Laurent Ferrara
Names
first: |
Laurent |
last: |
Ferrara |
Identifer
Contact
homepage: |
https://laurent-ferrara.org |
|
postal address: |
SKEMA Business School, Professor of International Economics, 5 Quai Marcel Dassault, 92150 Suresnes, France |
Affiliations
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Australian National University
/ Crawford School of Public Policy
/ Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA) (weight: 5%)
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Université Paris-Nanterre (Paris X)
/ EconomiX (weight: 5%)
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SKEMA Business School (weight: 90%)
Research profile
author of:
- Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence (RePEc:afc:wpaper:07-21)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology (RePEc:afc:wpaper:08-21)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy (RePEc:afc:wpaper:12-02)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Claude Diebolt & Laurent Ferrara - Global financial interconnectedness: a non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel (RePEc:ajf:louvlr:2021003)
by Candelon, Bertrand & Ferrara, Laurent & Joëts, Marc - When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage (RePEc:arx:papers:2007.00273)
by Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni - What Are the Macroeconomic Effects of High-Frequency Uncertainty Shocks (RePEc:bca:bocawp:16-25)
by Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin - Housing Cycles In The Major Euro Area Countries (RePEc:bde:opaper:1001)
by Luis J. Álvarez & Guido Bulligan & Alberto Cabrero & Laurent Ferrara & Harald Stahl - Deux indicateurs probabilistes de retournement cyclique pour l’économie française (RePEc:bfr:banfra:187)
by Adanero-Donderis , M. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. - Monthly forecasting of French GDP: A revised version of the OPTIM model (RePEc:bfr:banfra:222)
by Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. & Pluyaud, B. & Rouvreau, B. - Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models (RePEc:bfr:banfra:224)
by Ferrara, L. & Guégan, D. - Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP? (RePEc:bfr:banfra:232)
by Barhoumi, K. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. - Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy (RePEc:bfr:banfra:239)
by Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. - Forecasting Euro-area recessions using time-varying binary response models for financial (RePEc:bfr:banfra:259)
by Bellégo, C. & Ferrara, L. - Cyclical relationships between GDP and housing market in France: Facts and factors at play (RePEc:bfr:banfra:268)
by Ferrara, L. & Vigna, O. - Housing cycles in the major euro area countries (RePEc:bfr:banfra:269)
by Álvarez, L-J. & Bulligan, G. & Cabrero, A. & Ferrara, L. & Stahl, H. - Common business and housing market cycles in the Euro area from a multivariate decomposition (RePEc:bfr:banfra:275)
by Ferrara, L. & Koopman, S J. - The possible shapes of recoveries in Markov-switching models (RePEc:bfr:banfra:321)
by Bec, F. & Bouabdallah, O. & Ferrara, L. - The European way out of recession (RePEc:bfr:banfra:360)
by Bec, F. & Bouabdallah, O. & Ferrara, L. - Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? (RePEc:bfr:banfra:383)
by Ferrara, L. & Marcellino, M. & Mogliani, M. - Dynamic Factor Models: A review of the Literature (RePEc:bfr:banfra:430)
by Barhoumi, K. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. - Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient? (RePEc:bfr:banfra:454)
by Ferrara, L. & Marsilli, C. & Ortega, J-P. - Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach (RePEc:bfr:banfra:515)
by L. Ferrara & C. Marsilli - Explaining the Recent Slump in Investment: the Role of Expected Demand and Uncertainty (RePEc:bfr:banfra:571)
by M. Bussière & L. Ferrara & J. Milovich - Can Fiscal Budget-Neutral Reforms Stimulate Growth? Model-Based Results (RePEc:bfr:banfra:625)
by M. Bussière & L. Ferrara & M. Juillard & D. Siena - Common Factors of Commodity Prices (RePEc:bfr:banfra:645)
by S. Delle Chiaie & L. Ferrara & D. Giannone - Global financial interconnectedness: A Non-Linear Assessment of the Uncertainty Channel (RePEc:bfr:banfra:661)
by B. Candelon & L. Ferrara & M. Joëts - When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage (RePEc:bfr:banfra:717)
by Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni - Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, exchange rate and inflation (RePEc:bfr:banfra:752)
by Laurent Ferrara & Luca Metelli & Filippo Natoli & Daniele Siena - OPTIM : un outil de prévision trimestrielle du PIB de la France (RePEc:bfr:bullbf:2008:171:02)
by Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. & Pluyaud, B. & Rouvreau, B. - L’apport des indicateurs de retournement cyclique à l’analyse conjoncturelle (RePEc:bfr:bullbf:2008:171:03)
by Ferrara, L. - Les marchés immobiliers après la crise : quelles leçons pour la macroéconomie ? (RePEc:bfr:bullbf:2010:179:03)
by De BANDT, O. & FERRARA, L. & VIGNA, O. - Prévoir le cycle économique. Synthèse du huitième séminaire de l’International Institute of Forecasters organisé par la Banque de France les 1er et 2 décembre 2011 à Paris (RePEc:bfr:bullbf:2012:187:08)
by Ferrara, L. - Marché du travail et politique monétaire aux États-Unis : débats actuels et enjeux (RePEc:bfr:bullbf:2014:198:09)
by Ferrara, L. & Sestieri, G. - Impact des chocs d’incertitude sur l’économie mondiale – Synthèse de conférence (RePEc:bfr:bullbf:2016:206:06)
by Ferrara, L. & Istrefi, K. - Épisodes d’assainissement budgétaire dans les pays de l’OCDE : rôle du respect des règles fiscales et des marges budgétaires (RePEc:bfr:bullbf:2017:210:03)
by Ferrara, L. & Gauthier, G. & Pappadà, F. - Global imbalances: build-up, unwinding and financial aspects
[Les déséquilibres mondiaux persistent malgré le rééquilibrage d’après-crise : focus sur leur financement] (RePEc:bfr:bullbf:2018:220:06)
by Antoine Berthou & Matthieu Bussière & Laurent Ferrara & Sophie Haincourt & Francesco Pappadà & Julia Schmidt - OPTIM: a quarterly forecasting tool for French GDP (RePEc:bfr:quarte:2008:13:03)
by Barhoumi, K. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Ferrara, L. & Pluyaud, B. & Rouvreau, B. & Darné, O. - The contribution of cyclical turning point indicators to business cycle analysis (RePEc:bfr:quarte:2008:13:04)
by Ferrara, L. - Housing markets after the crisis: lessons for the macroeconomy (RePEc:bfr:quarte:2010:17:03)
by de Bandt, O. & Ferrara, F. & Vigna, O. - Forecasting the business cycle. Summary of the 8th International Institute of Forecasters workshop hosted by the Banque de France on 1-2 December 2011 in Paris (RePEc:bfr:quarte:2011:24:07)
by L. Ferrara. - US labour market and monetary policy: current debates and challenges (RePEc:bfr:quarte:2014:36:06)
by L. Ferrara. & G. Sestieri. - Impact of uncertainty shocks on the global economy Summary of the workshop 12-13 May organised by the Banque de France and University College of London (RePEc:bfr:quarte:2016:42:03)
by L. Ferrara & K. Istrefi - Fiscal consolidation episodes in OECD countries: the role of tax compliance and fiscal space (RePEc:bfr:quarte:2017:45:02)
by L. Ferrara & G. Gauthier & F. Pappadà - Global imbalances: build-up, unwinding and financial aspects (RePEc:bfr:quarte:2018:220:06)
by Antoine Berthou & Matthieu Bussière & Laurent Ferrara & Sophie Haincourt & Francesco Pappadà & Julia Schmidt - Nowcasting global economic growth (RePEc:bfr:rueban:2016:23)
by Ferrara , L. & Marsilli, C. - Explaining the recent slump in investment: the role of expected demand and uncertainty (RePEc:bfr:rueban:2017:44)
by Matthieu Bussière & Laurent Ferrara & Juliana Milovich - Does the Phillips curve still exist? (RePEc:bfr:rueban:2018:56)
by Clémence Berson & Louis de Charsonville & Pavel Diev & Violaine Faubert & Laurent Ferrara & Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi & Yannick Kalantzis & Antoine Lalliard & Julien Matheron & Matteo Mogliani - Uncertainty and macroeconomics: transmission channels and policy implications (RePEc:bfr:rueban:2018:61)
by Laurent FERRARA & Stéphane LHUISSIER & Fabien TRIPIER - Monthly Gdp Forecasting Using Bridge Models: Application For The French Economy (RePEc:bla:buecrs:v:64:y:2012:i:s1:p:s53-s70)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara & Bertrand Pluyaud - Does The Great Recession Imply The End Of The Great Moderation? International Evidence (RePEc:bla:ecinqu:v:56:y:2018:i:2:p:745-760)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - A System For Dating And Detecting Turning Points In The Euro Area (RePEc:bla:manchs:v:76:y:2008:i:5:p:549-577)
by Jacques Anas & Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Gian Luigi Mazzi - Identification of Slowdowns and Accelerations for the Euro Area Economy (RePEc:bla:obuest:v:73:y:2011:i:3:p:335-364)
by Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Testing the Number of Factors: An Empirical Assessment for a Forecasting Purpose (RePEc:bla:obuest:v:75:y:2013:i:1:p:64-79)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor‐augmented mixed‐frequency approach (RePEc:bla:worlde:v:42:y:2019:i:3:p:846-875)
by Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli - Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d'accélération pour l'économie française (RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_189_0095)
by Marie Adanero-Donderis & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Caractérisation et datation des cycles économiques en zone euro (RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_603_0703)
by Laurent Ferrara - Les variables financières sont-elles utiles pour anticiper la croissance économique ?. Quelques évidences économétriques (RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_613_0645)
by Laurent Ferrara - Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence (RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_742_0005)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Éric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Post-Recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-Linear Okun's Law (RePEc:cii:cepidt:2013-13)
by Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon - La localisation des entreprises industrielles : comment apprecier l'attractivite des territoires ? (RePEc:cii:cepiei:2004-3td)
by Laurent Ferrara & Alain Henriot - Measuring exchange rate risks during periods of uncertainty (RePEc:cii:cepiie:2022-q2-170-13)
by Laurent Ferrara & Joseph Yapi - Uncertainty Fluctuations: Measures, Effects and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges (RePEc:cii:cepipb:2017-20)
by Laurent Ferrara & Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier - Common Factors of Commodity Prices (RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:12767)
by Giannone, Domenico & Ferrara, Laurent & Delle Chiaie, Simona - Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy (RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7376)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Darné, Olivier - Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? (RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:9313)
by Marcellino, Massimiliano & Ferrara, Laurent & Mogliani, Matteo - The Possible Shapes of Recoveries in Markov-Switching Models (RePEc:crs:wpaper:2011-02)
by Frédérique BEC & Othman BOUABDALLAH & Laurent FERRARA - When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage (RePEc:crs:wpaper:2019-04)
by Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni - Analyse d’Intervention et Prévisions. Problématique et Application à des données de la RATP (RePEc:crs:wpaper:98-42)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - Estimation and Applications of Gegenbauer Processes (RePEc:crs:wpaper:99-27)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - Global financial interconnectedness: A non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel (RePEc:cth:wpaper:gru_2019_001)
by Bertrand Candelon & Laurent Ferrara & Marc Joëts - A factor-augmented probit model for business cycle analysis (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2010-14)
by Christophe Bellégo & Laurent Ferrara - A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2011-27)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Claude Diebolt & Laurent Ferrara - Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2012-19)
by Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli - Post-recession US employment through the lens of a non-linear Okun’s law (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2013-12)
by Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon - Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient? (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2013-19)
by Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega - Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2014-21)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - What Are The Macroeconomic Effects of High-Frequency Uncertainty Shocks? (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2015-12)
by Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin - When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2020-11)
by Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni - Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2021-22)
by Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Catherine Doz - Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2021-23)
by Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Commodity currencies revisited: The role of global commodity price uncertainty (RePEc:drm:wpaper:2022-24)
by Laurent Ferrara & Aikaterina Karadimitropoulou & Athanasios Triantafyllou & Theodora Bermpei - Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models (RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-08c20041)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan - Understanding the weakness in global trade - What is the new normal? (RePEc:ecb:ecbops:2016178)
by Cabrillac, Bruno & Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Babecká Kucharčuková, Oxana & Borin, Alessandro & Bussière, Matthieu & Cezar, Raphael & Derviz, Alexis & Dimitropoulou, Dimitra & Ferrara, Laurent & Gächter - Common factors of commodity prices (RePEc:ecb:ecbrbu:2018:0051:)
by Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico - Common factors of commodity prices (RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20172112)
by Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico - Macro-financial linkages and business cycles: A factor-augmented probit approach (RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:5:p:1793-1797)
by Bellégo, C. & Ferrara, L. - Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient? (RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:36:y:2014:i:c:p:44-50)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Marsilli, Clément & Ortega, Juan-Pablo - Comparing the shape of recoveries: France, the UK and the US (RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:44:y:2015:i:c:p:327-334)
by Bec, Frédérique & Bouabdallah, Othman & Ferrara, Laurent - A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI) (RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:146:y:2016:i:c:p:111-115)
by Barhoumi, Karim & Darné, Olivier & Ferrara, Laurent - A three-regime real-time indicator for the US economy (RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:81:y:2003:i:3:p:373-378)
by Ferrara, Laurent - A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy (RePEc:eee:finsta:v:17:y:2015:i:c:p:3-9)
by Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier & Diebolt, Claude & Ferrara, Laurent - Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, real exchange rate and inflation (RePEc:eee:inecon:v:133:y:2021:i:c:s0022199621001045)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Metelli, Luca & Natoli, Filippo & Siena, Daniele - Measuring exchange rate risks during periods of uncertainty (RePEc:eee:inteco:v:170:y:2022:i:c:p:202-212)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Yapi, Joseph - The way out of recessions: A forecasting analysis for some Euro area countries (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:3:p:539-549)
by Bec, Frédérique & Bouabdallah, Othman & Ferrara, Laurent - Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:3:p:664-679)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mogliani, Matteo - Guest editorial: Economic forecasting in times of COVID-19 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:38:y:2022:i:2:p:527-528)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Sheng, Xuguang Simon - High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:38:y:2022:i:2:p:582-595)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Mogliani, Matteo & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume - Commodity currencies revisited: The role of global commodity price uncertainty (RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:145:y:2024:i:c:s0261560624000834)
by Bermpei, Theodora & Ferrara, Laurent & Karadimitropoulou, Aikaterini & Triantafyllou, Athanasios - Explaining US employment growth after the great recession: The role of output–employment non-linearities (RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:42:y:2014:i:c:p:118-129)
by Chinn, Menzie & Ferrara, Laurent & Mignon, Valérie - Oil jump tail risk as a driver of inflation dynamics (RePEc:eee:jocoma:v:36:y:2024:i:c:s2405851324000539)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Karadimitropoulou, Aikaterini & Triantafyllou, Athanasios - Measuring exchange rate risks during periods of uncertainty (RePEc:een:camaaa:2020-60)
by Laurent Ferrara & Joseph Yapi - High-frequency monitoring of growth-at-risk (RePEc:een:camaaa:2020-97)
by Laurent Ferrara & Matteo Mogliani & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc - Questioning the puzzle: fiscal policy, real exchange rate and inflation (RePEc:een:camaaa:2021-38)
by Laurent Ferrara & Luca Metelli & Filippo Natoli & Daniele Siena - Commodity price uncertainty comovement: Does it matter for global economic growth? (RePEc:een:camaaa:2022-08)
by Laurent Ferrara & Aikaterini Karadimitropoulou & Athanasios Triantafyllou - Dynamic Effects of Weather Shocks on Production in European Economies (RePEc:een:camaaa:2024-07)
by Daniele Colombo & Laurent Ferrara - The possible shapes of recoveries in Markov-Switching models (RePEc:ema:worpap:2011-02)
by Bec Frederique & Othman Bouabdallah & Laurent Ferrara - The European Way Out of Recessions (RePEc:ema:worpap:2011-23)
by Frédérique Bec & Othman Bouabdallah & Laurent Ferrara - Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence (RePEc:ema:worpap:2021-13)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre‐Alain Pionnier - Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology (RePEc:ema:worpap:2021-15)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Commodity price uncertainty comovement: Does it matter for global economic growth? (RePEc:esy:uefcwp:30945)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Karadimitropoulou, Aikaterini & Triantafyllou, Athanasios - Testing Fractional Order of Long Memory Processes: A Monte Carlo Study (RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00486655)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu - Evaluation of Regime Switching Models for Real-Time Business Cycle Analysis of the Euro Area (RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00965005)
by Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Gian Luigi Mazzi - Fractional seasonality: Models and Application to Economic Activity in the Euro Area (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00185370)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - Real-time detection of the business cycle using SETAR models (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00185372)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - Testing fractional order of long memory processes : a Monte Carlo study (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00259193)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu - A non-parametric method to nowcast the Euro Area IPI (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00275769)
by Laurent Ferrara & Thomas Raffinot - Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00277379)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00283710)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data : A semi-parametric modelling (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00344839)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy - Evaluation of Nonlinear time-series models for real-time business cycle analysis of the Euro area (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00423890)
by Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Gian Luigi Mazzi - GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00460461)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy - Fractional and seasonal filtering (RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00646178)
by Dominique Guegan & Laurent Ferrara - Testing Fractional Order of Long Memory Processes: A Monte Carlo Study (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00486655)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu - Evaluation of Regime Switching Models for Real-Time Business Cycle Analysis of the Euro Area (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00965005)
by Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Gian Luigi Mazzi - A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01146800)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Claude Diebolt & Laurent Ferrara - Monthly GDP forecasting using bridge models: Comparison from the supply and demand sides for the French economy (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385807)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara & Bertrand Pluyaud - Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385844)
by Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli - Macro-financial linkages and business cycles: A factor-probit approach (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385846)
by Christophe Bellégo & Laurent Ferrara - Comments on: Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385874)
by Laurent Ferrara - The way out of recessions: Evidence from a bounce-back augmented threshold regression (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385875)
by Frederique Bec & Othman Bouabdallah & Laurent Ferrara - Testing the number of factors: An empirical assessment for forecasting purposes (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385876)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Une revue de la littérature des modèles à facteurs dynamiques (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385940)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient? (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385941)
by Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega - Forecasting business cycles (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385942)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dick van Dijk - Comparing the shapes of recoveries: France, the UK and the US (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385943)
by Frederique Bec & Othman Bouabdallah & Laurent Ferrara - Explaining US employment growth after the Great Recession: the role of output-employment non-linearities (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385949)
by Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon - Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01385974)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Marché du travail et politique monétaire aux Etats-Unis : débats actuels et enjeux (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01386070)
by Laurent Ferrara & Giulia Sestieri - Post-recession US employment through the lens of a non-linear Okun (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01386100)
by Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon - Forecasting business cycles (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01411493)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dick van Dijk - Impact of uncertainty shocks on the global economy (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01635944)
by Laurent Ferrara & Menzie Chinn & Raffaella Giacomini - A world trade leading index (WLTI) (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01635948)
by Laurent Ferrara & Olivier Darné & Karim Barhoumi - Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: the return of non-linearity? (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01635951)
by Laurent Ferrara & Massimiliano Marcellino & Matteo Mogliani - Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01636761)
by Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli - Impact of uncertainty shocks on the global economy (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01636762)
by Laurent Ferrara & Menzie Chinn & Raffaella Giacomini - Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01757081)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - What are the macroeconomic effects of high-frequency uncertainty shocks? (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02334586)
by Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin - International Macroeconomics in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02334589)
by Laurent Ferrara & Daniela Marconi & Ignacio Hernando - The way out of recessions: A forecasting analysis for some Euro area countries (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02979744)
by Frédérique Bec & Othman Bouabdallah & Laurent Ferrara - The European Way out of Recession (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02980626)
by Frédérique Bec & Othman Bouabdallah & Laurent Ferrara - High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03361425)
by Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Matteo Mogliani & Laurent Ferrara - Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology
[Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence] (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03661598)
by Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Méthodes de prévision en finance (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03711480)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - A Brief History of Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Software Tools (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03754072)
by Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Ladiray - When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03919944)
by Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni - Testing the Number of Factors: An Empirical Assessment for a Forecasting Purpose (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04344628)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Data Preselection in Machine Learning Methods: An Application to Macroeconomic Nowcasting with Google Search Data (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04369062)
by Agostino Capponi & Charles-Albert Lehalle & Anna Simoni & Laurent Ferrara - Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04435786)
by Valérie Mignon & Laurent Ferrara & Denis Ferrand & Eric Heyer & Claude Diebolt & Frederique Bec & Catherine Doz & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Antonin Aviat - The New Fama Puzzle (RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04459560)
by Matthieu Bussière & Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Jonas Heipertz - Forecasting with k-factor Gegenbauer Processes: Theory and Applications (RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00193667)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - Analyse d'intervention et prévisions. problématique et application à des données de la RATP (RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00194345)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - Comparison of parameter estimation methods in cyclical long memory time series (RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00196426)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - Forecasting financial time series with generalized long memory processes (RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00199126)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - Detection of the Industrial Business Cycle using SETAR models (RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00201309)
by Dominique Guegan & Laurent Ferrara - Analyser les séries chronologiques avec S-Plus : une approche paramétrique (RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00201328)
by Dominique Guegan & Laurent Ferrara - Analyser les séries chronologiques avec S-Plus: une approche paramétrique (RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00375652)
by Dominique Guegan & Laurent Ferrara - Fractional and seasonal filtering (RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00646178)
by Dominique Guegan & Laurent Ferrara - Testing Fractional Order of Long Memory Processes: A Monte Carlo Study (RePEc:hal:pseptp:hal-00486655)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu - Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology
[Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence] (RePEc:hal:pseptp:hal-03661598)
by Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models (RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-00283710)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling (RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-00460461)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy - Fractional and seasonal filtering (RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-00646178)
by Dominique Guegan & Laurent Ferrara - Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model (RePEc:hal:psewpa:halshs-02443364)
by Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology (RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03373425)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology
[Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence] (RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03661598)
by Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Unknown item RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00693342 (paper)
- Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00952951)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03373425)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Prévoir la volatilité d’un actif financier à l’aide d’un modèle à mélange de fréquences (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03563168)
by Denisa Georgiana Banulescu & Ferrara Laurent & Marsilli Clément - Unknown item RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03678278 (paper)
- Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03678309)
by Frédérique Bec & Antonin Aviat & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - A factor-augmented probit model for business cycle analysis (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04140915)
by Christophe Bellégo & Laurent Ferrara - A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04140957)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Claude Diebolt & Laurent Ferrara - Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04141077)
by Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli - Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient? (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04141198)
by Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega - Post-recession US employment through the lens of a non-linear Okun’s law (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04141207)
by Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon - Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04141344)
by Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - What Are The Macroeconomic Effects of High-Frequency Uncertainty Shocks? (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04141416)
by Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin - Global Financial interconnectedness: A non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04141798)
by Bertrand Candelon & Laurent Ferrara & Marc Joëts - When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04159714)
by Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni - Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04159735)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04159739)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Commodity currencies revisited: The role of global commodity price uncertainty (RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04159791)
by Laurent Ferrara & Aikaterina Karadimitropoulou & Athanasios Triantafyllou & Theodora Bermpei - Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model (RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-02443364)
by Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Forecasting euro area recessions by combining financial information (RePEc:ids:ijcome:v:7:y:2017:i:1/2:p:78-94)
by Christophe Bellégo & Laurent Ferrara - A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI) (RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/020)
by Karim Barhoumi & Laurent Ferrara - Forecasting with k-Factor Gegenbauer Processes: Theory and Applications (RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:8:p:581-601)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Guegan, Dominique - Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP? (RePEc:jof:jforec:v:29:y:2010:i:1-2:p:132-144)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling (RePEc:jof:jforec:v:29:y:2010:i:1-2:p:186-199)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy - Prévoir la volatilité d’un actif financier à l’aide d’un modèle à mélange de fréquences (RePEc:leo:wpaper:2710)
by Denisa BANULESCU-RADU & Laurent FERRARA & Clément MARSILLI - Evaluation of Nonlinear time-series models for real-time business cycle analysis of the Euro (RePEc:mse:cesdoc:09053)
by Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Gian Luigi Mazzi - Testing fractional order of long memory processes: a Monte Carlo study (RePEc:mse:cesdoc:b08012)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu - A non-parametric method to nowcast the Euro Area IPI (RePEc:mse:cesdoc:b08033)
by Laurent Ferrara & Thomas Raffinot - Business surveys modelling with seasonal-cyclical long memory models (RePEc:mse:cesdoc:b08035)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan - GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: A semi-parametric modelling (RePEc:mse:cesdoc:b08082)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy - Post-recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-linear Okun's law (RePEc:nbr:nberwo:19047)
by Menzie D. Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon - The New Fama Puzzle (RePEc:nbr:nberwo:24342)
by Matthieu Bussiere & Menzie D. Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Jonas Heipertz - The Predictive Power of the Term Spread and Financial Variables for Economic Activity across Countries (RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32084)
by Menzie D. Chinn & Laurent Ferrara - Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model (RePEc:oec:stdaaa:2020/01-en)
by Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Detection of the Industrial Business Cycle using SETAR Models (RePEc:oec:stdkaa:5l9k5d020423)
by Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan - Detecting Cyclical Turning Points: The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators (RePEc:oec:stdkaa:5lmqcr2jcpbw)
by Jacques Anas & Laurent Ferrara - Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature (RePEc:oec:stdkab:5jz417f7b7nv)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - The New Fama Puzzle (RePEc:pal:imfecr:v:70:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1057_s41308-022-00161-z)
by Matthieu Bussière & Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Jonas Heipertz - A real-time recession indicator for the Euro area (RePEc:pra:mprapa:4042)
by Ferrara, Laurent - Un indicateur d'entrée et sortie de récession: application aux Etats-Unis
[A start-end recession index: Application for United-States] (RePEc:pra:mprapa:4043)
by Anas, Jacques & Ferrara, Laurent - Detection of the industrial business cycle using SETAR models (RePEc:pra:mprapa:4389)
by Ferrara, Laurent & Guégan, Dominique - Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d’accélération pour l’économie française (RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_2009_num_189_3_7927)
by Marie Adanero-Donderis & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Une revue de la littérature des modèles à facteurs dynamiques (RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_2012_num_199_1_8098)
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - Introduction (RePEc:spr:fimchp:978-3-319-79075-6_1)
by Laurent Ferrara & Ignacio Hernando & Daniela Marconi - Uncertainty Fluctuations: Measures, Effects and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges (RePEc:spr:fimchp:978-3-319-79075-6_9)
by Laurent Ferrara & Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier - International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis (RePEc:spr:fimops:978-3-319-79075-6)
by None - Point and interval nowcasts of the Euro area IPI (RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:115-120)
by Laurent Ferrara - Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession (RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:233-237)
by Laurent Ferrara & Cl�ment Marsilli - Global financial interconnectedness: a non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel (RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:25:p:2865-2887)
by Bertrand Candelon & Laurent Ferrara & Marc Joëts - When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage (RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:41:y:2023:i:4:p:1188-1202)
by Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni - Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence (RePEc:ulp:sbbeta:2021-27)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology (RePEc:ulp:sbbeta:2021-33)
by Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier - Business Cycle Analysis with Multivariate Markov Switching Models (RePEc:ven:wpaper:2007_32)
by Monica Billio & Jacques Anas & Laurent Ferrara & Marco Lo Duca - A turning point chronology for the Euro-zone (RePEc:ven:wpaper:2007_33)
by Monica Billio & Jacques Anas & Laurent Ferrara & Marco Lo Duca - What are the macroeconomic effects of high‐frequency uncertainty shocks? (RePEc:wly:japmet:v:33:y:2018:i:5:p:662-679)
by Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin - Common factors of commodity prices (RePEc:wly:japmet:v:37:y:2022:i:3:p:461-476)
by Simona Delle Chiaie & Laurent Ferrara & Domenico Giannone - Evaluation of Regime Switching Models for Real‐Time Business Cycle Analysis of the Euro Area (RePEc:wly:jforec:v:32:y:2013:i:7:p:577-586)
by Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan & Gian Luigi Mazzi