Rolf Scheufele

Names

Identifer

Contact

Affiliations

• Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB)
  • EDIRC entry
  • location:

Research profile

author of:

• Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence
  German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik (2019)
  by Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, bla:germec:v:20:y:2019:i:4:p:e170-e200)
• PMIs: Reliable indicators for exports?
  Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell (2019)
  by Sandra Hanslin Grossmann & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, bla:reviec:v:27:y:2019:i:2:p:711-734)
• Forecasting Currency Crises: Which Methods Signaled The South African Crisis Of June 2006?
  South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa (2008)
  by Tobias Knedlik & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, bla:sajeco:v:76:y:2008:i:3:p:367-383)
• Should Forecasters Use Real-Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence
  German Economic Review, De Gruyter (2019)
  by Heinisch Katja & Scheufele Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, bpj:germec:v:20:y:2019:i:4:p:e170-e200)
• The Halle Economic Projection Model
  Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2012)
  by Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:4:p:1461-1472)
• Evaluating the German (New Keynesian) Phillips curve
  The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier (2010)
  by Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, eee:ecofin:v:21:y:2010:i:2:p:145-164)
• The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession
  International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2012)
  by Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, eee:intfor:v:28:y:2012:i:2:p:428-445)
• Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations
  International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2017)
  by Kaufmann, Daniel & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:4:p:878-893)
• Effects of incorrect specification on the finite sample properties of full and limited information estimators in DSGE models
  Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2016)
  by Giesen, Sebastian & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, eee:jmacro:v:48:y:2016:i:c:p:1-18)
• Mixed-Frequency Models for Tracking Short-Term Economic Developments in Switzerland
  International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2019)
  by Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, ijc:ijcjou:y:2019:q:2:a:5)
• Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations
  KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2015)
  by Daniel Kaufmann & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-paper, kof:wpskof:15-378)
• Unknown item RePEc:kuk:journl:v:45:y:2012:i:1:p:1-26 (article)
• Are Qualitative Inflation Expectations Useful to Predict Inflation?
  OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (2011)
  by Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, oec:stdkab:5kgg5k52xb5c)
• Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment
  Working Papers, Swiss National Bank (2012)
  by Katja Drechsel & Dr. Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-paper, snb:snbwpa:2012-16)
• Quantification and characteristics of household inflation expectations in Switzerland
  Working Papers, Swiss National Bank (2014)
  by Dr. Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch & Dr. Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-paper, snb:snbwpa:2014-11)
• Foreign PMIs: A reliable indicator for exports?
  Working Papers, Swiss National Bank (2016)
  by Dr. Sandra Hanslin Grossmann & Dr. Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-paper, snb:snbwpa:2016-01)
• Credit cycles and real activity - the Swiss case
  Working Papers, Swiss National Bank (2016)
  by Dr. Gregor Bäurle & Dr. Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-paper, snb:snbwpa:2016-13)
• Mixed-frequency models for tracking short-term economic developments in Switzerland
  Working Papers, Swiss National Bank (2017)
  by Dr. Alain Galli & Dr. Christian Hepenstrick & Dr. Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-paper, snb:snbwpa:2017-02)
• The economic impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on European countries - a SVAR approach
  Working Papers, Swiss National Bank (2023)
  by Jonas M. Bruhin & Dr. Rolf Scheufele & Dr. Yannic Stucki
  (ReDIF-paper, snb:snbwpa:2023-04)
• Nowcasting GDP: what are the gains from machine learning algorithms?
  Working Papers, Swiss National Bank (2024)
  by Milen Arro-Cannarsa & Dr. Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-paper, snb:snbwpa:2024-06)
• Bottom-up or direct? Forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment
  Empirical Economics, Springer (2018)
  by Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, spr:empeco:v:54:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s00181-016-1218-x)
• Credit cycles and real activity: the Swiss case
  Empirical Economics, Springer (2019)
  by Gregor Bäurle & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, spr:empeco:v:56:y:2019:i:6:d:10.1007_s00181-018-1449-0)
• Impulse response analysis in a misspecified DSGE model: a comparison of full and limited information techniques
  Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016)
  by Sebastian Giesen & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:3:p:162-166)
• Quantification and characteristics of household inflation expectations in Switzerland
  Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2015)
  by Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:26:p:2699-2716)
• Is East Germany catching up? A time series perspective
  Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals (2010)
  by Bernd Aumann & Rolf Scheufele
  (ReDIF-article, taf:pocoec:v:22:y:2010:i:2:p:177-192)
• Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models for GDP prediction? German evidence
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2017)
  by Heinisch, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:52017)
• Evaluating the German (New Keynesian) Phillips Curve
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2008)
  by Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:iwh-10-08)
• Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2010)
  by Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:iwh-10-10)
• Is East Germany Catching Up? A Time Series Perspective
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2009)
  by Aumann, Bernd & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:iwh-14-09)
• Three methods of forecasting currency crises: Which made the run in signaling the South African currency crisis of June 2006?
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2007)
  by Knedlik, Tobias & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:iwh-17-07)
• The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2011)
  by Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:iwh-5-11)
• A First Look on the New Halle Economic Projection Model
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2010)
  by Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:iwh-6-10)
• Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2013)
  by Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:iwh-7-13)
• Effects of Incorrect Specification on the Finite Sample Properties of Full and Limited Information Estimators in DSGE Models
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2013)
  by Giesen, Sebastian & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:iwh-8-13)
• Das makroökonometrische Modell des IWH: Eine angebotsseitige Betrachtung
  IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2008)
  by Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:iwhdps:iwh-9-08)
• Aktuelle Trends: Aktuelle Erweiterung des Bestands an Wohnbauten in Deutschland nicht von Dauer
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2007)
  by Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:143580)
• Deutsche Wirtschaft 2006/2007: Aufschwung mit Januskopf
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2006)
  by Ludwig, Udo & Berneburg, Marian & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Dietrich, Diemo & Grunert, Ruth & Kumpmann, Ingmar & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scheufele, Rolf & Zeddies, Götz
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-1-06-3)
• Deutsche Wirtschaft 2007: Aufschwung mit Januskopf – das andere Gesicht
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2007)
  by Ludwig, Udo & Berneburg, Marian & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Dietrich, Diemo & Grunert, Ruth & Kumpmann, Ingmar & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scheufele, Rolf & Zeddies, Götz
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-1-07-3)
• Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung stockt: Warten auf die „zweite Luft“
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2008)
  by Ludwig, Udo & Berneburg, Marian & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Dietrich, Diemo & van Deuverden, Kristina & Kämpfe, Martina & Kumpmann, Ingmar & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-1-08-3)
• Im Fokus: Konjunkturprogramme und ihre Wirkung – Eine Simulation mit dem makroökonometrischen Modell des IWH
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2009)
  by Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-1-09-3)
• Weltweite Finanz- und Konjunkturkrise treibt die deutsche Wirtschaft in eine tiefe Rezession
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2009)
  by Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Dietrich, Diemo & Kämpfe, Martina & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-1-09-4)
• Mittelfristige Wirtschaftsentwicklung und öffentliche Finanzen
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2009)
  by van Deuverden, Kristina & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-1-09-5)
• Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Staatsfinanzen: Eine Vorausschau der Jahre 2010 bis 2014
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2010)
  by van Deuverden, Kristina & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-1-10-4)
• Mittelfristprojektion des IWH: Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Staatsfinanzen – Eine Vorausschau der Jahre 2011 bis 2015
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2011)
  by van Deuverden, Kristina & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-1-11-6)
• Der lange Weg der Konvergenz
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2009)
  by Scheufele, Rolf & Ludwig, Udo
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-10-09-3)
• Konjunktur aktuell: Nach Wachstumsdelle Anfang 2007 deutsche Wirtschaft weiter im Aufschwung
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2007)
  by Ludwig, Udo & Berneburg, Marian & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Dietrich, Diemo & Grunert, Ruth & Kumpmann, Ingmar & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scheufele, Rolf & Zeddies, Götz
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-3-07-3)
• Konjunktur aktuell: Prognose-Update des IWH: Konjunkturelle Talfahrt hält vorerst an
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2009)
  by Ludwig, Udo & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Dietrich, Diemo & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-4-09-4)
• Konjunktur im Sommer 2008: Preisschub und Finanzmarktkrise bremsen Aufschwung weltweit
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2008)
  by Ludwig, Udo & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Dietrich, Diemo & Kämpfe, Martina & Kumpmann, Ingmar & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-7-08-2)
• Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland ungebrochen
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2007)
  by Ludwig, Udo & Berneburg, Marian & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Dietrich, Diemo & Grunert, Ruth & Kumpmann, Ingmar & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scheufele, Rolf & Zeddies, Götz
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-8-07-3)
• Konjunktur aktuell: Prognose-Update des IWH: Deutsche Konjunktur am Ende der Talfahrt – mit Ausnahme des Arbeitsmarktes
  Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2009)
  by Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz
  (ReDIF-article, zbw:iwhwiw:iwh-9-09-3)
• Foreign PMIs: A reliable indicator for Swiss exports
  VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2015)
  by Hanslin Grossmann, Sandra & Scheufele, Rolf
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:vfsc15:112830)
• Credit cycles and real activity - the Swiss case
  VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2015)
  by Scheufele, Rolf & Bäurle, Gregor
  (ReDIF-paper, zbw:vfsc15:112931)