecasting performance, 573-583 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:4:p:647-649)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:11:y:1995:i:4:p:591-597)
by Yokuma, J. Thomas & Armstrong, J. Scott - Journal of economic literature : Clifford Winston, 1993, Economic deregulation: Days of reckoning for microeconomists, 31, 1263-1289 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:12:y:1996:i:1:p:183-184)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Journal of business forecasting : John Hanke and Pam Weigand, 1994, What are business schools doing to educate forecasters, Fall, 10-12 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:12:y:1996:i:1:p:185-186)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Publication of research on controversial topics: The early acceptance procedure (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:12:y:1996:i:2:p:299-302)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - The validity of employment interviews: A comprehensive review and meta-analysis : Michael A. McDaniel, D.L. Whetzel, F.L. Schmidt and S.D. Maurer, 994, Journal of Applied Psychology, 79, 599-615 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:12:y:1996:i:2:p:317-318)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Validity of an honeesty test in predicting theft among convenience store employees : H. John Bernardin and D.K. Cooke, 1993 Academy of Management Journal, 36, 1097-1108 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:12:y:1996:i:2:p:318-319)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Heuristics, biases and improvement strategies in judgmental time series : P. Goodwin and G. Wright, 1994, Omega, 22, 553-568 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:12:y:1996:i:2:p:319-321)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Factors affecting new product forecasting accuracy in new firms : William B. Gartner, and Robert J. Thomas, 1993, Journal of Productive Innovation Management, 10, 35-52 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:12:y:1996:i:2:p:321-322)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Predicting insurance agent turnover using a video-based judgement test : Anthony T. Dalessio, 1994, Journal of Business an Psychology, 9, 23-32 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:12:y:1996:i:2:p:322-323)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - The impact of empirical accuracy studies on time series analysis and forecasting : R. Fildes and S. Makridakis, 1995, International Statistical Review, 63, 289-308 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:1:p:151-153)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Sales forecasts for existing consumer products and services: Do purchase intentions contribute to accuracy? (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:3:p:383-397)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Morwitz, Vicki G. & Kumar, V. - An application of rule-based forecasting to a situation lacking domain knowledge (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:4:p:477-484)
by Adya, Monica & Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred & Kennedy, Miles - Automatic identification of time series features for rule-based forecasting (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:2:p:143-157)
by Adya, Monica & Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott & Kennedy, Miles - Assessing game theory, role playing, and unaided judgment (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:18:y:2002:i:3:p:345-352)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - "How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus": Batchelor, Roy (2001), Applied Economics, 33, pp. 225-235. E-mail address: R.A.Batchelor@ (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:18:y:2002:i:3:p:482-483)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things,: Ray C. Fair. Stanford University Press: Stanford, CA, 2002, 168 pp., Hardback, ISBN 0-8047-4509-9, $26.00 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:19:y:2003:i:4:p:760-761)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Damped seasonality factors: Introduction (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:4:p:525-527)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Decomposition by causal forces: a procedure for forecasting complex time series (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:1:p:25-36)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred & Yokum, J. Thomas - Making progress in forecasting (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:3:p:433-441)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Fildes, Robert - Findings from evidence-based forecasting: Methods for reducing forecast error (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:3:p:583-598)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Significance tests harm progress in forecasting (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:2:p:321-327)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Statistical significance tests are unnecessary even when properly done and properly interpreted: Reply to commentaries (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:2:p:335-336)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - P.E. Tetlock, Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?, Princeton University Press (2006) ISBN 978-0-691-12871-9 Paperback, 352 pp. (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:2:p:339-342)
by Tschoegl, Adrian E. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Structured analogies for forecasting (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:3:p:365-376)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Forecasting of software development work effort: Introduction (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:3:p:447-445)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:25:y:2009:i:4:p:826-832)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Soon, Willie - Replications of forecasting research (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:26:y::i:1:p:4-8)
by Evanschitzky, Heiner & Armstrong, J. Scott - Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:1:p:183-195)
by Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott - Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:1:p:69-80)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:1:p:183-195)
by Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott - Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:1:p:69-80)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Editorial (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:3:y:1987:i:3-4:p:351-351)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & McIntyre, Shelby - Combining forecasts: An application to elections (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:1:p:43-54)
by Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott & Jones, Randall J. & Cuzán, Alfred G. - International journal of public administration : Lance Eliot Brouthers, parties, ideology and elections: The politics of federal revenues and expenditures forecasting, 8 (1986) 289-314 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:1:p:161-162)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Brouthers, Lance Eliot - Public opinion quarterly : William Buchanan, election predictions: An empirical assessment, 50 (1986) 222-227 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:1:p:162-164)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Buchanan, William - Harvard Business Review : David M. Georgoff and Robert G. Murdick, manager's guide to forecasting, 64 (Jan-Feb.) (1986) 110-120 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:1:p:164-165)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Georgoff, David M. - Public opinion quarterly : James B. Lemert, picking the winners: Politician vs. voter predictions of two controversial ballot measures, 50 (1986) 208-221 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:1:p:165-166)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Lemert, James B. - Public opinion quarterly : Steven J. Rosenstone, John Mark Hansen, and Donald R. Kinder, measuring change in personal economic well-being, 50 (1986) 176-192 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:1:p:166-167)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Rosenstone, Steven J. - Public opinion quarterly : Jacob Shamir, preelection polls in Israel: Structural constraints on accuracy, 50 (1986) 62-75 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:1:p:167-167)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Shamir, Jacob - Communication of research on forecasting: The journal (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:3:p:321-324)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - The great depression of 1990 : Ravi Batra, (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985) pp. 235, $14.95 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:3:p:493-495)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Organizational behavior and human decision processes : Wagenaar, Willem A. and G.B. Keren, The seat belt paradox: Effect off accepted roles on information seeking,, 38 (1986), 1-6 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:3:p:513-513b)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Journal of personality and social psychology : Osberg, Timothy M. and J. Sidney Shrauger, Self-prediction: Exploring the parameters of accuracy, 51 (1986), 1044-1057 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:3:p:514-514)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:2:p:187-194)
by Dakin, Stephen & Armstrong, J. Scott - Editorial: Reflections on forecasting in the 1980's (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:467-468)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Combining forecasts: The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end? (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:585-588)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - The forecasting accuracy of market share models using predicted values of competitive marketing behavior : Karel J. Alsem, Peter S.H. Leeflang and Jan C. Reuyl, International Journal of Research in Ma (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:7:y:1991:i:1:p:117-118)
by Brodie, Roderick J. & Armstrong, J. Scott - A cautionary tale about multiple regression : Milton Friedman (the appendix to "Alternative approaches to analyzing economic data' Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz), American Economic Review (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:7:y:1991:i:2:p:252-252)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Generalization and communication issues in the use of error measures: A reply (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:1:p:107-109)
by Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott - Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:1:p:69-80)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred - Management science : D. Bunn and G. Wright, "Interaction of Judgmental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues and Analysis", 37 (1991) 501-518 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:2:p:277-279)
by Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott - Public opinion quarterly : Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, "Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources" 54 (1990) 609-626 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:2:p:279-279)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Editorial policies for the publication of controversial findings (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:4:p:543-544)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Expert opinions about extrapolation and the mystery of the overlooked discontinuities (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:4:p:575-582)
by Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott - Municipal forecasting practice: 'Demand' and 'supply' side perspectives" : Howard A. Frank and Jane McCollough, International Journal of Public Administration, 15 (1992) 1669-1696 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:1:p:137-137)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources : Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, Public Opinion Quarterly, 54 (1990), 609-626 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:1:p:137-138)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Accuracy of judgmental forecasts: A comparison : R. Nada Sanders, Omega, 20 (1992) 353-364 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:3:p:429-430)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - A case study of expert judgment: Economists probabilities versus base-rate model forecasts : Phillip A. Braun and Ilan Yaniv, Journal of behavioral decision making, 5 (1992), 217-231 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:3:p:431-431)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - The uses and abuses of consensus forecasts : Stephen K. McNees,Journal of forecasting, 11 (1992) 703-710 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:3:p:431-432)
by Armstrong, J. Scoot - Social irresponsibility in management (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:5:y:1977:i:3:p:185-213)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Discovery and communication of important marketing findings: Evidence and proposals (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:56:y:2003:i:1:p:69-84)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - The value of surprising findings for research on marketing (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:56:y:2003:i:1:p:91-92)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Replication research's disturbing trend (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:60:y:2007:i:4:p:411-415)
by Evanschitzky, Heiner & Baumgarth, Carsten & Hubbard, Raymond & Armstrong, J. Scott - Conditions under which index models are useful: Reply to bio-index commentaries (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:64:y:2011:i:7:p:693-695)
by Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott - Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A test of the index method (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:64:y:2011:i:7:p:699-706)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas - Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:66:y:2013:i:10:p:1922-1927)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. - Research with In-built replications: Comment and further suggestions for replication research (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:66:y:2013:i:9:p:1406-1408)
by Evanschitzky, Heiner & Armstrong, J. Scott - Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:68:y:2015:i:8:p:1678-1685)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:68:y:2015:i:8:p:1717-1731)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas - Decomposition of time-series by level and change (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:68:y:2015:i:8:p:1755-1758)
by Tessier, Thomas H. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you (RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:68:y:2015:i:8:p:1768-1771)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas - The Forecasting Canon: Nine Generalizations to Improve Forecast Accuracy (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2005:i:1:p:29-35)
by J. Scott Armstrong - How We Computed the Pollyvote (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2005:i:1:p:51-52)
by Alfred Cuzan & J. Scott Armstrong & Randall J. Jones, Jr. - The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2005:i:2:p:50-52)
by Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong - The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2008 (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2006:i:3:p:10-13)
by J. Scott Armstrong & Alfred Cuzan - Should the Forecasting Process Eliminate Face-to-Face Meetings? (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2006:i:5:p:3-8)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2007:i:8:p:17-20)
by Kesten Green & J. Scott Armstrong & Andreas Graefe - Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2009:i:12:p:41-42)
by Andreas Graefe & J. Scott Armstrong & Alfred G. Cuzán & Randall J. Jones, Jr. - The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2012:i:24:p:13-14)
by Andreas Graefe & Randy Jones & Scott Armstrong & Alfred Cuzán - Predicting Job Performance: The Moneyball Factor (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2012:i:25:p:31-34)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote (RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2013:i:28:p:50-51)
by Andreas Graefe & J. Scott Armstrong, & Randall J. Jones & Alfred G. Cuz‡n - Unintelligible Management Research and Academic Prestige (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:10:y:1980:i:2:p:80-86)
by J. Scott Armstrong - The Ombudsman: Is Review By Peers As Fair As It Appears? (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:12:y:1982:i:5:p:62-74)
by J. Scott Armstrong - The Ombudsman: Learner Responsibility in Management Education, or Ventures into Forbidden Research (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:13:y:1983:i:2:p:26-38)
by J. Scott Armstrong - The Ombudsman: Cheating in Management Science (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:13:y:1983:i:4:p:20-29)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:14:y:1984:i:6:p:52-66)
by J. Scott Armstrong - The Ombudsman: Research on Forecasting: A Quarter-Century Review, 1960--1984 (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:16:y:1986:i:1:p:89-109)
by J. Scott Armstrong - The Ombudsman: Business School Prestige—Research versus Teaching (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:24:y:1994:i:2:p:13-43)
by J. Scott Armstrong & Tad Sperry - The Ombudsman: Management Folklore and Management Science—On Portfolio Planning, Escalation Bias, and Such (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:26:y:1996:i:4:p:25-55)
by J. Scott Armstrong - The Ombudsman: Reaping Benefits from Management Research: Lessons from the Forecasting Principles Project (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:33:y:2003:i:6:p:91-111)
by J. Scott Armstrong & Ruth Pagell - The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:37:y:2007:i:3:p:287-299)
by Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong - The Ombudsman: Verification of Citations: Fawlty Towers of Knowledge? (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:38:y:2008:i:2:p:125-139)
by Malcolm Wright & J. Scott Armstrong - Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:38:y:2008:i:5:p:382-405)
by J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green & Willie Soon - The Ombudsman: Are Top Executives Paid Enough? An Evidence-Based Review (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:43:y:2013:i:6:p:580-589)
by Philippe Jacquart & J. Scott Armstrong - The Ombudsman: Is the Evidence Sufficient to Take Action on Executive Pay? Reply to Commentators (RePEc:inm:orinte:v:43:y:2013:i:6:p:602-604)
by J. Scott Armstrong & Philippe Jacquart - Research Report—Principles for Examining Predictive Validity: The Case of Information Systems Spending Forecasts (RePEc:inm:orisre:v:5:y:1994:i:2:p:170-179)
by Fred Collopy & Monica Adya & J. Scott Armstrong - Unknown item RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:19:y:1972:i:2:p:211-221 (article)
- Unknown item RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:25:y:1979:i:5:p:423-428 (article)
- Unknown item RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:38:y:1992:i:10:p:1394-1414 (article)
- Identification of Asymmetric Prediction Intervals through Causal Forces (RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:4:p:273-83)
by Armstrong, J Scott & Collopy, Fred - Structured analogies for forecasting (RePEc:msh:ebswps:2004-17)
by Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong - Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts (RePEc:msh:ebswps:2004-27)
by Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong - Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share (RePEc:msh:ebswps:2005-17)
by Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong - Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods (RePEc:msh:ebswps:2005-24)
by J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green - Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices (RePEc:oup:jconrs:v:18:y:1991:i:2:p:251-56)
by Armstrong, J Scott - Persuasive Advertising (RePEc:pal:palbok:978-0-230-28580-4)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Introduction (RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-28580-4_1)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Types of evidence (RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-28580-4_2)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Conditions (RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-28580-4_3)
by J. Scott Armstrong - The principles (RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-28580-4_4)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Creativity (RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-28580-4_5)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Evaluating advertisements (RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-28580-4_6)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Conclusions (RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-28580-4_7)
by J. Scott Armstrong - Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries (RePEc:plo:pone00:0209850)
by Andreas Graefe & Kesten C Green & J Scott Armstrong - Benchmark forecasts for climate change (RePEc:pra:mprapa:12163)
by Green, Kesten C & Armstrong, J Scott & Soon, Willie - Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts (RePEc:pra:mprapa:16422)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates (RePEc:pra:mprapa:16461)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas - Moneyball: a Message for Managers (RePEc:pra:mprapa:36648)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Natural Learning in Higher Education (RePEc:pra:mprapa:37648)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising (RePEc:pra:mprapa:37766)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Verification of Citations: Fawlty Towers of Knowledge? (RePEc:pra:mprapa:4149)
by Wright, Malcolm & Armstrong, J. Scott - Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies (RePEc:pra:mprapa:43007)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. - Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts (RePEc:pra:mprapa:4361)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott - Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared (RePEc:pra:mprapa:4663)
by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas - Forecasting elections using expert surveys: an application to U.S. presidential elections (RePEc:pra:mprapa:5301)
by Jones, Randall J. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Cuzan, Alfred G. - Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative (RePEc:pra:mprapa:53579)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas - Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit (RePEc:pra:mprapa:6317)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Soon, Willie - Illusions in Regression Analysis (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81663)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Significance Tests Harm Progress in Forecasting (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81664)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - On the interpretation of factor analysis (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81665)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Soelberg, Peer - How to avoid exploratory research (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81666)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Derivation of theory by means of factor analysis or Tom Swift and his electric factor analysis machine (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81667)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Exploratory Analysis of Marketing Data: Trees vs. Regression (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81668)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Andress, James G. - Assessing Game Theory, Role Playing, and Unaided Judgment (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81670)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Review of Ravi Batra, The Great Depression of 1990 (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81671)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore Versus Fact (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81672)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81673)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & C., Michael - Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81674)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. - Review of Co-opetition by Adam M. Brandenburger and Barry J. Nalebuff (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81675)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Competitor Orientation: Effects of Objectives and Information on Managerial Decisions and Profitability (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81676)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred - Strategic Planning Improves Manufacturing Performance (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81677)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Evidence on the Value of Strategic Planning in Marketing: How Much Planning Should a Marketing Planner Plan? (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81680)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Reibstein, David J. - Strategic Planning and Forecasting Fundamentals (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81682)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: review of empirical research (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81683)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Effects of portfolio planning methods on decision making: experimental results (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81684)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Brodie, Roderick J. - Escalation bias: does it extend to marketing? (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81685)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Coviello, Nicole & Safranek, Barbara - Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81687)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Sales Forecasts for Existing Consumer Products and Services: Do Purchase Intentions Contribute to Accuracy? (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81689)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Morwitz, Vicki G. & Kumar, V. - Forecasting for Marketing (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81690)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Brodie, Roderick J. - Effectiveness of Monetary Incentives: Mail Surveys to Members of Multinational Professional Groups (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81691)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Yokum, J. Thomas - Class of Mail Does Affect Response Rates to Mailed Questionnaires: Evidence from Meta-analysis (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81692)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Return Postage in Mail Surveys: A Meta Analysis (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81693)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Lusk, Edward J. - Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81694)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Overton, Terry S. - Monetary incentives in mail surveys (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81695)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Analyzing Quantitative Models (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81696)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Shapiro, Alan C. - Brief vs. comprehensive descriptions in measuring intentions to purchase (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81697)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Overton, Terry - An Application of Econometric Models to International Marketing (RePEc:pra:mprapa:81698)
by Armstrong, J. Scott - Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts (RePEc:pra:mprapa:83282)
by Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott & Jones, Randall J. & Cuzan, Alfred G. - Predicting elections from politicians’ faces (RePEc:pra:mprapa:9150)
by Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Jones, Randall J. & Wright, Malcolm - Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Positions on Issues and Policies (RePEc:pra:mprapa:9829)
by Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott - Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts (RePEc:sae:engenv:v:18:y:2007:i:7:p:997-1021)
by Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong - Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm (RePEc:sae:engenv:v:22:y:2011:i:8:p:1091-1104)
by J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green & Willie Soon - Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists (RePEc:taf:jgsmks:v:28:y:2018:i:2:p:103-159)
by J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green - Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore versus Fact (RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:51:y:1978:i:4:p:549-64)
by Armstrong, J Scott - Econometric Forecasting and the Science Court (RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:51:y:1978:i:4:p:595-600)
by Armstrong, J Scott - Should We Redesign Forecasting Competitions? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412001)
by JS Armstrong - Correspondence On the Selection of Error Measures for Comparisons Among Forecasting Methods (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412002)
by JS Armstrong & Robert Fildes - Causal Forces: Structuring Knowledge for Time-series Extrapolation (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412003)
by JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy - Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412004)
by Fred Collopy & JS Armstrong - Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412005)
by Stephen Dakin & JS Armstrong - Research on Forecasting: A Quarter-Century Review, 1960-1984 (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412006)
by JS Armstrong - Relative Accuracy of Judgmental and Extrapolative Methods in Forecasting Annual Earnings (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412007)
by JS Armstrong - Evaluation of Extrapolative Forecasting Methods: Results of a Survey of Academicians and Practitioners (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412008)
by Robert Carbone & JS Armstrong - The Seer-Sucker Theory: The Value of Experts in Forecasting (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412009)
by JS Armstrong - A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412010)
by JS Armstrong & Michael C. Grohman - Discovery and Communication of Important Marketing Findings: Evidence and Proposals (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412011)
by JS Armstrong - The Value of Surprising Findings for Research on Marketing (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412012)
by JS Armstrong - Hypotheses in Marketing Science: Literature Review and Publication Audit (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412013)
by JS Armstrong & Roderick J. Brodie & Andrew G. Parsons - Effects of Objectives and Information on Managerial Decisions and Profitability (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412014)
by JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy - Effectiveness of Monetary Incentives: Mail Surveys to Members of Multinational Professional Groups (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412015)
by JS Armstrong & J. Thomas Yokum - Effects of Portfolio Planning Methods on Decision Making: Experimental Results (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412016)
by JS Armstrong & Roderick J. Brodie - Portfolio Planning Methods: Faulty Approach or Faulty Research? A Rejoinder to 'Making Better Decisions' by Wensley (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412017)
by JS Armstrong & Roderick J. Brodie - Would Mandatory Attendance Be Effective for Economics Classes? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412018)
by JS Armstrong - The Case for Minimum Teaching Standards (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412019)
by JS Armstrong - Teacher vs. Learner Responsibility in Management Education (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412020)
by JS Armstrong - The Natural Learning Project (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412021)
by JS Armstrong - Designing and Using Experiential Exercises (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412022)
by JS Armstrong - Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412023)
by JS Armstrong - Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412024)
by JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy - Forecasting Methods for Conflict Situations (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412025)
by JS Armstrong - Strategies for Implementing Change: An Experiential Approach (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412026)
by JS Armstrong - Peer Review for Journals: Evidence on Quality Control, Fairness, and Innovation (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412027)
by JS Armstrong - Eclectic Research and Construct Validation (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412028)
by JS Armstrong - The Panalba Role Playing Case (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412029)
by JS Armstrong - The Case of the Detrimental Drug: Implications for the Stakeholder Theory of Directorship (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412030)
by JS Armstrong - Social Irresponsibility in Management (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412031)
by JS Armstrong - Market Share Superstition (Letter) (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412032)
by JS Armstrong - Strategic Planning Improves Manufacturing Performance (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412033)
by JS Armstrong - Evidence on the Value of Strategic Planning in Marketing: How Much Planning Should a Marketing Planner Plan? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412034)
by JS Armstrong & David J. Reibstein - The Graffiti Problem (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0412035)
by JS Armstrong - Structured Analogies for Forecasting (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502001)
by J.S. Armstrong - How to Avoid Exploratory Research (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502002)
by J.S. Armstrong - On the Interpretation of Factor Analysis (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502003)
by J.S. Armstrong - Derivation of Theory by Means of Factor Analysis or Tom Swift and His Electric Factor Analysis Machine (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502004)
by J.S. Armstrong - The Graffiti Solution (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502005)
by J.S. Armstrong - Improving Learning at Universities: Who is Responsible? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502006)
by J.S. Armstrong - Are Student Ratings of Instruction Useful? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502007)
by J.S. Armstrong - The Devil s Advocate Responds to an MBA Student s Claim that Research Harms Learning (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502008)
by J. S. Armstrong - Business School Prestige ^V Research versus Teaching (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502009)
by J. S. Armstrong - Would Mandatory Attendance Be Effective for Economics Classes? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502010)
by J. S. Armstrong - The Case for Minimum Teaching Standards (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502011)
by J. S. Armstrong - Learner Responsibility in Management Education, or Ventures into Forbidden Research (with Comments) (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502012)
by J. S. Armstrong - Teacher vs. Learner Responsibility in Management Education (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502013)
by J. S. Armstrong - Damped Seasonality Factors: Introduction (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502014)
by J. S. Armstrong - Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502015)
by J. S. Armstrong - Review of: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502016)
by J. S. Armstrong - Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502017)
by J. S. Armstrong - Forecasting for Marketing (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502018)
by J. S. Armstrong & R. Brodie - Commentary by J. Scott Armstrong on Fildes et al.: Generalizing about univariate forecasting methods: further empirical evidence (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502019)
by J. S. Armstrong - How Serious are Methodological Issues in Surveys? A Reexamination of the Clarence Thomas Polls^T (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502020)
by J. S. Armstrong & F. Collopy - Review of Ravi Batra, The Great Depression of 1990 (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985) (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502021)
by J. S. Armstrong - Communication of Research on Forecasting: The Journal (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502022)
by J. S. Armstrong - Forecasting Methods for Marketing:* Review of Empirical Research (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502023)
by J. S. Armstrong & R. Brodie & S. McIntyre - Review of Steven J. Rosenstone, Forecasting Presidential Elections (published by Yale University Press, New Haven, CT, 1983)) (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502024)
by J. S. Armstrong - Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502025)
by J. S. Armstrong - Commentary on the Makridakis Time Series Competition (M- Competition) (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502026)
by J. S. Armstrong - How Expert Are the Experts? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502027)
by J. S. Armstrong - How Expert Are the Experts? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502029)
by Armstrong JS - Tom Swift and His Electric Regression Analysis Machine: 1973 (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502030)
by Armstrong JS - Analyzing Quantitative Models (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502031)
by Armstrong JS & Shapiro George - Brief vs. Comprehensive Descriptions in Measuring Intentions to Purchase (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502032)
by JS Armstrong & Terry Overton - Book Review: Intentional Changes: A Fresh Approach to Helping People Change, by Allen Tough, Chicago: Follette Publishing Co., 1982 (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502033)
by JS Armstrong - Publication Bias Against Null Results (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502034)
by Raymond Hubbard & JS Armstrong - The Profitability of Winning (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502035)
by JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy - Escalation Bias: Does It Extend to Marketing? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502036)
by JS Armstrong & Nicole Coviello & Barbara Safranek - Principles Involving Marketing Policies: An Empirical Assessment (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502037)
by JS Armstrong & Randall L. Schultz - Are Null Results Becoming an Endangered Species in Marketing? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502038)
by Raymond Hubbard & JS Armstrong - Class of Mail Does Affect Response Rates to Mailed (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502039)
by JS Armstrong - Predicting The Outcome of Marketing Negotiations: Role-Playing versus Unaided Opinions (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502040)
by JS Armstrong & Philip D. Hutcherson - Return Postage in Mail Surveys: A Meta Analysis (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502041)
by JS Armstrong & Edward J. Lusk - The Manager’s Dilemma: Role Conflict in Marketing (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502042)
by JS Armstrong - Review of Don A. Dillman's Mail and Telephone Surveys, New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1978 (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502043)
by JS Armstrong - Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502044)
by JS Armstrong & Terry Overton - Monetary Incentives in Mail Surveys (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502045)
by JS Armstrong - Role Conflict: Society’s Dilemma with Excellence in Marketing (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502046)
by Robert Nason & JS Armstrong - Brand Trial After a Credibility Change (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502047)
by David Montgomery & JS Armstrong - Reaping Benefits from Management Research: Lessons from the Forecasting Principles Project, with Reply to Commentators (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502048)
by JS Armstrong & Ruth Pagell - Incentives for Developing and Communicating Principles: A Reply (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502049)
by JS Armstrong - Quality Control Versus Innovation in Research on Marketing (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502050)
by JS Armstrong - Replications and Extensions in Marketing – Rarely Published But Quite Contrary (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502051)
by Raymond Hubbard & JS Armstrong - Does the Need for Agreement Among Reviewers Inhibit the Publication of Controversial Findings? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502052)
by JS Armstrong & Raymond Hubbard - Readability and Prestige in Scientific Journals (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502053)
by JS Armstrong - Publishing Standards for Research in Forecasting (Editorial) (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502054)
by JS Armstrong & Estella Bee Dagum & Robert Fildes & Spyros Makridakis - The Importance of Objectivity and Falsification in Management Science (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502055)
by JS Armstrong - Cheating in Management Science (with Comments by M. K. Starr and M. J. Mahoney) (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502056)
by JS Armstrong - Barriers to Scientific Contributions: The Author’s Formula (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502057)
by JS Armstrong - Is Review By Peers As Fair As It Appears? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502058)
by JS Armstrong - Research on Scientific Journals: Implications for Editors and Authors (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502059)
by JS Armstrong - Advocacy and Objectivity in Science (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502060)
by JS Armstrong - Review of Peter W. Huber, Liability: The Legal Revolution and Its Consequences, New York: Basic Books, Inc., 1988 (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502061)
by JS Armstrong - The Case of the Detrimental Drug: Implications for the Stakeholder Theory of Directorship (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502062)
by JS Armstrong - Market Share Superstition (Letter) (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502063)
by JS Armstrong - On the Effectiveness of Marketing Planning (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502064)
by JS Armstrong - The Value of Formal Planning for Strategic Decisions: A Reply (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502065)
by JS Armstrong - Strategic Planning And Forecasting Fundamentals (RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502066)
by JS Armstrong - The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts? (RePEc:wpa:wuwpot:0511003)
by Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong