Tara M. Sinclair

Names

first:	Tara
middle:	M.
last:	Sinclair

Identifer

RePEc Short-ID:

psi150

Contact

homepage:

https://sites.google.com/site/taramsinclair/

Affiliations

George Washington University / Department of Economics (weight: 94%)
- EDIRC entry
- location:
George Washington University / Department of Economics / Center for Economic Research / H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting (weight: 1%)
- EDIRC entry
- location:
Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) (weight: 1%)
- EDIRC entry
- location:
George Washington University / Elliott School of International Affairs (weight: 1%)
- EDIRC entry
- location:
Australian National University / Crawford School of Public Policy / Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA) (weight: 1%)
- EDIRC entry
- location:
George Washington University / Elliott School of International Affairs / Institute for International Economic Policy (IIEP) (weight: 1%)
- EDIRC entry
- location:
George Washington University / Department of Economics / Center for Economic Research (weight: 1%)
- EDIRC entry
- location:

Research profile

author of:

Unlocked Potential: Work-from-Home Job Postings in 20 OECD Countries (RePEc:aea:apandp:v:113:y:2023:p:604-08)
by Pawel Adrjan & Gabriele Ciminelli & Alexandre Judes & Michael Koelle & Cyrille Schwellnus & Tara Sinclair
The Differential Approach to Superlative Index Number Theory (RePEc:ags:joaaec:43279)
by Barnett, William A. & Choi, Ki-Hong & Sinclair, Tara M.
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter? (RePEc:bla:obuest:v:83:y:2021:i:3:p:686-712)
by Pao‐Lin Tien & Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage (RePEc:bpj:bejeap:v:topics.6:y:2006:i:1:n:14)
by Friedberg Leora & Owyang Michael T & Sinclair Tara M
Asymmetry in the Business Cycle: Friedman's Plucking Model with Correlated Innovations (RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:14:y:2009:i:1:n:3)
by Sinclair Tara M
Output Fluctuations In The G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach (RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:16:y:2012:i:03:p:396-422_00)
by Mitra, Sinchan & Sinclair, Tara M.
How Well Does “Core” Inflation Capture Permanent Price Changes? (RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:19:y:2015:i:04:p:791-815_00)
by Bradley, Michael D. & Jansen, Dennis W. & Sinclair, Tara M.
Testing Stationarity With Unobserved-Components Models (RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:21:y:2017:i:01:p:160-182_00)
by Morley, James & Panovska, Irina B. & Sinclair, Tara M.
A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts (RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-12-00339)
by Tara M. Sinclair & H. O. Stekler & Warren Carnow
Statistical versus economic output gap measures: evidence from Mongolia (RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-14-00022)
by Julia Bersch & Tara M. Sinclair
Can the Fed predict the state of the economy? (RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:108:y:2010:i:1:p:28-32)
by Sinclair, Tara M. & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H.O.
Migration and online job search: A gravity model approach (RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:181:y:2019:i:c:p:51-53)
by Mamertino, Mariano & Sinclair, Tara M.
Forecast evaluation of AveAve forecasts in the global VAR context (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:25:y:2009:i:4:p:693-696)
by Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, H.O.
Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:28:y:2012:i:2:p:309-314)
by Sinclair, Tara M. & Gamber, Edward N. & Stekler, Herman & Reid, Elizabeth
Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:29:y:2013:i:4:p:736-750)
by Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, H.O.
Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:1:p:157-164)
by Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, H.O. & Carnow, Warren
Characteristics and implications of Chinese macroeconomic data revisions (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:3:p:1108-1117)
by Sinclair, Tara M.
A textual analysis of Bank of England growth forecasts (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:4:p:1478-1487)
by Jones, Jacob T. & Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, Herman O.
Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19 (RePEc:eee:intfor:v:38:y:2022:i:2:p:635-647)
by Larson, William D. & Sinclair, Tara M.
What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts? (RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:45:y:2015:i:c:p:54-62)
by Messina, Jeffrey D. & Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, Herman
A state-level analysis of Okun's law (RePEc:eee:regeco:v:68:y:2018:i:c:p:239-248)
by Guisinger, Amy Y. & Hernandez-Murillo, Ruben & Owyang, Michael T. & Sinclair, Tara M.
How Well Does "Core" Inflation Capture Permanent Price Changes? (RePEc:een:camaaa:2013-26)
by Michael D. Bradley & Dennis W. Jansen & Tara M. Sinclair
Evaluating Forecasts of a Vector of Variables: a German Forecasting Competition (RePEc:een:camaaa:2014-55)
by Hans Christian Müller-Dröge & Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler
Do Fed forecast errors matter? (RePEc:een:camaaa:2016-47)
by Pao-Lin Tien & Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber
Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19 (RePEc:een:camaaa:2020-63)
by William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair
Sentiment and uncertainty about regulation (RePEc:een:camaaa:2021-54)
by Tara M. Sinclair & Zhoudan Xie
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law (RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1523)
by Amy Y. Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage (RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2003-038)
by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law (RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2015-029)
by Amy Y. Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-002)
by Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid
Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-010)
by Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler
Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy? (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-001)
by Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler
Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-001)
by Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler
Forecasting Data Vintages (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-001)
by Tara M. Sinclair
Evaluating A Vector Of The Fed’S Forecasts (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-002)
by Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Warren Carnow
A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-004)
by Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Warren Carnow
What Can We Learn From Revisions To The Greenbook Forecasts? (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-003)
by Jeff Messina & Tara M. Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler
Evaluating Forecasts Of A Vector Of Variables: A German Forecasting Competition (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-004)
by Hans Christian Müller-Dröge & Tara M. Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler
A Nonparametric Approach to Identifying a Subset of Forecasters that Outperforms the Simple Average (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2015-006)
by Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter? (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-007)
by Pao-Lin Tien & Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber
A Textual Analysis of the Bank of England Growth Forecasts (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-005)
by Jacob T. Jones & Tara M. Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler
Continuities and Discontinuities in Economic Forecasting (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2019-003)
by Tara M. Sinclair
What Does Forecaster Disagreement Tell Us about the State of the Economy? (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-001)
by Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair
Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19 (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-004)
by William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair
Sentiment and Uncertainty about Regulation (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-004)
by Tara M. Sinclair & Zhoudan Xie
Employment Reconciliation and Nowcasting (RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-007)
by Eiji Goto & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Tara M. Sinclair & Simon van Norden
Asymmetry in the Business Model: Revisiting the Friedman Plucking Model (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2008-03)
by Tara Sinclair
Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2008-04)
by Tara Sinclair & Sinchan Mitra
Jointly Evaluating GDP and Inflation Forcasts in the Context of the Taylor Rule (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2008-05)
by Tara Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid & Edward N. Gamber
Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy? (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2008-06)
by Tara Sinclair & Frederick L. Joutz
How Well Does "Core" CPI Capture Permanent Price Changes? (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2009-13)
by Tara M. Sinclair & Dennis W. Jensen & Michael D. Bradley
Permanent and Transitory Macroeconomic Relationships between China and the Developed World (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2010-08)
by Tara Sinclair & Yeuqing Jia
How Well Does "Core" CPI Capture Permanent Price Changes? (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2010-09)
by Tara Sinclair & Dennis W. Jansen & Michael D. Bradley
Differences in Early GDP Component Estimates Between Recession and Expansion (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2011-05)
by Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler
Characteristics and Implications of Chinese Macroeconomic Data Revisions (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2012-09)
by Tara M. Sinclair
A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2012-2)
by Tara Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler & Warren Carnow
Evaluating a Vector of the Fed's Forecasts (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2012-3)
by Tara Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler & Warren Carrow
How Well Does "Core" Inflation Capture Permanent Price Changes? (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2013-4)
by Michael D. Bradley & Dennis W. Jansen & Tara M. Sinclair
Statistical Versus Economic Output Gap Measures: Evidence from Mongolia (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2013-7)
by Tara Sinclair & Julia Bersch
What Can We Learn From Revisions to the Greenbook Forecasts? (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2014-14)
by Tara M. Sinclair & Jeff Messina & Herman Stekler
Evaluating Forecasts of a Vector of Variables: A German Forecasting Competition (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2014-17)
by Tara M. Sinclair & Hans Christian Müller-Dröge & Herman Stekler
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2015-17)
by Amy Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael Owyang & Tara Sinclair
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter? (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2016-14)
by Tara Sinclair & Pao-Lin Tien & Edward Gamber
Online Job Search and Migration Intentions Across EU Member States (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2016-5)
by Tara Sinclair & Mariano Mamertino
Migration and Online Job Search: A Gravity Model Approach (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2018-3)
by Tara Sinclair & Mariano Mamertino
Mismatch in Online Job Search (RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2020-1)
by Tara Sinclair & Martha Gimbel
Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19 (RePEc:hfa:wpaper:20-02)
by William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair
Mongolia: Measuring the Output Gap (RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2011/079)
by Julia Bersch & Tara M. Sinclair
The Differential Approach to Superlative Index Number Theory (RePEc:kan:wpaper:201234)
by William Barnett & Ki-Hong Choi & Tara M. Sinclair
The Relationships between Permanent and Transitory Movements in U.S. Output and the Unemployment Rate (RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:41:y:2009:i:2-3:p:529-542)
by Tara M. Sinclair
The Failure of Forecasts in the Great Recession (RePEc:mes:challe:v:57:y:2014:i:6:p:34-45)
by Daniel Culbertson & Tara Sinclair
Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage (RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11808)
by Leora Friedberg & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair
Will it stay or will it go? Analysing developments in telework during COVID-19 using online job postings data (RePEc:oec:ecoaac:30-en)
by Pawel Adrjan & Gabriele Ciminelli & Alexandre Judes & Michael Koelle & Cyrille Schwellnus & Tara Sinclair
Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach (RePEc:qld:uqmrg6:25)
by Sinchan Mitra & Tara M. Sinclair
Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Emerging Economies: An Unobserved Components Approach (RePEc:qld:uqmrg6:39)
by Sinchan Mitra & Tara M. Sinclair
Testing for Stationarity and Cointegration in an Unobserved Components Framework (RePEc:sce:scecf5:451)
by James Morley & Tara M. Sinclair
A nonparametric approach to identifying a subset of forecasters that outperforms the simple average (RePEc:spr:empeco:v:53:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-016-1152-y)
by Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair
Testing Stationarity for Unobserved Components Models (RePEc:swe:wpaper:2012-41a)
by James Morley & Irina B. Panovska & Tara M. Sinclair
Testing Stationarity for Unobserved Components Models (RePEc:swe:wpaper:2012-41b)
by James Morley & Irina B. Panovska & Tara M. Sinclair
What does forecaster disagreement tell us about the state of the economy? (RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:49-53)
by Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair
Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions (RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2289-2297)
by Tara Sinclair & H. O. Stekler & L. Kitzinger
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter? (RePEc:wes:weswpa:2015-004)
by Pao-Lin Tien & Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber
Employment reconciliation and nowcasting (RePEc:wly:japmet:v:38:y:2023:i:7:p:1007-1017)
by Eiji Goto & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Tara M. Sinclair & Simon van Norden
The Relationships between Permanent and Transitory Movements in U.S. Output and the Unemployment Rate (RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:41:y:2009:i:2-3:p:529-542)
by Tara M. Sinclair
The Differential Approach to Superlative Index Number Theory (RePEc:wpa:wuwpem:0111002)
by William A. Barnett & Ke- Hong Choi & Tara M. Sinclair

The profile is maintained by Tara M. Sinclair

Permanent link: http://authors.repec.org/pro/psi150/